Sunday MLB Sharp Report (7-18)

July 18, 2021 07:01 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with 16 MLB games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Dave Ross and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m.-noon ET on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and check in with our good friend Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.

Now let's discuss where the money is flowing for several Sunday MLB matchups today...

1:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (55-39) at Cincinnati Reds (48-44)

The Brewers have taken the first two games of this pivotal NL Central battle, winning the opener 11-6 as + 110 road dogs and winning again on Saturday 7-4 as -140 road favorites. In today's series finale, Milwaukee sends out ace Corbin Burnes (4-4, 2.36 ERA) and Cincinnati counters with fellow righty Sonny Gray (2-4, 3.19 ERA). This line opened with the Brewers listed as a -125 road favorite and the Reds a + 115 home dog. Sharps have pounced on red-hot Milwaukee to complete the sweep, steaming the Brewers up from -125 to -135. Short road favorites -150 or less off a win are 104-71 (60%) this season. The Brewers are 28-18 on the road this season. Cincinnati is just 23-22 at home. Milwaukee is 45-30 against righties. The Reds are 37-37 against righties. There also appears to be some liability on the under, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -115. Keep an eye on Reds All-Star slugger Nick Castellanos. He is questionable with a wrist injury.

2:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (56-37) at Chicago White Sox (55-36)

These AL powerhouse contenders have split the first two games of the series. The Astros won the opener 7-1 as -125 road favorites. Then the White Sox bounced back with a 10-1 shellacking of the Astros on Saturday, winning as -115 home favorites. In today's rubber match, the Astros hand the ball to lefty Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.98 ERA) and the White Sox send out fellow southpaw Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -105. Moneyline tickets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. However, props seem to be backing the White Sox as we've seen Chicago move from -105 to -120. Home teams coming off a win receiving 15-cents or more are 115-74 (61%) this season. Non-division home favorites are 305-186 (62%). The White Sox have mashed lefties this season, going an impressive 18-8. Chicago is 49-21 as a favorite and 32-15 at home. The total opened at 8.5. Pros have gotten down hard on the under, dropping the like from 8.5. to 8. The forecast calls for high 70s with 8-10 MPH winds blowing in from left

2:15 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (58-33) at St. Louis Cardinals (45-47)

These non-division opponents have split the first two games of the series, with the Giants winning the opener 7-2 as a -105 pick'em play and then St. Louis winning on Saturday 3-1 as + 100 home dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, the Giants tap veteran righty Johnny Cueto (6-5, 4.15 ERA) and the Cardinals send out lefty Wade LeBlanc (0-1, 3.20 ERA). This line opened with San Francisco listed as a short -112 road favorite and St. Louis a + 102 home dog. Pros seem to think the number is too low on San Francisco and have rushed to the window to back the Giants (-112 to -120). The Giants are 37-17 as a favorite this season and 42-22 against righties. San Francisco's advantage might come at the plate. The Giants are hitting .245, which ranks 10th in MLB. St. Louis is hitting .230, which ranks 25th.

Remember to check the VSiN Betting Splits every day for money and ticket counts so you can tell who the public is betting on.

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