Sunday MLB Sharp Report

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1:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (52-68) at Detroit Tigers (46-76)

These AL non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Angels took Friday night's opener 1-0, cashing as -150 road favorites. Then the Tigers bounced back with a 4-3 win on Saturday, cashing as +140 home dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Los Angeles hands the ball to two-way righty star Shohei Ohtani (10-7, 2.69 ERA) and Detroit counters with lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (1-3, 4.38 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -175 road favorite and the Tigers a +160 home dog. Sharps are laying the chalk with Ohtani, steaming the Angels up from -175 to -195. Los Angeles has correlative betting value as a bigger favorite in a low total game (7). Sunday teams coming off a loss against teams who missed the playoffs the previous season are 112-66 (63%). Non-division road favorites are 212-136 (61%). We could be looking at a lower scoring game here, as the total is 7 with the under juiced to -120. The forecast calls for high 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from center. Rodriguez is making his first start since May. Ohtani has a 2.04 ERA in three August starts. 

 

2:10 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (54-66) at Minnesota Twins (62-56)

The Twins eked out a 2-1 victory in the series opener, cashing as -130 home favorites. Then the Rangers posted a 4-3 win yesterday, cashing as +150 road dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Texas turns to righty Kohei Arihara (0-1, 4.76 ERA) and Minnesota starts fellow righty Joe Ryan (9-5, 3.92 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a -175 home favorite and the Rangers a +160 road dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the big chalk and have steamed the Twins up from -175 to -200. Minnesota holds an edge at the plate, hitting .251 compared to .241 for Texas. The Twins are 44-26 as a favorite 35-26 at home and 41-40 against righties. The Rangers are 33-37 as a dog, 27-32 on the road and 33-49 against righties. The total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling some under liability and a possible fall down to 8. When the total is 8.5 or higher in a non-division game the under is 283-233 (55%) this season. The Twins are 6-3 in Ryan's last nine starts. 

 

4:07 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (66-55) at Oakland Athletics (44-77)

The Mariners rolled to a 10-2 win over the Athletics in this series opener, cruising as -135 road favorites. But then the Athletics barked back with a 4-3 win yesterday, cashing as juicy +165 home dogs. In this late afternoon series finale, Seattle turns to righty trade deadline acquisition Luis Castillo (5-4, 2.73 ERA) and Oakland sends out lefty JP Sears (4-0, 1.95 ERA). This line opened with the Mariners listed as a -190 road favorite and the Athletics a +175 home dog. Sharps are banking on Seattle to win the rubber match and take the series, steaming the Mariners up from -190 to -210. Road favorites are 402-272 (60%) this season. Seattle also has correlative betting value as a big favorite in a very low total game (6.5). The Mariners will lean on their advantage at the plate, hitting .233 compared to .215 for the Athletics. Seattle is 35-16 as a favorite and 35-29 on the road. Oakland is 38-65 as a dog and just 18-39 at home. The Mariners lead the season series 8-4. The Mariners are 3-0 in Castillo's three starts since being acquired from the Reds. 

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