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Saturday College Basketball Sharp Report

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12 p.m. ET: Xavier at Connecticut
 
These Big East opponents are trending in opposite directions. Xavier (17-8 SU, 13-12 ATS) has lost three of their last four games and just fell to St. John's 86-73, losing outright as 6.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Connecticut (18-7 SU, 11-14 ATS) is ranked 24th, has won three of their last four and just beat Seton Hall 70-65, failing to cover as 6-point home favorites. This line opened with Connecticut listed as a 5.5-point home favorite. The public thinks this line is a bit high and have jumped on trendy dog Xavier plus the points. However, pros have backed the contrarian favorite and steamed Connecticut up from -5.5 to -6.5. UConn is 11-2 at home this season. This is a revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost the Musketeers 74-68 only a week ago. Ken Pom has UConn winning by six points (73-67). He has UConn ranked 18th and Xavier 38th. 
 
 
12:30 p.m. ET: Texas Tech at Texas
 
This early Big 12 matchup features a pair of ranked in-state rivals fighting for supremacy atop the conference standings. Texas Tech (20-6 SU, 18-8 ATS) is ranked 11th and just took down Baylor 83-73, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Texas (19-7 SU, 12-14 ATS) is ranked 20th and just beat Oklahoma 80-78, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. This line opened with Texas listed as low as a 1.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're grabbing the points with trendy dog Texas Tech. However, despite this lopsided betting the line has inched further to Texas (-1.5 to -3), signaling sharp reverse line movement on the home team. Texas is 15-1 at home this season. Texas Tech is 2-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Texas winning by two points (63-61). This is a revenge spot for Texas, who lost to Texas Tech 77-64 just two short weeks ago. 
 
 
3:30 p.m. ET: Saint Louis at Davidson
 
These Atlantic 10 opponents are jostling for the top spot in the conference. Saint Louis (18-8 SU, 15-10 ATS) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 90-64 beatdown of LaSalle, easily covering as 13.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Davidson (21-4 SU, 13-10 ATS) is 5-2 over their last seven games and just edged Duquesne 72-61, failing to cover as 14-point home favorites. This line opened with Davidson listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Most books are juicing up the Davidson -2, signaling liability in their favor and a possible move to 2.5. Davidson holds the edge in shooting (49% vs 47%). Davidson is 10-1 at home this season. Saint Louis is 4-4 on the road. Ken Pom has Davidson winning by two points (75-73). Davidson is -130 on the moneyline. 
 
 
8 p.m. ET: New Mexico State at Grand Canyon
 
This primetime WAC grudge match is getting largely overlooked. But not by the sharps. New Mexico State (21-4 SU, 12-10 ATS) is 6-1 over their last seven games and just beat Dixie State 75-64, failing to cover as 16-point home favorites. Similarly, Grand Canyon (18-6 SU, 12-11 ATS) is 4- over their last five games and just beat California Baptist 65-60, covering as 2.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Grand Canyon listed as a 1-point home favorite. The juice is heavy on Grand Canyon (-1 at -115), signaling pro money leaning in their favor and a possible rise to 1.5. Grand Canyon is 12-1 at home this season. Ken Pom has Grand Canyon winning by three points (67-64). This is also a revenge spot for Grand Canyon, who lost to New Mexico State 71-61 back on January 29th. 
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