Saturday MLB Sharp Report

USATSI_18337235

2:15 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (29-17) at St. Louis Cardinals (25-20)

These NL Central rivals have split the first two games of the series. The Brewers won the opener 4-3 as +105 road dogs and then the Cardinals bounced back with a 4-2 win Friday night, cashing as +125 home dogs. In this afternoon's rematch, Milwaukee hands the ball to righty Adrian Houser (3-4, 2.98 ERA) and St. Louis counters with lefty Matthew Liberatore (0-0, 7.71 ERA). This line opened with the Brewers listed as a short -110 road favorite and the Cardinals a +100 home dog. Respected money has laid the short moneyline chalk with the Brewers, driving Milwaukee up from -110 to -115. Milwaukee has value as a team off a loss who made the playoffs last season (89-40, 69% this season). The Brewers are 25-13 as a favorite this season. The total is 8.5 with the under juiced up to -115, signaling some liability on another lower scoring game (the under is 2-0 so far this series). When the total is 8.5 or higher, the under is 167-121 (58%). 

 

4:07 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (21-23) at Oakland Athletics (19-29)

The Rangers have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 4-1 as +100 road dogs and then winning again on Friday night 8-5 as -125 road favorites. In today's rematch, Texas starts lefty Taylor Hearn (2-3, 5.77 ERA) and Oakland rebuttals with fellow southpaw Zach Logue (2-3, 4.43 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick'em with both teams listed at roughly -105. Pros have sided with the Rangers to continue to roll in this series, steaming Texas up to a -115 road favorite. Road favorites are 150-88 (63%) this season. Texas is 4-1 against Oakland this season. The Athletics are just 6-15 at home this season and are drawing the fewest fans of any home ballpark. Texas is even in run differential. Oakland is -34. 

 

4:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (33-13) at Tampa Bay Rays (26-19)

The Yankees have won both games in this series so far, taking the opener 7-2 as -120 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 2-0 as +125 road favorites. In today's rematch, New York trots out ace Gerrit Cole (4-1, 3.31 ERA) and Tampa Bay turns to veteran righty Corey Kluber (1-2, 4.42 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a modest -135 road favorite and Tampa Bay a +125 road dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're backing the best team in baseball with their ace on the mound, driving the Yankees up from -135 to -140. New York has value as a favorite in a low total game (7). The Yankees are 22-9 against righties this season. New York is 30-13 as a favorite and 16-6 on the road. 

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