Seven tricky CFB situational spots

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

burke

We’re nearly at the halfway point of the college football regular season, but it still feels like so many teams have so many unanswered questions. The inconsistency from game to game has been staggering and has really made the sport difficult to bet for a lot of people.

Even though just about every team is going through conference play, there are still a lot of situational spots to consider in Week 7. Remember that these are never sole justifications for a pick but something to factor into the handicapping process. Given that we’ve seen a lot of “good game, bad game” patterns from teams, the spots may have had something to do with that in the past and will continue to in the present and future.

Let’s check out some games that look to be tricky spots for Week 7.

Navy at Memphis (-10.5, 55)

Based on the line movement we’ve seen in the market thus far, those who mold and shape the lines are not as concerned as I am about Memphis drawing the Navy triple option on a short week. Covering a double-digit spread against a service academy is tough enough with the limited number of possessions in these slow-paced games, but doing so with less time to prepare for this Thursday night game against the run-heavy scheme seems even harder.

Navy has looked a lot better since the embarrassing effort against Air Force in Week 2. The Middies have covered three straight games, all as underdogs, against Houston, UCF and SMU. Navy even beat UCF outright, as the Knights have really gone backward under Gus Malzahn.

Memphis obviously sees Navy every season, so the scheme isn’t brand new for the Tigers, but Navy has covered five of the last six head-to-head meetings. Memphis once again has a potent offense, but the limited number of plays and drives has been a problem in recent seasons.

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