Saturday MLB Sharp Report

USATSI_18826337

5:05 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (43-63) at Baltimore Orioles (55-51)

The Orioles took Friday night's Interleague series opener 1-0, cashing as -155 home favorites. In this early evening rematch, Pittsburgh hands the ball to righty JT Brubaker (2-9, 4.40 ERA) and Baltimore counters with fellow righty Austin Voth (1-1, 2.84 ERA). This line opened with the Orioles listed as a -135 home favorite and the Pirates a +120 road dog. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Baltimore, steaming the Orioles up from -135 to -150. Baltimore has value as a favorite in Interleague play and a favorite with a line move in their favor, as the lack of familiarity benefits the "better" team. The Orioles have won four straight and are 9-5 since the All Star Break. Baltimore holds the edge at the plate (hitting .235 vs .221). The Orioles are 30-20 at home. The Pirates are 19-34 on the road. Brubaker posted a 4.84 ERA in July and Pittsburgh went 0-4 in his four starts. Voth posted a 2.75 ERA in five July starts. Baltimore went 4-1 in those games. 

 

6:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (70-38) at Cleveland Guardians (54-52)

The Astros have taken the first two games of this AL non-division series, winning the opener 6-0 as -185 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 9-3 as -220 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Houston taps righty Luis Garcia (8-7, 3.81 ERA) and Cleveland sends out fellow righty Cal Quantrill (7-5, 4.08 ERA). This line opened with Houston listed as a -145 road favorite and Cleveland a +130 home dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and have steamed Houston up from -145 to -155. Non-division road favorites are 185-112 (62%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs last year against teams who didn't are 407-232 (64%). The Astros are 62-28 as a favorite, 44-27 against righties and 36-21 on the road. Houston leads the season series 4-1. The Astros hold a big edge on the mound, sporting a team ERA of 2.98 compared to 3.91 for Cleveland. 

 

6:10 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (57-49) at Detroit Tigers (42-66)

The Rays have won both games in this series, taking the opener 6-2 as -180 road favorites and then winning again on Friday 5-3 as -200 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Tampa Bay gives the ball to lefty ace Shane McClanahan (10-4, 2.07 ERA) and Detroit starts righty Garrett Hill (1-3, 5.88 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a hefty -225 road favorite and the Tigers a +210 home dog. Wiseguys aren't scared off by the expensive price and steamed Tampa Bay up from -225 to -255. Non-division road favorites are 185-112 (62%). Tampa Bay also has correlative betting value as a big favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Rays lead the season series 4-1. Tampa Bay is hitting .239 compared to .226 for Detroit. The Rays are 41-28 as a favorite and 45-36 against righties. The Tigers are 33-55 as a dog and 13-17 against lefties. We could be looking at a low scoring game here, as the total is 7.5 with the under juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall down to 7. 

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