Saturday College Basketball Sharp Report

indiana

2:30 p.m. ET: Indiana at Maryland

 
Indiana (15-5 SU, 12-8 ATS) is 3-1 over their last four games and just beat down Penn State 74-57, easily covering as 8.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Maryland (11-9 SU, 8-12 ATS) has won two straight and just upset Rutgers 68-60, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Indiana listed as a short 1-point road favorite. Big money has leaned on the Hoosiers, diving Indiana up from -1 to -1.5. Indiana's edge lies in their shooting. The Hoosiers are shooting 48% from the field while Maryland is shooting 43%. Indiana is 6-4 in conference play. Maryland is 3-6. Ken Pom has Indiana winning by two points (68-66). He has Indiana ranked 32nd and Maryland 79th. 
 
 
3 p.m. ET: Virginia Tech at Florida State
 
Virginia Tech (10-10 SU, 9-11 ATS) has dropped three straight games and just fell to Miami 78-75, losing outright as 5-point home favorites. Similarly, Florida State (13-6 SU, 8-11 ATS) just fell to Georgia Tech 75-61, losing outright as 5.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Florida State listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Respected money is laying the chalk as we've seen this line bump up from -2 to -2.5. Florida State's biggest advantage is on the boards. FSU is averaging 36 RPG compared to Virginia Tech's 32 RPG. Florida State is 6-3 in conference play. Virginia Tech is 2-7. The Seminoles are 8-1 at home this season. The Hokies are 3-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Florida State winning by two points (66-64). The Seminoles are -130 on the moneyline. 
 
 
8 p.m. ET: Tennessee at Texas
 
Tennessee (14-5 SU, 11-8 ATS) has won three straight games. The Volunteers are ranked 18th and just beat Florida 78-71, although they failed to cover as 10-point home favorites. On the other hand, Texas (15-5 SU, 9-11 ATS) has also won two straight. The Longhorns are unranked but just beat TCU 73-50, covering as 2.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Texas listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to grab the points with trendy dog Tennessee. However, this line has moved further toward Texas (-2.5 to -3.5). Texas has value as a "fishy" unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Both teams are averaging roughly 70 PPG. The difference comes on defense, where Texas is allowing 55 PPG and Tennessee 63 PPG. Texas is shooting 46% from the field compared to Tennessee's 44%. Texas is 12-1 at home. Tennessee is 2-3 on the road. Ken Pom has Texas winning by three points (64-61). 
 
 
8 p.m. ET: Wake Forest at Syracuse
 
Wake Forest (17-4 SU, 12-8-1 ATS) is riding a four-game winning streak and just brushed aside Boston College 87-57, easily covering as 10.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Syracuse (9-11 SU, 9-11 ATS) has lost two straight and three of their last four. The Orange just fell to Pittsburgh 64-53, losing outright as 4.5-point road favorites. This line opened at a pick'em, Some shops opened Wake Forest listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. The public is hammering Wake Forest, who has a far better record. However, we've seen this line move to Syracuse -1 at home. This signals sharp reverse line movement backing the Orange. Syracuse is 7-3 at home this season. Ken Pom has Wake Forest winning by three points (78-75), so the market is far more bullish on Syracuse than Pom. 
 
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