Like everyone else, we’re excited here in the Tuley’s Takes home office for the Super Bowl matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Our underdogs split in Sunday’s conference championships, as we won with the Bucs and lost with the Bills. We also won with our Bucs Over teaser but lost our bigger play on the Bucs + 9.5/Bills + 9. In next week’s Point Spread Weekly, we’ll give our official takes on the Super Bowl side and total — leaning to Buccaneers at + 3 or better and the Under, though I’m sure that surprises no one — as well as my favorite proposition wagers.
In the meantime, here are my betting profiles for both teams as we look at how the Chiefs and Buccaneers have treated gamblers this season, including our betting recaps of every game they played.
Let’s break down the Buccaneers’ season from a gambling perspective, including their future-book odds, Over/Under season win total and game-by-game breakdown. This is basically everything you should know if you're considering backing the Bucs.
Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl LV future-book odds (plus odds to win NFC South and NFC championship)
When the Westgate SuperBook posted the first Super Bowl LV future-book odds on Jan, 13, 2020, the Buccaneers were listed at 30-1 to win the NFC and a whopping 60-1 for the Super Bowl in a group that included the Denver Broncos and New York Jets. Yes, seriously. During the early part of the offseason, most books were offering them around 50-1, but then rumors started circulating that Tom Brady could sign with Tampa Bay. Some speculative bettors scooped up the higher odds as some books dropped the odds a little, but then when it was clear that Brady was signing with them on March 17, the odds were lowered to 13-2 win the NFC and 14-1 to win the Super Bowl. By the time the regular season started, the Bucs were still about 6-1 to win the NFC and 14-1 to win the Super Bowl along with being the 8-5 second choice to win the NFC South behind the Saints. With the early wagers at big odds and continued backing from Brady fans, the Buccaneers were the worst-case scenario for many sportsbooks’ future books.