Sunday Elite 8 Sharp Report

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Today the weekend wraps up with a pair of Elite 8 matchups in March Madness plus 7 NBA games and 8 NHL games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m. ET to noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and also check in with Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.  

Best bets for Sunday's games

With Houston and Arkansas getting knocked out yesterday, here are the updated odds to cut down the nets at BetMGM.

Duke + 200

Kansas + 200

Villanova + 350

North Carolina + 600

Saint Peter's + 2000

 

In the meantime, let's examine where respected money is leaning for today's Elite 8 matchups...

 

2:20 p.m. ET: Miami vs Kansas

This is the Midwest Region Elite 8 clash. Miami (26-10 SU, 21-15 ATS) is the 10-seed and just beat 11-seed Iowa State 70-56 in the Sweet 16, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites. Previously, Miami took down 2-seed Auburn 79-61, winning outright as 6.5-point dogs, and then edged 7-seed USC 68-66, winning outright as 2.5-point dogs. Meanwhile, Kansas (31-6 SU, 18-19 ATS) is the only remaining 1-seed in the tournament and just beat 4-seed Providence 66-61 but failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Before that, Kansas beat 9-seed Creighton 79-72 but failed to cover as 13-point favorites and also crushed 16-seed Texas Southern 83-56, covering as 21.5-point favorites. This line opened with Kansas listed as a 6.5-point favorite. We've seen this line inch down from 6.5 to 6 at most shops, signaling respected money grabbing the points with Miami. Teams with at least a half point of line movement in their favor are 29-20 ATS (59%) this March Madness. Ken Pom has Kansas winning by seven points (80-73). We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 148.5 to 147.5. The under is 3-0 for Miami in March Madness. The under is 2-1 for Kansas. 

 

5:05 p.m. ET: Saint Peter's vs North Carolina

This is the East Region Elite 8 grudge match. Saint Peter's (22-11 SU, 24-9 ATS) has been the Cinderella of the Tournament, becoming the first 15-seed to ever reach the Elite 8. Saint Peter's is coming off a thrilling 67-64 win over 3-seed Purdue, winning outright as 13-point dogs. Previously, Saint Peter's upset 7-seed Murray State 70-60, winning outright as 8-point dogs, and also shocked 2-seed Kentucky 85-79, winning outright as 18.5-point dogs. Now they face 8-seed North Carolina (27-9 SU, 19-16-1 ATS), who just upset 4-seed UCLA 73-66 as 2.5-point dogs. North Carolina also beat 1-seed Baylor 93-86, winning outright as 5.5-point dogs and also crushed 9-seed Marquette 95-63, easily covering as 4-point favorites. This line opened with North Carolina listed as an 8-point favorite. The public is rushing to the window to grab the points with Cinderella Saint Peter's. However, this line has risen from 8 to 8.5, signaling pro money laying the points with the Tar Heels. Ken Pom has UNC winning by eight points (72-64). Pros have also leaned on the over, raising the total from 136.5 to 137. Both teams are 2-1 to the over this tournament. 

 

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