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Schedule (dis)advantages in shortened MLB season

By Steve Makinen  (Point Spread Weekly editor) 

July 19, 2020 07:10 PM
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Wrigley Field
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With the 2020 MLB season set to open, the abbreviated schedule offers bettors unique opportunities. This is a first of its kind in MLB scheduling, and teams that have fared well recently in divisional play should have an advantage over teams that haven’t, assuming patterns remain consistent. I’ll examine the recent records of all 30 teams in their 2020 schedule scenarios to see which might benefit most and least from the arrangement.

 

I am always looking for an advantage, particularly when a team’s schedule will have an extreme impact on its projected success. The 2020 schedule fits that situation. Certain teams play better or worse against divisional opponents or in their regions. Without having to face teams outside this pocket, these trends will be magnified in 2020.

Here are some notes from my study of teams’ records over the last five seasons against teams on their 2020 schedules as compared with all others. I am assuming that teams that have performed better against their 2020 opponents have an advantage as compared with those that haven’t or face a disadvantage. I have also noted the best and worst betting matchups by division and in interleague play for each team in 2020 based on return on investment since 2015.

— Divisional games have always been most important on a team’s schedule, but with those contests representing two-thirds of the 2020 slate, they become even more crucial. This analysis could be broken down even further since the 10 games each team will play against every divisional opponent will not be split evenly between home and road.

— With 40 games against divisional opponents and 20 against the same division in the other league, divisional games take on double the importance. My formula for total advantage uses that same ratio.

— Theoretically, a 1% advantage represents about 0.6 wins on the 60-game schedule. Therefore, using No. 1-ranked Houston’s projected advantage of 8.2%, this would suggest that the Astros could win about 4.9 more games against their 2020 opponents than they would have had the 60-game schedule been distributed normally. The important part is whether oddsmakers have considered this factor in building their season win total options. From what I know about the process, they have not.

— According to the numbers, the teams with the biggest “advantage” for 2020 are the Astros and the Cleveland Indians, both by a healthy 2.0% edge over any other team. I can assure you that the difference for the Indians has not been considered, as when I shared the win totals at William Hill, the Indians weren’t even projected first in their division. They have won over 60% of their divisional games in the last five seasons. The 2020 schedule surely has to benefit Cleveland.

— The teams with the biggest disadvantage are unsurprisingly two of the worst in baseball, No. 29 Seattle and No. 30 Miami. Both have played far better outside their regional opponents than against their divisional rivals and opposite interleague divisions. The 2020 schedule includes no such games, meaning the trends will have to change drastically for these teams to compete.

— The teams expected to win the pennants, New York in the AL and Los Angeles in the NL, are in disadvantageous scheduling situations. The Yankees are only a slight -1.2% in my calculation, meaning the 2020 schedule figures to cost them no more than a game in the expected standings. However, at -5.1% disadvantage, the Dodgers face a much more significant challenge, as that would equate to about three fewer victories than expected. Combine this with left-hander David Price’s decision not to play this season, and the defending NL champs could be a good Under wager for their season win total.

— Seventeen of the 30 teams are in what would be described as advantageous situations with the current schedule, although six are less than 1%. Of the teams on the opposite end of the spectrum, you’ll find the defending world champion Nationals as well as three other somewhat trendy picks for this season: the No. 19 Tampa Bay Rays, the No. 20 Cincinnati Reds and the No. 22 Chicago White Sox. This factor should be considered in analyzing the lofty expectations for all three.

— Three teams whose prospects have been described as bleak for 2020 could be aided by the advantage they receive from the 2020 schedule. Those would be the No. 3 Kansas City Royals, the No. 4 San Francisco Giants and the No. 6 Baltimore Orioles.

 

So here are the 30 teams ranked in order of biggest advantage from the 2020 schedule based on their last five years’ performance against this year’s opponents as compared with against all others. I’ve also included some of the best and worst matchups you’ll want to note for every team.

