Saturday College Basketball Sharp Report

indiana

 

12 p.m. ET: Illinois at Indiana
 
Illinois (16-5 SU, 10-11 ATS) is ranked 18th in the country and has won three straight, most recently crushing Wisconsin 80-67 and covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Indiana (16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS) is unranked but has won two straight, including a 68-55 win over Maryland their last time out, covering as 2-point road favorites. This line opened with Indiana listed as a short 1-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're rushing to the window to back trendy dog Illinois. However, this line has moved further toward Indiana (-1 to -1.5), signaling sharp money laying the points with the Hoosiers. Indiana has value as an unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Ken Pom has Indiana winning by one point (68-67). Indiana is 13-1 at home this season. The Hoosiers are -120 on the moneyline. 
 
 
12 p.m. ET: Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
 
Both of these Big 12 in-state rivals have struggled mightily as of late. Oklahoma (13-9 SU, 10-12 ATS) is just 1-6 over their last seven games. The Sooners just fell to TCU 72-63, losing outright as 6-point home favorites. Similarly, Oklahoma State (10-11 SU, 7-14 ATS) has lost four straight games and just lost to Kansas State 71-68, failing to cover as 2.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Oklahoma State listed as a 3-point home favorite. We've seen this line fall from 3 to 2.5, signaling respected money grabbing the points with the Sooners. Ken Pom has Oklahoma State winning by two-points (66-64), which means the hook could be crucial in this one. Ken Pom has Oklahoma ranked 39th and Oklahoma State 62nd. Oklahoma has a big advantage in terms of shooting (49% vs 43%). 
 
 
4 p.m. ET: Baylor at Kansas
 
Baylor (19-3 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) is ranked 8th and coming off a 81-77 win over West Virginia, failing to cover as 13-point home favorites. Similarly, Kansas (18-3 SU, 9-12 ATS) is ranked 10th and just beat Iowa State 70-61, easily covering as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Kansas listed as a 2-point home favorite. The public is split, yet we've seen this line tick up from 2 to 2.5, signaling wiseguy money laying the points with the Jayhawks at home. Ken Pom has Kansas winning by one point (76-75). Kansas is -135 on the moneyline. Kansas is 10-1 at home this season. 
 
 
6 p.m. ET: LSU at Vanderbilt
 
Both of these SEC rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. LSU (16-6 SU, 14-8 ATS) is ranked 25th but has lost two straight. The Tigers just fell to Mississippi 76-72, losing outright as 12.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt (11-10 SU, 10-11 ATS) just lost to Kentucky 77-70 but covered as 14.5-point road dogs. This line opened with LSU listed as a 3.5-point road favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with the road favorite, driving LSU up from -3.5 to -4. Ken Pom has LSU winning by five-points (65-60). He has LSU ranked 15th and Vanderbilt 89th. LSU has the advantage in shooting (44% vs 42%) and rebounding (39 RPG vs 34 RPG). 
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