Sunday College Basketball Sharp Report


Happy Sunday! We are now officially one week away from Super Bowl LVI. 

Line Move Update: Over the past 24-hours we've seen several shops fall from Rams -4.5 to -4. This signals respected money jumping on the Bengals plus the hook (+4.5). Initially, the early money was on Los Angeles, steaming the Rams up from -3.5 to -4.5. But it appears we've reached the high water mark and late money is grabbing Cincinnati at an inflated +4.5, causing the line to fall back down toward the Bengals. 

Super Bowl dogs getting 3-points or more are 8-2 ATS since 2008. The Bengals have won their last two games outright as a dog ( 7 against the Chiefs and 4 against the Titans). Joe Burrow is 12-7 ATS (63%) in his career as a dog. 

For extensive Sunday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m. ET to noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by VSiN's Will Hill and also check in with Thomas Gable at the Borgata in Atlantic City.  

In the meantime, let's examine where respected money is leaning for today's College Basketball slate...


2 p.m. ET: Loyola Chicago at Missouri State

Bettors are in for a treat as the top two teams in the Missouri Valley Conference face off in this one. Loyola Chicago (17-4 SU, 7-12-1 ATS) is coming off a 78-74 win over Illinois State, pushing as 14-point home favorites. Similarly, Missouri State (17-7 SU, 14-10 ATS) just took down Southern Illinois 69-64, easily covering as 2-point road favorites. This line opened with Missouri State listed as a short 1-point home favorite. The public is split down the middle, yet we've seen respected money pour in on Loyola Chicago, flipping the Ramblers from a 1-point dog to a 1.5-point favorite. This is a revenge game for Loyola Chicago, who lost to Missouri State 79-69 on January 22nd, losing outright as 8-point home favorites. Ken Pom has Missouri State winning by two points (70-68). He has Loyola Chicago ranked 34th and Missouri State 54th. 


4 p.m. ET: Akron at Miami Ohio

These Mid-American foes are playing for the second time in three days. Akron (14-6 SU, 9-9 ATS) is 5-1 over their last six games and just beat Miami Ohio 66-55, covering as 7.5-point home favorites. Miami Ohio (9-12 SU, 5-13 ATS) has now lost four straight. This line opened with Akron listed as a short 1-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the points with Akron, steaming the Zips from -1 to -2.5. Akron has the advantage when it comes to shooting (45% vs 44%) and points allowing (63 PPG vs 72 PPG). Akron is 7-3 in conference. Miami Ohio is 3-7. Ken Pom has Akron winning by one point (69-68). He has Akron ranked 149th and Miami Ohio 236th. Akron is -145 on the moneyline.


4 p.m. ET: Washington at Stanford

Washington (12-8 SU, 11-9 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just crushed California 84-63, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Stanford (13-8 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) has dropped two of their last three games and just fell to Washington State 66-60, failing to cover as 3-point home dogs. This line opened with Stanford listed as a 34point home favorite. The public is backing trendy dog Washington on a win streak. yet we've seen this line climb from 4 to 4.5. This signals sharp money buying low on Stanford and laying the points home favorite. Stanford has the edge in shooting (43% vs 41%) and rebounding (38 RPG vs 33 RPG). Stanford is 9-2 at home. Washington is 3-3 on the road. Ken Pom has Stanford winning by six points (71-65). He has Stanford ranked 94th and Washington 128th. 

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College Lines Revealed: Don't be afraid to keep betting on undervalued teams until the market adjusts. Ex: Kansas, UNLV

The Lombardi Line: In the 48 NFL games played so far this season, 18 have been decided by 3 points or fewer. Key numbers are crucial when betting pro football.

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