Sunday MLB Sharp Report


1:40 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (47-65) at Cincinnati Reds (44-68)

The Cubs have taken the first two games of this NL Central series, winning the opener 4-2 as +100 road dogs and then winning again on Saturday 7-2 as +110 road dogs. In this afternoon's series finale, Chicago taps righty Keegan Thompson (9-5, 3.36 ERA) and Cincinnati counters with righty Justin Dunn (0-1, 5.79 ERA). This line opened with the Cubs listed as a short -120 road favorite and the Reds a +110 home dog. Sharps are banking on Chicago to complete the sweep, steaming the Cubs up from -120 to -150. Road favorites are 379-250 (60%) this season. Chicago leads the season series 6-3. The Cubs hold advantages at the plate (hitting .244 vs .238) and on the mound (ERA 4.26 vs 5.04). The total is 9 with the over juiced to -120, signaling some over liability and a possible rise up to 9.5. 


1:40 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (59-54) at Tampa Bay Rays (59-53)

These AL East rivals have split the first two games of the series. The Orioles won the opener 10-3, cashing as +125 road dogs. Then the Rays bounced back with an 8-2 win yesterday, taking care of business as hefty -220 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, Baltimore sends out righty Jordan Lyles (9-8, 4.35 ERA) and Tampa Bay starts fellow righty Drew Rasmussen (6-4, 2.96 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a -155 home favorite and the Orioles a +140 road dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with Tampa Bay, steaming the Rays up from -155 to -170. Favorites who made the playoffs the previous season against teams who missed the playoffs are 434-249 (64%). Tampa Bay also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Rays are 5-2 in Rasmussen's last seven starts. Rasmussen has given up one earned run or less in five of those seven starts. 


4:05 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (45-69) at San Francisco Giants (56-57)

The Giants have taken the first two games of this NL non-division showdown. San Francisco won the opener 5-3 as -275 home favorites and then won again yesterday 2-0 as -250 home favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, Pittsburgh sends righty Zach Thompson (3-9, 5.08 ERA) to the mound to face lefty Alex Wood (8-9, 4.17 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a heavy -230 home favorite and the Pirates a +210 road dog. Sharps seem to be saying "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and are banking on the Giants to complete the sweep, steaming San Francisco up from -230 to -250. Home favorites -200 or more are 192-76 (72%) this season. The Giants also have correlative betting value as a big favorite in a low total game (8). San Francisco leads the season series 4-1. The Giants will lead on their bats, hitting .235 compared to .220 for the Pirates. San Francisco is 45-32 as a favorite this season. Pittsburgh is 35-62 as a dog. 

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