 

1. HOUSTON ASTROS

Division record: 231-149, 60.8%, + 7.32 units, (dis)advantage: + 4.7%

Interleague division record: 42-17, 71.2%, + 20.1 units, (dis)advantage: + 15.1%

All other games record: 236-185, 56.1%, -27.83 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 8.2%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 64-31 (67.4%), + 22.67 units, ROI: + 23.9%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Teas 47-48 (49.5%), -29.9 units, ROI: -31.5%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Colorado 10-2 (83.3%), + 7.05 units, ROI: + 58.8%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Arizona 12-8 (60.0%), + 0.45 units, ROI: + 2.3%

                                               

2. CLEVELAND INDIANS

Division record: 228-150, 60.3%, -6.35 units, (dis)advantage: + 7.3%

Interleague division record: 36-23, 61.0%, + 6.2 units, (dis)advantage: + 8.0%

All other games record: 209-185, 53.0%, -27.43 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 7.5%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Detroit 65-28 (69.9%), + 25.05 units, ROI: + 26.9%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 49-46 (51.6%), -18.55 units, ROI: -19.5%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Milwaukee 6-2 (75.0%), + 3.35 units, ROI: + 41.9%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 2-4 (33.3%), -4.5 units, ROI: -75.0%

                                               

3. KANSAS CITY ROYALS

Division record: 192-188, 50.5%, + 16.42 units, (dis)advantage: + 7.6%

Interleague division record: 23-29, 44.2%, -0.48 units, (dis)advantage: + 1.3%

All other games record: 169-225, 42.9%, -29.87 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 5.5%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago White Sox 53-42 (55.8%), + 8.27 units, ROI: + 8.7%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cleveland 36-59 (37.9%), -5.6 units, ROI: -5.9%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Cincinnati 6-2 (75.0%), + 5.1 units, ROI: + 63.8%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 2-4 (33.3%), -2.25 units, ROI: -37.5%

                                               

4. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Division record: 188-192, 49.5%, -0.56 units, (dis)advantage: + 4.6%

Interleague division record: 27-25, 51.9%, + 1.1 units, (dis)advantage: + 7.0%

All other games record: 172-211, 44.9%, -47.23 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 5.4%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 46-49 (48.4%), + 16.07 units, ROI: + 16.9%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Colorado 44-51 (46.3%), -9.73 units, ROI: -10.2%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Los Angeles Angels 5-1 (83.3%), + 4.5 units, ROI: + 75.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Houston 2-6 (25.0%), -3.95 units, ROI: -49.4%

                                               

5. BOSTON RED SOX

Division record: 209-175, 54.4%,10.2 units, (dis)advantage: -1.5%

Interleague division record: 37-15, 71.2%, + 17.92 units, (dis)advantage: + 15.2%

All other games record: 221-174, 55.9%, -7.51 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 4.1%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 58-37 (61.1%), + 11.05 units, ROI: + 11.6%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Yankees 45-54 (45.5%), -13.65 units, ROI: -13.8%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Washington 5-1 (83.3%), + 4.5 units, ROI: + 75.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Philadelphia 12-6 (66.7%), + 2.75 units, ROI: + 15.3%

                                               

6. BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Division record: 163-218, 42.8%,15.1 units, (dis)advantage: + 1.2%

Interleague division record: 26-26, 50.0%, + 4.32 units, (dis)advantage: + 8.5%

All other games record: 157-221, 41.5%, -61.96 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 3.7%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Tampa Bay 46-49 (48.4%), + 4.6 units, ROI: + 4.8%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Yankees 36-59 (37.9%), -10.45 units, ROI: -11.0%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Atlanta 5-1 (83.3%), + 4.9 units, ROI: + 81.7%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Miami 2-4 (33.3%), -3.2 units, ROI: -53.3%

                                               

7. LOS ANGELES ANGELS

Division record: 185-195, 48.7%, -9.7 units, (dis)advantage: + 1.3%

Interleague division record: 27-25, 51.9%, + 6.1 units, (dis)advantage: + 4.6%

All other games record: 179-199, 47.4%, -28.13 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 2.4%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 50-45 (52.6%), + 4.9 units, ROI: + 5.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Houston 33-62 (34.7%), -17.7 units, ROI: -18.6%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Colorado 6-2 (75.0%), + 4.65 units, ROI: + 58.1%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 1-5 (16.7%), -4.75 units, ROI: -79.2%

                                               

8. ATLANTA BRAVES

Division record: 198-181, 52.2%, + 34.56 units, (dis)advantage: + 6.2%

Interleague division record: 21-31, 40.4%, -7.5 units, (dis)advantage: -5.6%

All other games record: 178-209, 46.0%, -12.71 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 2.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Miami 61-33 (64.9%), + 25.87 units, ROI: + 27.5%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Washington 39-56 (41.1%), -3.15 units, ROI: -3.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 11-7 (61.1%), + 4.8 units, ROI: + 26.7%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Baltimore 1-5 (16.7%), -5.1 units, ROI: -85.0%

                                               

