Sunday sharp action for Wizards-Nets, Spurs-Grizzlies and Bucks-Rockets

August 2, 2020 12:30 AM

After a public betting bonanza on Friday in which NBA favorites and overs went a combined 11-1, contrarians, sportsbooks and sharps bounced back on Saturday. Unders went 3-2 and wiseguys cashed several of their biggest games, including the Heat 125-105 over the Nuggets and the Raptors 107-92 over the Lakers. Both wins were textbook examples of sharp plays. Miami saw a huge move in their favor (+ 2 to -2) while Toronto received less than half the betting tickets but took in notable reverse line movement + 4 to + 2.5. 

Now we move on to Sunday. Today, we have another stacked slate with 6 NBA games, 5 NHL games and 13 MLB games. Let's discuss a trio of matchups receiving notable sharp action. 

For more Sunday analysis and betting updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Danny Burke and myself this morning on NESN from 10 a.m.-noon ET on The Lombardi Line. We're back from hiatus and we'll be breaking down all the late sharp action across MLB, NBA, NHL and more. 

2 p.m. ET: Washington Wizards (24-41) vs Brooklyn Nets (30-35)

 

Both teams are 0-1 in the bubble. The Wizards are coming off a 125-112 loss to the Suns while the Nets fell to the Magic 128-118. Both teams failed to cover as 7.5-point dogs. The Nets have much more to play for as they're hanging on to the 8th seed in the East while the Wizards are virtually eliminated. Washington trails the Nets by 6-games for the final playoff spot and they only have 7 games left to play. 

This line opened with the Nets listed as a short 1-point favorite. Pros and Joes have both sided with Brooklyn, pushing this line up to Nets -2. Some books are inching even further to -2.5. We've also seen some sharp money target the over. The total opened at 235 and has been bet up to 236.5. The Wizards won both matchups during the regular season, 113-107 and 110-106. But both wins came when Bradley Beal was still playing for Washington. He's since been shut down with a season ending shoulder injury. 

4 p.m. ET: San Antonio Spurs (28-36) vs Memphis Grizzlies (32-34)

 

These teams are trending in different directions, creating a buy low, sell high betting opportunity. The Spurs are riding high after upsetting the Kings 129-120 as 3.5-point dogs. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies lost to the Blazers 140-135 in overtime as 3.5-point dogs. This line opened with Memphis listed as a 3-point favorite. Right off the bat, the public says give me the points with the team off a win. But sharps seem to be fading the trendy dog. We've seen steam hit Memphis, which has forced books to adjust the Grizzlies up to -4. Some books are even getting close to -4.5. It looks like sharps preferred Memphis at -3.5 or lower. 

Smart money has also come down on the over, pushing the total from 235 to 236.5. The Spurs have been one of the best over teams this season at 39-24. The Grizzlies are 2-1 against the Spurs this season and two of the games went way over. Memphis beat San Antonio 113-109 and 134-121 and lost 145-115. 

8:30 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Bucks (54-12) vs Houston Rockets (41-24)

 

This primetime showdown is the matchup of the night and will be by far the most heavily bet game of the day. Both teams are coming off wins and covers in their bubble debuts, with the Bucks taking down the Celtics 119-112 as 3.5-point favorites and the Rockets outlasting the Mavs 153-149 as 1.5-point favorites. 

Milwaukee opened as a 3.5-point favorite. Respected action immediately hit the Bucks at -3.5, which has since pushed the line up to -4. The Bucks are 37-29 ATS this season while the Rockets are 30-34 ATS. These teams only met once before this year and Milwaukee won 117-111. This total is the highest of the night. It opened at 242 and has been bet up to 243.5. Both teams are known for their high octane offenses but they've actually been profitable to the under this season with Milwaukee 34-30 and Houston 26-28. 

Remember, the sports betting market is fluid and constantly changing due to action coming in. Stay up to date with the latest odds by visiting our free VSiN NBA Live Odds Page for Vegas sportsbooks and for other legalized states

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