Saturday MLB Sharp Report

dodgers

6:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins (50-44) at Detroit Tigers (38-56)

The Twins are playing their first game of the second half after dropping three of our against the White Sox on the road prior to the All Star Break. Meanwhile, the Tigers have already played two games since the break, splitting a doubleheader on the road against the Athletics. In tonight's AL Central series opener, Minnesota starts righty Joe Ryan (6-3, 2.99 ERA) and Detroit taps veteran righty Michael Pineda (2-5, 5.22 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a -155 road favorite and the Tigers a +140 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Minnesota, steaming the Twins up from -155 to -175. Road favorites are 310-197 (61.1%) this season. The Tigers are 29-45 as a dog and just 26-41 against righties. Minnesota is hitting .252 compared to .228 for Detroit. Ryan has a 2.02 ERA in three July starts. Pineda has a 7.79 ERA in four July starts. 

 

7:15 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (48-45) at Los Angeles Dodgers (62-30)

The Dodgers have taken the first two games of this NL West showdown, winning the opener 9-6 as -120 home favorites and then winning again 5-1 on Friday night as -155 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Giants hand the ball to lefty Alex Wood (6-7, 4.20 ERA) and the Dodgers counter with fellow southpaw Julio Urias (8-6, 2.89 ERA). This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a -155 home favorite and San Francisco a +140 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and have steamed the Dodgers up from -155 to -165. Los Angeles has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8). Los Angeles is 61-29 as a favorite, 32-13 at home and 20-11 against lefties. The Dodgers have an edge at the plate, hitting .255 compared to .237 for the Giants. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Urias' last six starts. We could also be looking at a lower-scoring game here, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible fall down to 7.5. According to our VSiN.com/splits page, the under is receiving 38% of bets but 75% of the money, a notable smart money discrepancy. 

 

9:07 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (42-50) at Oakland Athletics (34-62)

The Athletics took last night's series opener 5-4, cashing as short -105 home dogs. In tonight's AL West rematch, Texas hands the ball to righty Matt Bush (2-1, 3.31 ERA) and Oakland starts fellow righty James Kaprielian (1-5, 5.09 ERA). This line opened with the Rangers listed as -120 road favorite and the Athletics a +100 home dog. Sharps have sided with Texas to bounce back with a win, steaming the Rangers up from -120 to -130. Road favorites off a loss are 139-82 (63%) this season. Texas has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Rangers are hitting .239 compared to .212 for the Athletics. Texas leads the season series 7-4. Oakland is just 28-52 as a dog, 23-43 against righties and 13-32 at home. 

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