Saturday MLB Sharp Report

mariners

2:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (45-39) at St. Louis Cardinals (45-41)

The Phillies blanked the Cardinals 2-0 in Friday night's series opener, cashing as slight -125 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Philadelphia taps righty Kyle Gibson (4-3, 2.91 ERA) and St. Louis starts fellow righty Dakota Hudson (6-5, 4.29 ERA). This line opened with the Cardinals listed as a slight -120 home favorite and the Phillies a +110 road dog. Sharps see value on Philadelphia getting plus money, dropping the Phillies from +110 to +105. Essentially, smart Phillies money is moving the game closer toward a pick'em. The Phillies are 6-2 over their last 8 games. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are just 2-7 over their last 9 games. We could be looking at a lower scoring game here, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115. The forecast calls for 10 MPH winds blowing in from center. When the total is 8.5 or higher, the under is 351-296 (54%) this season. The under is 3-1 in four matchups this season. The under is 5-0 in the last five Cardinals games and 4-1 in the last five Phillies games. 

 

7:15 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (61-23) at Boston Red Sox (45-39)

The Yankees are 2-0 so far in this AL East series, taking the opener 6-5 as -160 road favorites and then winning against 12-5 yesterday as -145 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, New York starts lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.19 ERA) and Boston sends out righty Kutter Crawford (2-2, 5.04 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -155 road favorite and Boston a +135 home dog. Sharps aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're laying the chalk with the best team in baseball, steaming the Bronx Bombers up from -155 to -165. Road favorites are 279-177 (61%) this season. The Yankees are 57-22 as a favorite, 27-14 on the road and 42-15 against righties. New York leads the season series 4-2. Boston has been slumping as of late, going just 3-8 over their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 9-3 over their last 12 games. 

 

10:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (45-40) at Seattle Mariners (43-42)

The Mariners have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 8-3 as -105 home dogs and and winning again on Friday 5-2 as -105 home dogs. In tonight's rematch, Toronto hands the ball to righty Alek Manoah (9-3, 2.33 ERA) and Seattle counters with lefty Robbie Ray (7-6, 3.62 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a short -125 road favorite and the Mariners a +115 home dog. Pros seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and have hopped on the red-hot Mariners, dropping Seattle from +115 to +105. Seattle has won six straight to improve to 14-3 over their last 17 games. Meanwhile, the Jays are 1-7 over their last 8 games. The Mariners are 22-20 at home and 35-29 against righties this season. The Jays are 20-22 on the road and 7-10 against lefties. Seattle holds the overall edge on the mound, sporting a team ERA of 3.62 compared to 4.13 for the Jays. 

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