Saturday MLB Sharp Report



2:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (35-43) at Minnesota Twins (44-36)

The Twins took care of business in Friday night's series opener, winning 3-2 as -230 home favorites. In this afternoon's rematch, Baltimore turns to righty Jordan Lyles (4-7. 4.94 ERA) and Minnesota counters with fellow righty Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.17 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a hefty -200 home favorite and the Orioles a +185 road dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed the Twins up from -200 to -215. Home favorites -200 or more are 117-45 (73%) this season. The Twins are 32-17 as a favorite, 24-17 at home and 30-27 against righties. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 31-40 as a dog, 17-36 on the road and 22-29 against righties. The Twins have the edge at the plate, hitting .252 compared to .228 for the Orioles. Minnesota is 7-1 in Gray's last eight starts. Gray posted a 1.69 ERA in June. The Orioles are 2-8 in Lyles' last ten starts. Lyles posted a 6.28 ERA in June. The Twins are +45 in run differential. The Orioles are -27. 


4:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (37-42) at Houston Astros (49-27)

The Astros dominated last night's series opener 8-1, cruising as -175 home favorites. Houston is now 12-3 over their last 15 games. In this late afternoon rematch, Los Angeles starts lefty Patrick Sandoval (3-2, 2.63 ERA) and Houston sends out righty Jose Urquidy (6-3, 4.36 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -130 home favorite and the Angels a +115 road dog. Sharps are riding the red-hot Astros, driving Houston up from -130 to -140. Favorites who made the playoffs against teams who did not are 299-158 (65%) this season. The Astros are 42-18 as a favorite, 22-11 at home and 14-8 against lefties. Meanwhile, the Angels are just 5-19 as a dog and 16-19 on the road. Both teams are hitting .238. The difference comes on the mound, where Houston's ERA is 2.93 compared to 3.82 for Los Angeles. The Astros lead the season series 5-3 over the Angels. The Astros are +80 in run differential. The Angels are -3. 


7:15 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (43-34) at Chicago Cubs (31-46)

The Cubs came from behind to steal last night's series opener 6-5. cashing as +125 home dogs. In tonight's rematch, Boston sends out rookie righty Josh Winckowski (3-1, 3.60 ERA) and Chicago taps fellow righty Alec Mills (0-1. 9.87 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -135 road favorite and the Cubs a  125 home dog. Sharps have sided with Boston in a bounce-back spot, steaming the Red Sox up from -135 to -150. Non-division road favorites are 144-77 (65%) this season. Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs last season are 150-75 (67%). Chicago is 21-31 as a dog, 16-26 at home and 22-34 against righties. Boston is hitting .261 compared to .250 for Chicago. Boston also has the better pitching staff, sporting a team ERA of 3.63 compared to 4.84 for Chicago. The Red Sox are +59 in run differential. The Cubs are -65.

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