Stanley Cup Finals Betting Trends

By Matt Devine  () 

GENERAL STANLEY CUP TRENDS SINCE 2005-06

(82 games total, including Game 1 of this season)

• 16 of 82 (19.5%) games have gone to OT

• home team is 55-27 (67.1%)

• the road team has been the favorite just five times, and is 4-1 in those contests

• the underdog is 48-33 (59.3%) with the puck line (outlier is a game that went off -110 apiece)

• when the home team is favored, it has covered the puck line in 10 of the last 15 games

• under is 45–28-9 • 54 of 82 games (65.9%) have seen a total of 5 goals or less scored

• when 6 or more goals are scored between the two teams, the home team is 22-7 (75.9%)

• when 5 or less goals are scored between the two teams, the home team is 33-20 (62.3%)

• the road team has scored more than two goals in just 29 of 82 games (35.4%)

• yes, there will be a score in the first 10 minutes of the 1st period is 39-43 (47.6%)

• team that scores first is 62-20 (75.6%)

• the home team has scored first 51 of 82 games (62.2%)

• in those 49 games when the home team has scored first, it is 43-8 (84.3%)

• in the 30 games that the road team has scored first, it is 19-12 (61.3%)

CLOSE-OUT GAMES (22) SINCE 2005-06

• every series has gone at least five games ... 10 of 13 have gone at least six games ... 3 of 13 have gone seven (last seven seasons have gone six games or less)

• teams up 3-2 in the series are 7-3 (70%) in Game 5

• of the three Game 7s, the road team has won twice

• of the last 12 close-out games, the home team has score two or fewer goals nine times

• 14 close-out games since the 2005-06 season have featured 5 or less goals (9 of the last 12 have featured 5 or less)

• only four close-out games have gone to OT

• the team to score 1st in close out games is 21-1 since 2005-06

• under 1.5 goals in 1st period is 15-7 (7-1 in last eight, 10-2 in last 12)

• 18 close-out games, including the last seven straight, have featured 2 goals or less in the third period

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