Sunday NBA Playoffs Sharp Report (5-23)

May 23, 2021 03:21 AM

Today, the weekend wraps up with 15 MLB games, 4 NBA playoff games and 4 NHL Stanley Cup playoff games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Patrick Meagher and myself this morning from 10 a.m.-noon ET on The Lombardi Line. We'll be broadcasting LIVE from the South Point in Las Vegas. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill, Jonathan Von Tobel along with Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of NBA playoff games today receiving notable sharp action...

3:30 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns

This is Game 1 of the Western Conference first round. The Lakers (43-30) enter as the 7th seed and are riding a six-game winning streak. Los Angeles took down Steph Curry and the Warriors 103-100 in the play-in game, although they failed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Suns (51-21) enter as the 2nd-seed and won their final three games of the regular season. This line opened with Phoenix listed as a 3-point home favorite. Pros and Joes seem to both be grabbing the points with LeBron James and company as we've seen Los Angeles tick down from 3 to 2.5. We've also seen some over money come in. The total opened at 212.5 and has been bet up to 213. Some shops are up to 213.5. The Suns were one of the best over teams in the regular season, going 42-30. The Lakers are a big under team (42-29-2). Despite being the lower seed, the Lakers are a -175 favorite to win the series at BetMGM. The Suns are a + 145 dog.

7 p.m. ET: Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks

This looks to be one of the most evenly matched Eastern Conference first round series. The Hawks (41-31) enter as the 5th seed and enter the playoffs having gone 7-1 over their last eight regular season games. Meanwhile, the Knicks (41-31) enter as the fourth seed and hold home court advantage even though the two teams had identical won-loss records. This game opened with the Knicks listed as 2-point home favorites. The public is rushing to the window to lay the short number with the Knicks at home. However, despite this lopsided support we've seen New York fall from -2 to -1.5. Some shops are even down to 1. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the contrarian road dog Hawks. Respected money is also leaning under. The total opened at 215.5 and has fallen slightly to 215. Both of these teams are profitable to the under this season. Atlanta is 37-34-1 and New York is 40-32. The Hawks are a slight -120 favorite to win this series. New York is + 100.

9:30 p.m. ET: Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz

This Western Conference playoff showdown is the final game of the day. The Grizzlies (38-34) won both of their play-in games to earn a postseason berth, beating the Spurs 100-96 and upsetting the Warriors 117-112. Now the 8th seed Grizzlies face the 1-seed Jazz (52-20), who finished with the best regular season record in the NBA. In tonight's Game 1 matchup, the Jazz opened as 9-point home favorites. The public sees a 1-seed playing an 8 and has no issue laying the points with the superior team, especially with Donovan Mitchell set to make his long awaited return to the lineup. However, despite a majority of bets backing Utah, we've seen this line dip from 9 to 8.5. This signals some sharp money grabbing the points with the road dog Grizzlies. The total has ticked up slightly from 215.5 to 216, indicating some over action. The Jazz are massive -1400 favorites to win the series. Memphis is a + 800 longshot.

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