Sunday College Basketball Sharp Report

purdue
Happy Selection Sunday! Today the weekend wraps up with five Conference Tournament Championship games, plus 8 NBA games and 10 NHL games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m. ET to noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and also check in with Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.  
 
I'm also proud to announce I'll be co-hosting The Line Drop from 6 to 7 p.m. ET tonight live from the DraftKings studio headquarters in Boston. We'll be dissecting all the opening round matchups as soon as the Bracket is unveiled.
 

In the meantime, let's examine where respected money is leaning for today's College Basketball slate...

 

12 p.m. ET: Yale vs Princeton

This is the Ivy League Tournament Championship game. Yale (18-11 SU, 13-15 ATS) has won two straight and just took down Pennsylvania 67-62 yesterday, covering as 3-point favorites. On the other hand, Princeton (23-5 SU, 12-13-1 ATS) is riding an 8-game winning streak and just edged Cornell 77-73, winning but failing to cover as 6-point favorites. This line opened with Princeton listed as a 3-point neutral court favorite. Pros have laid the points with Princeton, pushing the Tigers up from -3 to -3.5. Princeton holds the edge on offense (81 PPG vs 73 PPG) and in shooting (49% vs 44%). Ken Pom has Princeton winning by three points (74-71). He has Princeton ranked 103rd and Yale 149th.

 

3:15 p.m. ET: Memphis vs Houston

This is the American Athletic Conference Championship game. Memphis (21-9 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) is unranked but has won six straight and just beat SMU 70-63, covering as 4.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, Houston (28-5 SU, 21-12 ATS) is ranked 18th, has won two straight and just beat Tulane 86-66, easily covering as 13.5-point favorites. This line opened with Houston listed as a 5-point neutral court favorite. Sharps have jumped on Memphis plus the points, dropping the line from 5 to 4. Memphis has had Houston's number this season. The Tigers are 2-0 against the Cougars, winning 75-61 and 69-59. Ken Pom has Houston winning by six points (73-67), which means the betting market is higher on Memphis than the advanced analytics. 

 

3:30 p.m. ET: Iowa vs Purdue

This is the Big Ten Conference Tournament Championship game. Iowa (25-9 SU, 21-13 ATS) is ranked 24th and has won three straight. The Hawkeyes just beat Indiana 80-77 yesterday although they failed to cover as 6-point favorites. Similarly, Purdue (27-6 SU, 13-19-1 ATS) is ranked 9th, has won three straight and just beat Michigan State 75-70, failing to cover as 6.5-point favorites. This line opened with Purdue listed as a 1-point neutral court favorite. Respected money has laid the points, steaming the Boilermakers up from -1 to -2. Purdue's biggest edge comes in the shooting department (50% vs 47%). Purdue also has buy-low value as a "bad" ATS team (13-19-1) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (21-13). Purdue went 2-0 against Iowa this season, winning 83-73 and 77-70. Ken Pom has Iowa winning this game by one point (81-80), which means the betting market is more bullish on Purdue than the advanced analytics. 

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