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Sunday Sharp Action Report: Wizards-Thunder, Grizzlies-Raptors and 76ers-Blazers

August 9, 2020 12:04 AM

NBA dogs continued to bark on Saturday, going 4-1 ATS. All four dogs covered and won outright, with the Clippers (+ 4.5) beating the Blazers 122-117, the Nuggets (+ 1) edging the Jazz 134-132, the Pacers (+ 5.5) upending the Lakers 116-111 and the Mavs (+ 6) outlasting the Bucks 136-132. The biggest gut punch for the sharps, though, was Portland. The Blazers opened + 4.5 and saw a massive sharp move all the way to -4.5, which was also driven by Kawhi resting. After leading for much of the game, Portland choked down the stretch and lost 122-117. Even the early sharps who grabbed the Blazers + 4.5 or + 4 lost out. 

Dogs are 8-3 ATS over the past two days and now 28-25-1 ATS (52.3%) since the restart. Saturday wasn't all bad for the public as overs swept the board with a perfect 5-0 mark. Overs are now 29-24-1 (54.7%) in Orlando. Overs that are 230 or less are 24-14-1 (63.2%). 

Today, the weekend wraps up with another all day sweat featuring 7 NBA games, 3 NHL games and 15 MLB games. Let's discuss a trio of matchups receiving notable sharp action from respected bettors.  

For more Sunday analysis and betting updates, be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning on NESN from 10 a.m.-Noon ET on The Lombardi Line. We'll be dissecting all the big matchups and breaking down late sharp action across MLB, NBA, NHL and more. 

12:30 p.m. ET: Washington Wizards (24-45) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (42-26)

 

This is the earliest matchup of the day. The Wizards are 0-5 in the bubble and mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is tied with Utah for the 5-seed in the West. The Thunder are 2-2 in the bubble and coming off a bad 121-92 blowout loss to Memphis as a 3-point favorite. This game opened with OKC listed as a 9.5-point favorite. The public sees an easy layup with the Thunder. However, despite two-thirds of bets running to the window to lay the points, we've seen this line dip slightly to 9. This signals some respected money coming down on Wizards + 9.5, triggering reverse line movement in favor of Washington. We've also seen some sharp action hit the under, dropping the total from 225 to 224. The under is 4-1 in Wizards games since the restart and 3-1 in Thunder games. 

2 p.m. ET: Memphis Grizzlies (33-37) vs Toronto Raptors (49-19)

 

After jumping out to a dreadful 0-4 start in the bubble, Memphis finally got off the schneid and won the first game of the restart on Friday by upsetting OKC 121-92 as 3-point dogs. They also did it without injured star Jaren Jackson Jr. Memphis is in a huge urgency and motivation spot as they're clinging to the final playoff seed out West and must win to keep the No. 8 seed. Meanwhile, the Raptors don't have much to play for. They are firmly entrenched as the No. 2 seed in the East and highly unlikely to rise or fall either direction. This line opened with Toronto listed as a 7-point favorite. Some books opened at 8 or 7.5 and immediately got hit with Memphis money, dropping the line down to 7. The Raptors are getting two-thirds of bets, yet the books that opened at 7 are still at 7. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Grizzlies plus the points in a desperation game. 

6:30 p.m. ET: Philadelphia 76ers (42-27) vs Portland Trail Blazers (32-39)

 

The Blazers squandered a huge opportunity yesterday by losing to the Kawhi-less Clippers. Portland's playoff chances are dwindling but still alive. The Blazers are 3-2 in the bubble and trail No. 8 seed Memphis by 1.5-games with three games left to play. In other words, this is a must-win for Damian Lillard and company. The 76ers are 3-1 in the bubble and have won three straight. Philadelphia owns the No. 6 seed in the West but could move up as high as the No. 4 seed as they trail the Pacers and Heat by only a half game. Unfortunately, Philly will have to do it without star Ben Simmons, who is likely out for the season with a knee injury. This game opened with Portland listed as a 2-point favorite. Philadelphia owns a rest advantage as Portland is on the second leg of a back-to-back. But apparently Pros and Joes aren't worried. We've seen a combination of sharp and public money hit the Blazers, pushing the line up to -2.5. 

Remember, the sports betting market is fluid and constantly changing due to action coming in. Stay up to date with the latest odds by visiting our free VSiN NBA Live Odds Page for Vegas sportsbooks and for other legalized states

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