Sunday MLB Sharp Report

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1:40 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (48-43) at Miami Marlins (43-47)

The Phillies have taken the first two games of this NL East showdown, winning the opener 2-1 as +150 road favorites and then winning again on Saturday 10-0 as -105 road dogs. In this afternoon's series finale, the Phillies tap righty Aaron Nola (5-7, 3.35 ERA) and the Marlins send out lefty Trevor Rogers (4-8, 5.42 ERA). This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -145 road favorite and Miami a +130 home dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with the Phillies to complete the sweep, steaming Philadelphia up from -145 to -155. The Phillies have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7). The Phillies are 30-24 as a favorite, 24-22 on the road and 14-11 against lefties. The Marlins are 17-31 as a dog, 22-21 at home and 32-29 against righties. The Phillies lead the season series 5-4. The Marlins are just 5-10 in Rogers' 15 starts this season. 

 

2:35 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (50-42) at Texas Rangers (41-48)

The Mariners have won all three games thus far in this four-game series. Seattle is coming off a 3-2 victory on Saturday, taking care of business as -160 road favorites. The Mariners are the hottest team in baseball and have now won 13-straight games. In this afternoon's series finale, Seattle hands the ball to righty Chris Flexen (6-8, 3.84 ERA) and Texas counters with fellow righty Glenn Otto (4-5, 5.50 ERA). This line opened with the Mariners listed as a short -120 road favorite and the Rangers a +110 home dog. Pros are once again riding the hot hand, steaming Seattle up from -120 to -130. Road favorites are 300-193 (61%) this season. The Mariners are 25-12 as a favorite, 26-22 on the road and 42-19 against righties. Meanwhile, the Rangers are 25-27 as a dog, 21-25 at home and 24-35 against righties. Seattle leads the season series 7-2. Flexen has a 0.71 ERA in two July starts. The Mariners are 4-0 in Flexen's last four starts.

 

4:05 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (50-42) at San Francisco Giants (47-43)

After dropping the first game of the series, the Giants have roared back to win the last two. San Francisco is coming off a 2-1 victory on Saturday, cashing as -135 home favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, Milwaukee starts righty Jason Alexander (2-1, 4.73 ERA) and San Francisco taps fellow righty Logan Webb (8-3, 2.82 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a -160 home favorite and the Brewers a +145 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with San Francisco, steaming the Giants up from -160 to -170. San Francisco has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8). The Giants lead the season series 3-1. Webb has a 1.80 ERA in three July starts. Alexander has a 7.71 ERA in two July starts. 

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College Lines Revealed: ATS record is a great indicator as to if the market overvalues or undervalues a team, especially late in the season. Consider betting on teams with a strong ATS record if you believe the betting market has not properly adjusted. View more tips

Live Bet Sunday: Unless you really feel you need to get out of a bet, you don't have to attempt to hedge when the game isn't going as you predicted. Hedging is just raises the floor, but lowers the ceiling on you original investment. Unless you're confident that you're you're going to win your hedge, sometimes it's best to ride out the original bet. View more tips

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Matt Youmans: Colts -2.5 vs. Steelers. View more picks.

Dave Tuley: Broncos +8 vs. RavensView more picks.

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