Sharps show tepid support for SEC in bowl action

December 26, 2018 06:14 PM

Here comes the SEC. 

Vanderbilt takes the field Thursday, starting a run of 11 SEC appearances the next six days. Though the league made big money for backers in non-conference action during the regular season (34-21-1, 62% against the spread), sharps betting early have been a bit skeptical about the nation’s power league running roughshod over bowl opponents.

  • Vanderbilt (-4) battles Baylor in the Texas Bowl (ESPN, 9 p.m. ET). That’s down from an opener of -4.5. Keep in mind that the lines you see at local sports books when reading today’s report may have adjusted from those widely available at publication deadlines.
  • Auburn (-3.5) meets Purdue Friday in the Music City Bowl (ESPN, 1:30 p.m.). That’s down from an opener of -4.
  • Florida (plus 6.5) has a tough challenge vs. Michigan Friday in the Peach Bowl (ESPN, noon). This one opened at Michigan -6, and was bet toward the key number of seven (though stores testing Michigan -7 do see interest in Florida).
  • South Carolina (-5) takes on Virginia at the same time Friday in the Belk Bowl (ABC, noon). That’s down from an opener of -6.
  • Alabama (-14) is the first SEC team to receive early betting support, as an opener of -13.5 was bet up to the key number of -14 vs. Oklahoma (ESPN, 8 p.m.). This, of course, is one of the national championship semifinal wars.
  • Missouri (-8) moves the SEC back in the spotlight Monday (New Year’s Eve) after college football takes Sunday off for the NFL. The Tigers opened at a much higher -9.5 over Oklahoma State in the Liberty Bowl (ESPN, 3:45 p.m.)
  • Texas A&M (-7) received very strong support after opening at -4.5 over North Carolina State in Monday night’s Gator Bowl (ESPN, 7:45 p.m.). Biggest endorsement yet for an SEC team.
  • Mississippi State (-7) kicks off New Year’s Day Tuesday vs. Iowa in the Outback Bowl (ESPN2, noon). This is up from an opener of -6. A tone is already being set for early action supporting stronger SEC teams, but fading the middle of the pack.
  • Kentucky (plus 6.5) will have its hand full with Penn State in the Citrus Bowl (ABC, 1 p.m.). The favored Nittany Lions were bet up from an opener of -5. Note that Kentucky and Florida are the only two SEC underdogs out of 11 invites.
  • LSU (-7) will try to end Central Florida’s 25-game winning streak in the Fiesta Bowl (ESPN, 1 p.m.) That line is down from an opener of -8.
  • Georgia (-13) has been pounded by sharps who think Texas will be outmanned in the Sugar Bowl (ESPN, 8:45 p.m.) The Bulldogs opened almost a field goal lower at -10.5.

That’s betting support for four SEC teams (Alabama, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, and Georgia); but skepticism at early prices for Vanderbilt, Auburn, Florida, South Carolina, Missouri, Kentucky, and LSU.

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