Live On Air

Streaming now: Prime Time Action

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

Saturday Sharp Action Report for Bucs-Lions, 49ers-Cardinals and Dolphins-Raiders

December 26, 2020 12:08 AM

We have a robust Saturday betting menu that includes three NFL games, three college football bowl games, 10 NBA games and a loaded college hoops slate. For extensive Saturday betting analysis be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher, Mike Palm, Thomas Gable and myself this morning from 10 a.m.-noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll be dissecting all the big matchups, the top lines moves and breaking down late sharp action across all the major spots.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for Saturday's three NFL matchups...

1 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions

The Bucs (9-5 SU, 7-7 ATS) have gotten back on track and won two straight, including a come-from-behind 31-27 win over the Falcons last week, although Tampa Bay failed to cover as 6-point road favorites. The Bucs are currently the 6-seed in the NFC playoffs but could rise to the 5-spot if they win out and the Rams stumble down the stretch. On the flip side, the Lions (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS) have lost two straight and four of their last five, including a 46-25 loss to the Titans last week where they failed to cover as 8.5-point road dogs. Detroit has already been eliminated from playoff contention. This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a 7.5-point road favorite. We've seen both Pros and Joes rush to the window to back Tom Brady and the Bucs, which has pushed this line up from -7.5 to -9.5. Some shops that touched 10 got hit with some Lions + 10 buyback getting the key number. Saturday road teams are 2-0 ATS this season roughly 60% ATS over the past decade. The total is 54. Both teams are profitable to the over this season, with Tampa Bay 8-6 and Detroit 9-5. Detroit interim head coach Darrell Bevell will miss this game due to COVID-19 protocols.

4:30 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

The 49ers (5-9 SU, 5-9 ATS) have had an awful second half of the season, losing three straight and six of their last seven. San Francisco fell to the Cowboys last week 41-33, failing to cover as 4-point road favorites. The 49ers have officially been eliminated from the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Cardinals (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) have won two straight and just took down the Eagles 33-26 last week, covering as 6-point home favorites. Arizona currently occupies the 7th and final playoff spot in the NFC but needs to keep winning to fend off the Bears and Vikings. This line opened with the Cardinals listed as 3.5-point home favorites. The public (along with some early respected money) is all over Arizona, driving this line up to -5. The 49ers have value as a road divisional dog and a short road dog + 6 or less (64% ATS this season). Wiseguys are also eyeing the under as we've seen the total fall from 50 to 49. This would match a profitable late season divisional under trend. C.J. Beathard will start for the 49ers, who also welcome George Kittle back from injured reserve.

8:15 p.m. ET: Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

The Dolphins (9-5 SU, 11-3 ATS) are 8-2 over their last ten games and just beat the Patriots 22-12, easily winning outright as 1-point home dogs. Miami currently owns the 7th and final AFC playoff spot but Baltimore is breathing down their throats. Meanwhile, the Raiders (7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS) are crumbling at the wrong time, losing two straight and four of their last five. Las Vegas just fell to the Chargers 30-27 on Thursday night, losing outright as 3-point home favorites. The Raiders are technically still alive for a playoff spot but need to win out and get serious help in order to snag the last spot. This line originally opened with the Raiders listed as 2-point home favorites. But we've seen heavily lopsided action come down on the Dolphins, flipping Miami all the way to a 3-point road favorite. We've seen some sharp buyback hit Vegas at the key number of + 3. Vegas has value as a contrarian inflated home dog in a heavily bet primetime game. Derek Carr is expected to start for Vegas after leaving last week's game early with a groin injury.

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • USATSI_15426698

    2021 NFL Draft best bets - Prop bets we like

    The 2021 NFL draft will take place April 29-May 1 in Cleveland, Ohio. While it isn't the Super Bowl or NCAA tournament in terms of sports betting...
  • flatter

    Five favorites turn Derby top-heavy

    The rate of attrition from the Kentucky Derby is reaching a hard-to-imagine level. Rather than the usual springtime stories of horses coming up unfit,...
  • kuhn

    UFC 261: Best bets for Smith-Crute

    UFC 261 is slated for a rare triple-title night, and that usually offers matchups with different odds profiles. In this case, we have two established...
  • youmansdraft

    2021 NFL mock draft: Five QBs in top 10 picks

    The 2021 NFL draft is only a week away, beginning on Thursday, April 29. VSiN senior editor and host Matt Youmans gives his first version of a mock draft...
  • jvtrank

    NBA power rankings: Nets fall out of top 5

    Just a few weeks remain in the NBA regular season, but quite a few teams refuse to start buckling down. Brooklyn experienced one of the biggest drops...
  • reynolds

    PGA offers different look with team event

    Stewart Cink, 47, earned his second victory of the PGA Tour season with a four-stroke victory over Emiliano Grillo and Harold Varner III last weekend...
  • biglou

    Best bets for UFC 261 titles

    “Insight the Octagon” lost another best bet on last week’s UFC slate as Drakkar Klose was forced out of his bout with Jeremy Stephens...
  • macneil

    Handicapping marquee NHL games

    Montreal Canadiens at Calgary Flames (Friday, Saturday and Monday)   After two games in Edmonton, the Canadiens will travel a few hours south...
  • jvtclips

    Clippers sneaking into NBA elite

    Injuries have largely shaped this NBA season. A condensed 72-game schedule over five months has led to injuries to key players on multiple teams that...
  • hill

    Seeking value in NFL win totals

    Some people would say Christmas is their favorite holiday. Others prefer the candy on Halloween or the turkey on Thanksgiving. The revelation of NFL season...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on baseball season

    We’ve taken the last two weeks off in the Tuley’s Takes home office as we spent spring break with the kids and, well, doing some spring cleaning....
  • makinennfl

    NFL stats foretell improvement, decline

    With the NFL draft approaching next week, bettors are ramping up their preparation to take on all the offseason futures wagering options available in...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close