Sunday NFL Week 13 Sharp Report

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Today the weekend wraps up with Week 13 of the NFL regular season. Up to this point, underdogs have gone an impressive 101-78 ATS (56%). Road dogs have been particularly profitable, going 64-40 ATS (62%). Road dogs 7 or less have gone 53-22 ATS (71%). 

Unders have also been a smart bet, going 103-77 (57%). Non-conference unders are 38-20 (66%). Windy unders 10 MPH or more are 35-20 (64%). 

Here are today's Windy Unders matches

Cardinals-Bears Under 42

Giants-Dolphins Under 39.5

Broncos-Chiefs Under 47

Chargers-Bengals Under 50

For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m. ET to noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and also check in with Thomas Gable of the Borgata in Atlantic City.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for several NFL Week 13 matchups today...

 

1 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

The Bucs (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) have won two straight and just beat the Colts 38-31, covering as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Falcons (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) just beat the Jaguars 21-14, covering as 1.5-point road favorites. The win snapped a two-game losing skid for Atlanta. This line opened with the Bucs listed as a 9.5-point road favorite. Sharps have gotten down hard on the Bucs, driving Tampa Bay up from -9.5 to -11. The last two times these teams played, the Bucs won by 17 points (44-27) and 23 points (48-25). Tampa Bay is averaging 32 PPG on offense compared to just 18 PPG for Atlanta. Tampa Bay is a teaser candidate (-11 to -5), which goes through the key numbers of 10 and 7. 

 

4:05 p.m. ET: Washington Football Team at Las Vegas Raiders

Washington (5-6 SU, 4-7 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just edged the Seahawks 17-15 on Monday Night, winning outright as a 1.5-point home dog. Meanwhile, the Raiders (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) are just 1-3 over their last four games, although they did upset the Cowboys 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with Vegas listed as a 3-point home favorite. Sharp money has gotten down hard on Washington, dropping this line 3 to 1.5. Road dogs 7 or less are 53-22 ATS (71%) this season. Road dogs in which the line stays the same or moves in their favor are 30-25 ATS (55%). Washington is in a prime teaser spot ( 1.5 to 7.5), which goes through the key numbers of 3 and 7. The total has dipped from 49.5 to 48. Non-conference unders are 38-20 (66%) this season. Adrian Hill, the lead referee, is 27-15 (64%) to the under. The Raiders will be without star TE Darren Waller, who is out with a knee injury. 

 

8:20 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

The Broncos (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS) have won three of their last four games and just upset the Chargers 28-13, winning outright as 3-point home dogs. Similarly, the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) have won four straight and just dismissed the Cowboys 19-9, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. This line has either stayed at 9.5 or inched down to 9 at some shops, indicating respected money leaning with the Broncos and the points. Teddy Bridgewater is 26-8 ATS (76%) as a dog in his career. Primetime dogs are 23-14 ATS (62%) this season and road divisional dogs are 18-12 ATS (60%). This is also a winder under bet. The total fell from 49 to 47 with the weather forecast expecting 15-20 MPH winds. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is 35-20 (64%). 

 

More Week 13 Moves

Ravens -3 to -4.5 at Steelers

Jaguars 13.5 to 13 at Rams

Dolphins -3 to -6.5 vs Giants (No Daniel Jones)

Giants-Dolphins Under 42 to 39.5

Jets 7 to 5 vs Eagles (No Jalen Hurts)

Vikings-Lions Under 47.5 to 46.5

Cardinals-Bears Under 46 to 42

Colts -7.5 to -10 at Texans

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