Sunday MLB Sharp Report

yankees

1:37 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (42-36) at Toronto Blue Jays (44-35)

These AL East rivals have split the first four games of this rare five-game series, with the Jays taking the first two games and the Rays bouncing back with a pair of wins on Friday and Saturday. In this afternoon's series finale, Tampa Bay hands the ball to righty Shane Baz (0-1, 3.38 ERA) and Toronto counters with fellow righty Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.12 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -125 home favorite and the Rays a +110 road dog. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Toronto, steaming the Jays up from -125 to -135. Toronto is 36-25 as a favorite, 25-17 at home and 37-27 against righties. The Jays hold a sizable edge at the plate, hitting .258 while the Rays sit at .234. Stripling has been fantastic in the month of June, sporting a minuscule 1.59 ERA. Toronto went 5-1 in Stripling's six June starts.

 

1:40 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (58-21) at Cleveland Guardians (39-36)

The Yankees have taken the first two games of this series, sweeping yesterday's doubleheader 13-4 as -290 road favorites and then winning again 6-1 as -188 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, New York starts lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-1, 3.27 ERA) and Cleveland taps righty Triston McKenzie (4-6, 4.03 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -155 road favorite and the Guardians a +140 home dog. Pros seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and have steamed the Yankees up from -155 to -165. Non-division road favorites are 147-78 (65%) this season.  New York is 54-20 as a favorite, 24-12 on the road and 39-14 against righties. The Yankees are 5-0 against the Guardians this season. New York also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8). 

 

2:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (37-43) at Houston Astros (50-27)

The Astros have dominated the first two games of this AL West series, winning the opener 8-1 as -175 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 9-1 as -167 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Los Angeles taps lefty Jose Suarez (1-2, 4.36 ERA) and Houston sends out fellow southpaw Framber Valdez (8-3, 2.65 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -200 home favorite and the Angels a +185 road dog. Sharps are banking on Houston to complete the sweep, driving the Astros up from -200 to -220. Home favorites -200 or more are 118-45 (72%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against opponents who did not are 308-162 (66%).The Angels are just 5-20 as a dog this season. Meanwhile, the Astros are 43-18 as a favorite, 15-8 against lefties and 23-11 at home. Houston leads the season series 6-3. The Astros are 8-2 in Valdez's last ten starts.

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