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Saturday MLB Sharp Report

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Today we kickoff a loaded betting weekend with 15 MLB games, 4 NBA games and 12 NHL games. Let's discuss where smart money is leaning for several MLB games today... 

 

1:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (0-1) at Tampa Bay Rays (1-0)

The Rays took Friday night's season opener 2-1, taking care of business as -185 home favorites. In this early afternoon rematch, Baltimore starts righty Jordan Lyles (10-13, 5.15 ERA in 2021) while Tampa Bay gives the nod to fellow righty Drew Rasmussen (4-1, 2.84 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a hefty -220 home favorite and the Orioles a +200 road dog. Wiseguys aren't scared off by the big chalk price, steaming the Rays up from -220 to -230. We could be looking at a lower scoring game in this one, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115 or -120. Historically, unders have performed better in domes or closed roof stadiums due to the fact that the ball doesn't travel as well as being outdoors. 

 

3:07 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (0-1) at Toronto Blue Jays (1-0)

The Jays won Friday night's series opener 10-8, overcoming a 7-0 deficit to cash as -160 home favorites. In this afternoon's rematch, Texas righty Dane Dunning (5-10, 4.91 ERA in 2021) takes the mound against Toronto ace Kyle Gausman (14-6, 2.81 ERA). This line opened with the Blue Jays listed as a -190 home favorite and the Rangers a +175 road dog. Smart money is backing Toronto and their loaded lineup at home, driving the Jays up from -190 to -200. Yesterday's over cashed easily and wiseguys seem to be saying "if it ain't broke, don't fix it." The total is 9 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a higher scoring game and possible rise up to -9.5. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be open. The forecast calls for mid 40s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right center. 

 

7:20 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (1-1) at Atlanta Braves (1-1)

These National League non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Reds took the opener 6-3, cashing as +155 road dogs. Then the Braves rebounded with a 7-6 win on Friday, cashing as -180 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Reds hand the ball to righty Vladimir Gutierrez (9-6, 4.74 ERA in 2021) while the Braves counter with fellow righty Kyle Wright (0-1, 9.95 ERA). This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -150 home favorite and Cincinnati a +140 road dog. Respected money had laid the chalk with Atlanta, driving the Braves up from -150 to -165. Non-division home favorites are 499-314 (61.4%) since 2021. The total is 10 with the over juiced to -115 at some shops, signaling a possible higher scoring game. The forecast calls for mid 50s with winds blowing 10-15 MPH out to left center. 

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