Saturday College Basketball Sharp Report

kentucky1

3:30 p.m. ET: Kentucky vs Tennessee

This is the SEC Tournament Semifinal. Kentucky (26-6 SU, 14-17-1 ATS) is ranked 5th in the country and just beat Vanderbilt 77-71 in yesterday's quarterfinals, failing to cover as 11-point favorites. Meanwhile, Tennessee (24-7 SU, 18-13 ATS) is ranked 9th and just took down Mississippi State 72-59, covering as 7.5-point favorites. This line opened with Kentucky listed as a short 2-point neutral court favorite. Respected money has laid the points, steaming Kentucky up from -2 to -2.5. Ken Pom has Kentucky winning by two points (71-69). He has Kentucky ranked 2nd and Tennessee 11th. Kentucky holds the edge on offense (80 PPG vs 74 PPG), shooting (49% vs 43%) and rebounding (40 RPG vs 37 RPG). Kentucky also has value as a buy-low "bad" ATS team (14-17-1) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (18-13). Kentucky is -135 on the moneyline.
 
 
7:30 p.m. ET: Akron vs Kent State
 
This is the MAC Tournament championship game, with the winner punching their ticket to the Big Dance. Akron (23-9 SU, 16-14 ATS) has won seven straight games and just upset Toledo 70-62, winning outright as 5.5-point dogs. Similarly, Kent State (23-9 SU, 17-11-2 ATS) has won 14-straight games and just beat Ohio 67-61 as 1.5-point dogs. This line opened with Kent State listed as a short 1-point favorite. Sharps have laid the chalk, driving Kent State up from -1 to -2. Ken Pom has Kent State winning by one point (64-63). Kent State went 2-0 against Akron this season, winning 66-64 and 67-55. Respected money is leaning on a lower scoring game, dropping the total from 125 to 123.5. This is the third game in three days for both clubs, which could cause tired legs. Both teams are "under" teams, with Akron 17-13 to the under and Kent State 18-11-1 to the under. 
 
 
8 p.m. ET: Northern Colorado vs Montana State
 
This is the Big Sky Tournament championship game. Northern Colorado (20-14 SU, 14-15-2 ATS) has won two straight and just beat Portland State 86-79, covering as 4-point favorites. On the other hand, Montana State (26-7 SU, 17-14-1 ATS) has won five straight and just edged Weber State 69-66, winning outright as 1.5-point dogs. This line opened with Montana State listed as a 3.5-point neutral court favorite. We've seen this line creep up from 3.5 to 4, signaling pro money laying the points with Montana State. Ken Pom has Montana State winning by four points (78-74). He has Montana State ranked 134th and Northern Colorado 204th. Montana State's big edge comes on defense, allowing only 69 PPG compared to 77 for Northern Colorado. 
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