Saturday MLB Sharp Report

USATSI_18046428

Today we kickoff a loaded betting weekend with 15 MLB games, 4 NBA games and 12 NHL games. Let's discuss where smart money is leaning for several MLB games today... 

 

1:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (0-1) at Tampa Bay Rays (1-0)

The Rays took Friday night's season opener 2-1, taking care of business as -185 home favorites. In this early afternoon rematch, Baltimore starts righty Jordan Lyles (10-13, 5.15 ERA in 2021) while Tampa Bay gives the nod to fellow righty Drew Rasmussen (4-1, 2.84 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a hefty -220 home favorite and the Orioles a +200 road dog. Wiseguys aren't scared off by the big chalk price, steaming the Rays up from -220 to -230. We could be looking at a lower scoring game in this one, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115 or -120. Historically, unders have performed better in domes or closed roof stadiums due to the fact that the ball doesn't travel as well as being outdoors. 

 

3:07 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (0-1) at Toronto Blue Jays (1-0)

The Jays won Friday night's series opener 10-8, overcoming a 7-0 deficit to cash as -160 home favorites. In this afternoon's rematch, Texas righty Dane Dunning (5-10, 4.91 ERA in 2021) takes the mound against Toronto ace Kyle Gausman (14-6, 2.81 ERA). This line opened with the Blue Jays listed as a -190 home favorite and the Rangers a +175 road dog. Smart money is backing Toronto and their loaded lineup at home, driving the Jays up from -190 to -200. Yesterday's over cashed easily and wiseguys seem to be saying "if it ain't broke, don't fix it." The total is 9 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a higher scoring game and possible rise up to -9.5. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be open. The forecast calls for mid 40s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right center. 

 

7:20 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (1-1) at Atlanta Braves (1-1)

These National League non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Reds took the opener 6-3, cashing as +155 road dogs. Then the Braves rebounded with a 7-6 win on Friday, cashing as -180 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Reds hand the ball to righty Vladimir Gutierrez (9-6, 4.74 ERA in 2021) while the Braves counter with fellow righty Kyle Wright (0-1, 9.95 ERA). This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -150 home favorite and Cincinnati a +140 road dog. Respected money had laid the chalk with Atlanta, driving the Braves up from -150 to -165. Non-division home favorites are 499-314 (61.4%) since 2021. The total is 10 with the over juiced to -115 at some shops, signaling a possible higher scoring game. The forecast calls for mid 50s with winds blowing 10-15 MPH out to left center. 

back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

VSiN Final Countdown: Check out the sportsbook’s rules regarding games that could get moved or postponed before placing any bets.

VSiN PrimeTime: When a player does not practice, do not assume they are out for the upcoming game, there are different parameters, follow team beat reporters for the most relevant information.

View tips for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Wes Reynolds: Bengals -190 ML vs. Dolphins

Matt Brown: Bengals -2.5

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-09-26_at_9.44.58_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

Close