This weekend at Las Vegas should be the race that gives us the best overall indication of the new rules package so far in 2019. While we look forward to learning a great deal, I feel the best course of action is to play partial or half unit plays in the same manner that we did last week at Atlanta. This is paired with the fact that the second practice session of weekend was rained out, and there should be a noticeable temperature change between practice and race conditions.
Based on the current odds these are the plays that I would consider for race winner. These are not suggested plays, but rather are furnished for the handicappers who want to make a wager on a driver to win. This race appears to be shaking out in a similar manner as a restrictor plate race, but with better car control and packs that are not as tight. Like a restrictor plate race, momentum is a major factor and for that reason I believe taking chance on a few of the non favorites could be a solid approach to betting this race.
Brad Keselowski (11-2):
Erik Jones (20-1):
Kurt Busch (25-1):
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (50-1):
Daniel Hemric (100-1):
Again these are recommended to only be half-unit plays.
Brad Keselowski (-130): over Kevin Harvick (plus 110)
Kurt Busch (plus 130): over Clint Bowyer (-150)
Erik Jones (plus 110): over Clint Bowyer (-130)