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Saturday MLB Sharp Report

yankees

6:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (21-12) at Miami Marlins (14-18)

The Brewers took last night's series opener 2-1, cashing as -150 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Milwaukee hands the ball to lefty Eric Lauer (3-0, 1.82 ERA) while Miami counters with fellow southpaw Trevor Rogers (1-4, 5.00 ERA). This line opened with the Brewers listed as a short -120 road favorite and the Marlins a +110 home dog. Pros have laid the short road chalk with Milwaukee, steaming the Brewers up to -130. Some shops are inching closer to -140. Non-division road favorites are 65-28 (70%) this season. Milwaukee also has value as a favorite with a low total (7). The Brewers are 19-9 as a favorite this season. The Marlins are 5-9 as a dog. Milwaukee is 11-8 on the road while Miami is just 6-8 at home. Some shops are juicing up the under 7 to -115, signaling some liability on a lower-scoring game. 

 

7:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (24-8) at Chicago White Sox (15-16)

The Yankees have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 15-7 as +130 road dogs and then winning again Friday night 10-4 as -195 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, New York starts lefty Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 2.90 ERA) while Chicago trots out fellow lefty Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 6.86 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -135 road favorite and the White Sox a +125 home dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're riding the hot hand, steaming New York up from -135 to -150. Non-division road favorites off a win are 44-17 (72%) this season. The Yankees are 7-2 against lefties this season. New York is 22-8 as a favorite. Chicago is 2-6 as a dog. The Yankees are hitting .243 while the White Sox are hitting .225. New York is +66 in run differential. Chicago is -27. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a higher scoring game. The over is 2-0 this series. 

 

8:10 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (11-20) at Arizona Diamondbacks (18-15)

The Diamondbacks took last night's series opener 4-3, cashing as short -120 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, Chicago taps veteran righty Kyle Hendricks (2-3, 4.38 ERA) while Arizona sends out fellow righty Zac Gallen (2-0, 0.95 ERA). This line opened with the Diamondbacks listed as a -140 home favorite and the Cubs a +130 road dog. Pros have sided with the Snakes at home, driving Arizona up from -140 to -150. Arizona has value as a favorite with a low total (7.5). The Diamondbacks are 12-11 against righties while the Cubs are just 6-14 against righties. Arizona is 2-1 as a favorite and 10-9 at home. Chicago is 9-14 as a dog and 7-9 on the road. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 8 to 7.5. Unders are 253-213 (54%) this season. Arizona is 19-12 to the under on the season. 

 

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