9. DETROIT TIGERS

Division record: 165-212, 43.8%, -35.66 units, (dis)advantage: + 4.1%

Interleague division record: 20-32, 38.5%, -8.38 units, (dis)advantage: -1.2%

All other games record: 150-228, 39.7%, -37.03 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 2.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 46-49 (48.4%), + 2.1 units, ROI: + 2.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cleveland 28-65 (30.1%), -28.28 units, ROI: -30.4%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. St. Louis 4-2 (66.7%), + 3.2 units, ROI: + 53.3%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Milwaukee 1-5 (16.7%), -4.7 units, ROI: -78.3%

                                               

10. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Division record: 195-189, 50.8%, + 0.47 units, (dis)advantage: + 1.3%

Interleague division record: 27-25, 51.9%, + 3.25 units, (dis)advantage: + 2.5%

All other games record: 187-191, 49.5%, -12.03 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 1.7%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 43-55 (43.9%), + 4.17 units, ROI: + 4.3%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 47-48 (49.5%), -4.45 units, ROI: -4.7%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.2 units, ROI: + 36.7%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 2-4 (33.3%), -2.35 units, ROI: -39.2%

                                               

11. MINNESOTA TWINS

Division record: 197-183, 51.8%, + 8.45 units, (dis)advantage: + 3.4%

Interleague division record: 24-28, 46.2%, -3 units, (dis)advantage: -2.3%

All other games record: 185-197, 48.4%, + 6.37 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 1.5%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cleveland 46-49 (48.4%), + 13.45 units, ROI: + 14.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Kansas City 45-50 (47.4%), -11.25 units, ROI: -11.8%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 5-3 (62.5%), + 2.95 units, ROI: + 36.9%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago Cubs 1-5 (16.7%), -4.05 units, ROI: -67.5%

                                               

12. PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Division record: 172-209, 45.1%, -36.78 units, (dis)advantage: -6.6%

Interleague division record: 35-17, 67.3%, + 16.05 units, (dis)advantage: + 15.6%

All other games record: 195-182, 51.7%, + 12.24 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.8%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cincinnati 50-45 (52.6%), -5.05 units, ROI: -5.3%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. St. Louis 39-56 (41.1%), -13.85 units, ROI: -14.6%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago White Sox 8-0 (100.0%), + 8 units, ROI: + 100.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 3-5 (37.5%), -3.4 units, ROI: -42.5%

                                               

13. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Division record: 209-174, 54.6%, + 2.6 units, (dis)advantage: -0.2%

Interleague division record: 30-22, 57.7%, + 1.45 units, (dis)advantage: + 2.9%

All other games record: 212-175, 54.8%, + 2.15 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.8%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 56-39 (58.9%), + 9.95 units, ROI: + 10.5%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago Cubs 46-53 (46.5%), -5.5 units, ROI: -5.6%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Cleveland 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.75 units, ROI: + 45.8%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Detroit 2-4 (33.3%), -3.55 units, ROI: -59.2%

                                               

14. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Division record: 169-211, 44.5%, -30.78 units, (dis)advantage: + 0.0%

Interleague division record: 24-28, 46.2%, + 5.5 units, (dis)advantage: + 1.7%

All other games record: 168-210, 44.4%, -11.67 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.6%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Miami 51-44 (53.7%), + 1.64 units, ROI: + 1.7%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Washington 33-62 (34.7%), -20.1 units, ROI: -21.2%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Tampa Bay 5-1 (83.3%), + 5.25 units, ROI: + 87.5%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Boston 6-12 (33.3%), -3.75 units, ROI: -20.8%

 

15. TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Division record: 179-202, 47.0%, -19.26 units, (dis)advantage: -3.1%

Interleague division record: 30-22, 57.7%, + 4.35 units, (dis)advantage: + 7.6%

All other games record: 199-198, 50.1%, -27.15 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.4%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Yankees 49-46 (51.6%), + 11.27 units, ROI: + 11.9%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Tampa Bay 39-56 (41.1%), -16.45 units, ROI: -17.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Washington 5-1 (83.3%), + 6.15 units, ROI: + 102.5%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Atlanta 7-11 (38.9%), -5.5 units, ROI: -30.6%

                                               

16. CHICAGO CUBS

Division record: 224-162, 58.0%, + 2.95 units, (dis)advantage: + 0.5%

Interleague division record: 34-25, 57.6%, -5.85 units, (dis)advantage: + 0.1%

All other games record: 232-171, 57.6%, -3.3 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cincinnati 59-36 (62.1%), + 5.6 units, ROI: + 5.9%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Milwaukee 55-41 (57.3%), -5.2 units, ROI: -5.4%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 5-1 (83.3%), + 3.9 units, ROI: + 65.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Detroit 4-4 (50.0%), -2.25 units, ROI: -28.1%

