Sunday MLB Sharp Report

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1:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (52-68) at Detroit Tigers (46-76)

These AL non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Angels took Friday night's opener 1-0, cashing as -150 road favorites. Then the Tigers bounced back with a 4-3 win on Saturday, cashing as +140 home dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Los Angeles hands the ball to two-way righty star Shohei Ohtani (10-7, 2.69 ERA) and Detroit counters with lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (1-3, 4.38 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -175 road favorite and the Tigers a +160 home dog. Sharps are laying the chalk with Ohtani, steaming the Angels up from -175 to -195. Los Angeles has correlative betting value as a bigger favorite in a low total game (7). Sunday teams coming off a loss against teams who missed the playoffs the previous season are 112-66 (63%). Non-division road favorites are 212-136 (61%). We could be looking at a lower scoring game here, as the total is 7 with the under juiced to -120. The forecast calls for high 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from center. Rodriguez is making his first start since May. Ohtani has a 2.04 ERA in three August starts. 

 

2:10 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (54-66) at Minnesota Twins (62-56)

The Twins eked out a 2-1 victory in the series opener, cashing as -130 home favorites. Then the Rangers posted a 4-3 win yesterday, cashing as +150 road dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Texas turns to righty Kohei Arihara (0-1, 4.76 ERA) and Minnesota starts fellow righty Joe Ryan (9-5, 3.92 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a -175 home favorite and the Rangers a +160 road dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the big chalk and have steamed the Twins up from -175 to -200. Minnesota holds an edge at the plate, hitting .251 compared to .241 for Texas. The Twins are 44-26 as a favorite 35-26 at home and 41-40 against righties. The Rangers are 33-37 as a dog, 27-32 on the road and 33-49 against righties. The total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling some under liability and a possible fall down to 8. When the total is 8.5 or higher in a non-division game the under is 283-233 (55%) this season. The Twins are 6-3 in Ryan's last nine starts. 

 

4:07 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (66-55) at Oakland Athletics (44-77)

The Mariners rolled to a 10-2 win over the Athletics in this series opener, cruising as -135 road favorites. But then the Athletics barked back with a 4-3 win yesterday, cashing as juicy +165 home dogs. In this late afternoon series finale, Seattle turns to righty trade deadline acquisition Luis Castillo (5-4, 2.73 ERA) and Oakland sends out lefty JP Sears (4-0, 1.95 ERA). This line opened with the Mariners listed as a -190 road favorite and the Athletics a +175 home dog. Sharps are banking on Seattle to win the rubber match and take the series, steaming the Mariners up from -190 to -210. Road favorites are 402-272 (60%) this season. Seattle also has correlative betting value as a big favorite in a very low total game (6.5). The Mariners will lean on their advantage at the plate, hitting .233 compared to .215 for the Athletics. Seattle is 35-16 as a favorite and 35-29 on the road. Oakland is 38-65 as a dog and just 18-39 at home. The Mariners lead the season series 8-4. The Mariners are 3-0 in Castillo's three starts since being acquired from the Reds. 

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PRO TIPS & PICKS

A Numbers Game: Be careful betting baseball games right now, if they don’t involve teams still trying to make the playoffs. Teams that have clinched or teams that are completely out of it will be approaching games far differently. View more tips.

Ian Cameron: USC at Colorado - OVER (73.5). View more picks.

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