Saturday MLB Sharp Report

mets

4:05 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (33-27) at Washington Nationals (22-38)

The Nats stole last night's series opener 11-5, cashing as +160 home dogs. The Brewers have now lost seven straight games. In this late afternoon rematch, Milwaukee hands the ball to lefty Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.83 ERA) and Washington counters with fellow southpaw Patrick Corbin (2-8, 6.71 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -155 road favorite and Washington a +140 home dog. Respected money has sided with the Brewers to end their losing streak, steaming Milwaukee up from -155 to -165. Non-division road favorites are 110-54 (67%) this season. The Brewers are 28-22 as a favorite. The Nats are 17-34 as a dog. Milwaukee is +4 in run differential. Washington is -85. 

 

4:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (34-23) at Detroit Tigers (22-34)

Toronto crushed Detroit 10-1 in Friday night's series opener, easily cashing as -215 road favorites. In today's rematch, Toronto starts righty Kevin Gausman (5-4, 2.78 ERA) and Detroit sends out fellow righty Beau Brieske (0-5, 4.93 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -225 road favorite and the Tigers a +200 home dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed Toronto up from -225 to -250. Road favorites are 196-115 (63%) this season. Toronto is 27-15 as a favorite, 16-13 on the road and 29-17 against righties. Detroit is 16-27 as a dog, 15-16 at home and 17-24 against righties. Toronto holds a big edge at the plate, batting .249 compared to Detroit hitting .221. We could also be looking at another higher scoring game as the total is 8 with the over juiced to -120. Overs are 61-53 (54%) in the month of June. 

 

10:07 p.m. ET: New York Mets (39-21) at Los Angeles Angels (28-32)

The Mets took last night's Interleague series opener 7-3, cashing as -135 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, New York taps veteran righty Carlos Carrasco (7-1, 3.38 ERA) and Los Angeles starts fellow righty Michael Lorenezen (5-3, 3.69 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a short -125 road favorite and Angels a +115 home dog. Respected money has laid the short chalk, steaming the Mets up from -125 to -130. The Mets are 28-12 as favorites, 20-13 on the road and 28-11 against righties. The Angels are 3-14 as a dog, 16-17 at home and 20-23 against righties. The Mets are hitting .263 while the Angels are hitting just .241. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some over liability. The forecast calls for low 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. 

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