                                               

17. NEW YORK METS

Division record: 204-176, 53.7%, -12.3 units, (dis)advantage: + 4.6%

Interleague division record: 21-31, 40.4%, -8.28 units, (dis)advantage: -8.7%

All other games record: 193-200, 49.1%, -23.06 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: + 0.1%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Philadelphia 56-39 (58.9%), + 6.85 units, ROI: + 7.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Atlanta 46-49 (48.4%), -19.45 units, ROI: -20.5%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 4-4 (50.0%), + 0.6 units, ROI: + 7.5%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Boston 2-4 (33.3%), -3.8 units, ROI: -63.3%

                                               

18. WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Division record: 227-153, 59.7%, + 15.49 units, (dis)advantage: + 6.2%

Interleague division record: 21-31, 40.4%, -20.45 units, (dis)advantage: -13.2%

All other games record: 217-188, 53.6%, -22.71 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -0.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Philadelphia 62-33 (65.3%), + 15.92 units, ROI: + 16.8%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Mets 48-47 (50.5%), -7.88 units, ROI: -8.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Yankees 4-4 (50.0%), + 0.85 units, ROI: + 10.6%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 1-5 (16.7%), -6.75 units, ROI: -112.5%

                                               

19. TAMPA BAY RAYS

Division record: 188-192, 49.5%, -9.6 units, (dis)advantage: -2.6%

Interleague division record: 29-23, 55.8%, + 1.7 units, (dis)advantage: + 3.7%

All other games record: 200-184, 52.1%, -10.13 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -0.5%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 56-39 (58.9%), + 11.15 units, ROI: + 11.7%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Yankees 38-57 (40.0%), -12.6 units, ROI: -13.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Washington 5-3 (62.5%), + 2.85 units, ROI: + 35.6%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Philadelphia 1-5 (16.7%), -5.75 units, ROI: -95.8%

                                               

20. CINCINNATI REDS

Division record: 162-217, 42.7%, -23.04 units, (dis)advantage: + 0.4%

Interleague division record: 20-32, 38.5%, -11.21 units, (dis)advantage: -3.9%

All other games record: 160-218, 42.3%, -45.3 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -1.0%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 45-50 (47.4%), + 0.25 units, ROI: + 0.3%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago Cubs 36-59 (37.9%), -9.8 units, ROI: -10.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.57 units, ROI: + 42.8%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Kansas City 2-6 (25.0%), -5.45 units, ROI: -68.1%

                                               

21. NEW YORK YANKEES

Division record: 216-168, 56.3%, + 6.1 units, (dis)advantage: -1.7%

Interleague division record: 30-22, 57.7%, -6.8 units, (dis)advantage: -0.3%

All other games record: 233-169, 58.0%, + 2.05 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -1.2%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Boston 54-45 (54.5%), + 8.4 units, ROI: + 8.5%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 46-49 (48.4%), -15.45 units, ROI: -16.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Atlanta 5-1 (83.3%), + 2.9 units, ROI: + 48.3%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Philadelphia 3-3 (50.0%), -3.8 units, ROI: -63.3%

                                               

22. CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Division record: 165-214, 43.5%, -28.53 units, (dis)advantage: -1.4%

Interleague division record: 20-32, 38.5%, -2 units, (dis)advantage: -6.5%

All other games record: 170-208, 45.0%, + 7.53 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -3.1%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Cleveland 40-55 (42.1%), + 5.92 units, ROI: + 6.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Minnesota 38-57 (40.0%), -16.6 units, ROI: -17.5%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Milwaukee 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.8 units, ROI: + 46.7%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 0-8 (0.0%), -8 units, ROI: -100.0%

                                               

23. OAKLAND ATHLETICS

Division record: 176-204, 46.3%, -19.36 units, (dis)advantage: -6.6%

Interleague division record: 29-23, 55.8%, + 7.8 units, (dis)advantage: + 2.9%

All other games record: 201-179, 52.9%, + 21.02 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -3.4%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Texas 56-39 (58.9%), + 12.65 units, ROI: + 13.3%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 39-56 (41.1%), -17.8 units, ROI: -18.7%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. San Diego 7-1 (87.5%), + 5.95 units, ROI: + 74.4%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Colorado 2-4 (33.3%), -2.4 units, ROI: -40.0%

