Sunday MLB Sharp Report (8-22)

August 22, 2021 02:26 AM

The weekend wraps up today with 15 MLB games and two NFL Preseason games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates, be sure to join Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m.-noon ET on The Lombardi Line. We'll be joined by VSiN's Will Hill. We'll also check in with our friend Thomas Gable, who runs the Race and Sportsbook at the Borgata in Atlantic City. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for several Sunday MLB matchups today.

1:07 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (59-66) at Toronto Blue Jays (64-57)

After dropping the series opener 4-1 as hefty -280 home favorites, the Blue Jays rebounded with a 3-0 victory on Saturday, cashing as -250 home favorites. In this early afternoon rubber match, Detroit taps righty Drew Hutchinson (0-1, 10.80 ERA) and Toronto rebuttals with lefty Steven Matz (10-7, 4.08 ERA). This line opened with the Blue Jays listed as -210 home favorites and the Tigers a 190 home dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the expensive chalk price and have steamed the Jays up from -210 to -230. Teams receiving 15-cents of steam or more off a win are 217-146 (60%) this season. Home favorites -200 or more are 147-55 (73%). The Jays are 32-25 at home. The Tigers are 26-36 away. Toronto is hitting .264 this season, which ranks 2nd-best in MLB. Detroit is hitting .241, which ranks 15th.

2:10 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (53-69) at Milwaukee Brewers (75-49)

These non-division foes have split the first two games of the series, with the Nationals taking the opener 4-1 at 165 road dogs and then the Brewers bouncing back with a 9-6 victory yesterday as -220 home favorites. In tonight's rubber match, the Nats start lefty Sean Nolin (0-1, 12.00 ERA) and the Brewers counter with righty Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.55 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -205 home favorite and Washington a 185 home dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're backing the better team with the starting pitching advantage, steaming Milwaukee up from -205 to -220. Big favorites -200 or more coming off a win are 121-40 (75%) this season. Milwaukee is 57-38 as a favorite. Washington is 22-51 as a dog. The Brewers are 33-28 at home. The Nats are 22-36 at home. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game in this one. The total is 9 with the over juiced to -120.

7:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (62-63) at Cleveland Indians (60-61)

This game takes place at Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pa. The Indians have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 9-1 as -120 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 5-1 as -130 home favorites. In this Sunday Night Baseball showdown, Los Angeles hands the ball to lefty Jose Suarez (5-6, 3.88 ERA) and Cleveland counters with righty Cal Quantrill (3-2, 3.24 ERA). This line opened with the Indians listed as a short -130 home favorite and the Angels a 120 road dog. The public is split and doesn't know who to back. But we've seen wiseguys back the Indians to complete the sweep, steaming Cleveland up from -130 to -137. Non-division home favorites are 397-246 (62%) this season. Historically, we've seen favorites and favorites with line moves in their direction be profitable bets on Sunday Night Baseball. The Indians are 4-1 against the Angels this season.

Remember to check the VSiN Betting Splits every day for money and ticket counts so you can tell who the public is betting on.

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