Sunday NBA Playoffs Sharp Report

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Today the weekend wraps up with four NBA playoff games, 15 MLB games and 11 NHL games. With playoff basketball taking center stage right now, let's dive into where smart money is leaning for several postseason matchups today...

 

3:30 p.m. ET: Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets

The Warriors lead this series 3-0 and can finish off the sweep with a victory tonight. Golden State is coming off a 118-113 win in Game 3, covering as 2.5-point road favorites. This line opened with the Warriors listed as a 3.5-point road favorite. Pros and Joes both seem to be leaning Golden State as we've seen the Warriors tick up from -3.5 to -4.5. Favorites are 20-13 ATS (61%) this season. Favorites with a line move in their favor are 13-6 ATS (69%). Wiseguys have also quietly sided with the over, steaming the total up from 224 to 225. The over is a perfect 3-0 this series. Leading 3-0, the Warriors are -10000 favorites to win the series. The Nuggets are +2500. Golden State is now the favorite to win the Western Conference (+120) and the NBA Title (+280). 

 

7 p.m. ET: Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks

The Heat lead this series 2-1. Atlanta is coming off a 111-110 victory in Game 3 to post their first win of the series, winning outright as 2-point home dogs. In tonight's rematch, Miami opened as a short 1.5-point road favorite. We've seen Miami rise from -1.5 to -2, signaling some sharp support in their favor. Playoff favorites are 24-9 (73%) straight up this postseason. Miami is -130 on the moneyline. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 221.5 to 221. The under is a perfect 3-0 this series. Leading 2-1, the Heat are -650 favorites to win the series. The Hawks are +450 dogs. Miami has the 3rd-best odds to win the Eastern Conference at +325. The Heat are +850 to win the NBA Title. 

 

9:30 p.m. ET: Phoenix Suns at New Orleans Pelicans

This is Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Suns lead the series 2-1 after securing a 114-11 win in Game 3, covering as 2.5-point road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Phoenix opened as a 3-point road favorite. Despite the Suns missing star guard Devin Booker due to injury, the public is still rushing to the window to lay the short spread with Phoenix. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen Phoenix fall from -3 to -2.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on New Orleans, with pros grabbing the points with the contrarian home dog. Pros have also targeted the under, dropping the total from 216.5 to 215.5. Unders are 22-11 (67%) this postseason. If the total falls at least a half point, the under is 14-8 (64%). Leading 2-1, Phoenix is -650 to win the series. New Orleans is +450. 

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