Happy Sunday! Today the weekend comes to a close with the NBA All-Star Game, 8 NHL games and 25 College Basketball games. For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Patrick Meagher, Michael Lombardi and myself on The Lombardi Line this morning from 10 a.m. ET to noon ET.
In the meantime, here are a trio of Sunday College Basketball games receiving sharp action from respected bettors...
1 p.m. ET: Providence at Butler
Both of these Big East opponents are looking to bounce back from losses. Providence (21-3 SU, 14-10 ATS) is ranked 8th and just saw their eight-game winning streak snapped with a 89-84 loss to Villanova, failing to cover as 4-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Butler (13-14 SU, 11-15 ATS) is only 4-8 their last 12 games and just got crushed by St. John's 91-57, failing to cover as 7.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Providence listed as a 3-point road favorite. We've seen the line climb from 3 to 3.5, signaling respected money laying the points with Providence. Both teams are giving up roughly 65 PPG defensively. The difference comes on offense, where Providence is averaging 72 PPG compared to Butler's 63 PPG. Providence also holds the edge in shooting (44% vs 42%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 32 RPG). Providence is 11-2 in conference play. Butler is 6-10. Providence also holds a rest advantage (last game February 15th vs Butler's last game February 18th). Ken Pom has Providence winning by four points (66-62). He has Providence ranked 44th and Butler 139th.
2 p.m. ET: Saint Peter's at Siena
These MAAC rivals enter with identical records and occupy two of the top three spots in the conference. Saint Peter's (12-10 SU, 14-8 ATS) is 9-4 over their 13 games and just upset Fairfield 70-59, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. Similarly, Siena (12-10 SU, 12-10 ATS) is 8-4 over their last 12 games but is coming off a 62-53 loss to Marist, losing outright as a 1.5-point home favorite. This line opened with Saint Peter's listed as a short 1-point road favorite. The public is split and doesn't know who to take, yet we've seen the line creep up from 1 to 1.5, signaling sharp money leaning on the road favorite. Both teams are averaging roughly 66 PPG on offense. Saint Peter's has the better defense (64 PPG allowed vs 69 PPG allowed) and rebounding edge (36 RPG vs 33 RPG). Ken Pom has Saint Peter's winning by three points (63-60). He has Saint Peter's ranked much higher (153rd vs 255th).
7 p.m. ET: Jacksonville State at Bellarmine
This obscure Atlantic Sun matchup features a pair of teams trending in opposite directions. Despite their winning record, Jacksonville State (17-9 SU, 13-11 ATS) is just 2-3 over their last five games but is coming off a 78-67 win over Lipscomb, covering as 4.5-point road favorites. On the flip side, Bellarmine (16-11 SU, 16-10 ATS) has won three straight and just took down Central Arkansas 79-69, covering as 6.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Bellarmine listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Sharp money has laid the home chalk, steaming Bellarmine up from -1 to -2. This is an added game or extra game, which means it's very low bet but line moves are critical because they're largely caused by almost exclusively smart money. Ken Pom has Bellarmine winning by two points (69-67). Bellarmine is -130 on the moneyline.