                                               

24. TEXAS RANGERS

Division record: 178-202, 46.8%, + 7.61 units, (dis)advantage: -5.7%

Interleague division record: 27-25, 51.9%, + 5.72 units, (dis)advantage: -0.7%

All other games record: 203-183, 52.6%, + 40.21 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -4.1%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Houston 48-47 (50.5%), + 23.37 units, ROI: + 24.6%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 39-56 (41.1%), -16.3 units, ROI: -17.2%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Colorado 7-3 (70.0%), + 4.4 units, ROI: + 44.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Arizona 4-8 (33.3%), -3.08 units, ROI: -25.7%

                                               

25. MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Division record: 187-194, 49.1%, + 8.27 units, (dis)advantage: -3.9%

Interleague division record: 25-27, 48.1%, -4.7 units, (dis)advantage: -4.9%

All other games record: 206-183, 53.0%, + 22.12 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -4.2%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Pittsburgh 50-45 (52.6%), + 6.2 units, ROI: + 6.5%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. St. Louis 43-52 (45.3%), -0.95 units, ROI: -1.0%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Detroit 5-1 (83.3%), + 4.5 units, ROI: + 75.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Chicago White Sox 2-4 (33.3%), -3.15 units, ROI: -52.5%

                                               

26. SAN DIEGO PADRES

Division record: 161-219, 42.4%, -22.16 units, (dis)advantage: -2.3%

Interleague division record: 19-33, 36.5%, -12.85 units, (dis)advantage: -8.2%

All other games record: 169-209, 44.7%, -16.79 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -4.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 45-50 (47.4%), + 0.8 units, ROI: + 0.8%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 30-65 (31.6%), -14.85 units, ROI: -15.6%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 9-7 (56.3%), + 3 units, ROI: + 18.8%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 1-7 (12.5%), -6.35 units, ROI: -79.4%

                                               

27. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Division record: 229-155, 59.6%, -21.45 units, (dis)advantage: -1.1%

Interleague division record: 28-31, 47.5%, -18 units, (dis)advantage: -13.3%

All other games record: 255-165, 60.7% + 14.9 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -5.1%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. San Diego 65-30 (68.4%), + 9.85 units, ROI: + 10.4%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 49-46 (51.6%), -21.65 units, ROI: -22.8%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Seattle 5-1 (83.3%), + 3.6 units, ROI: + 60.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 3-5 (37.5%), -5.5 units, ROI: -68.8%

                                               

28. COLORADO ROCKIES

Division record: 182-200, 47.6%, -4.97 units, (dis)advantage: -2.4%

Interleague division record: 20-32, 38.5%,,-11.45 units, (dis)advantage: -11.5%

All other games record: 191-191, 50.0%, + 14.49 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -5.4%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 51-44 (53.7%), + 4.97 units, ROI: + 5.2%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Arizona 44-52 (45.8%), -4.91 units, ROI: -5.1%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.3 units, ROI: + 38.3%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Houston 2-10 (16.7%), -7.45 units, ROI: -62.1%

                                               

29. SEATTLE MARINERS

Division record: 180-200, 47.4%, -31.46 units, (dis)advantage: -4.5%

Interleague division record: 21-31, 40.4%, -15.85 units, (dis)advantage: -11.5%

All other games record: 196-182, 51.9% + 9.62 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -6.8%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Oakland 56-39 (58.9%), + 13.6 units, ROI: + 14.3%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Houston 31-64 (32.6%), -26.93 units, ROI: -28.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. San Francisco 4-4 (50.0%), -0.8 units, ROI: -10.0%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1-5 (16.7%), -3.8 units, ROI: -63.3%

                                               

30. MIAMI MARLINS

Division record: 151-228, 39.8%, -53.09 units, (dis)advantage: -6.8%

Interleague division record: 20-32, 38.5%, -6.75 units, (dis)advantage: -8.2%

All other games record: 176-201, 46.7%, + 16.07 units

Total 2020 schedule (dis)advantage: -7.3%

Best divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. New York Mets 40-55 (42.1%), -2.03 units, ROI: -2.1%

Worst divisional matchup (by ROI): vs. Atlanta 33-61 (35.1%), -31.28 units, ROI: -33.3%

Best interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Baltimore 4-2 (66.7%), + 2.85 units, ROI: + 47.5%

Worst interleague matchup (by ROI): vs. Toronto 1-5 (16.7%), -4.05 units, ROI: -67.5%                                   

 

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