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Saturday CFB Week 7 Sharp Report

Today the weekend kicks off with Week 7 of the College Football season. For extensive Saturday betting analysis and line move updates be sure to join Michael Lombardi, Patrick Meagher and myself this morning LIVE from 10 a.m. ET to noon on The Lombardi Line. We'll also be joined by Carl Johnson of the Beau Rivage in Biloxi, Mississippi and Thomas Gable of the Borgata in Atlantic City.  
In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for several College Football matchups today...
12 p.m. ET: Oklahoma State at Texas
This Big 12 grudge match features a pair of ranked opponents fighting to catch Oklahoma atop the conference standings. Oklahoma State (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 12th. The Cowboys just took down Baylor 24-14, covering as 4-point home favorites. On the other hand, Texas (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) is ranked 25h and just lost a heartbreaker to Oklahoma 55-48, failing to cover as 4-point dogs. This line opened with Texas listed as a 5-point home favorite. The public is split down the middle and doesn't know who to back. But wiseguys have taken a position on the Cowboys, steaming Oklahoma State from 5 to 3.5. Ranked favorites off a bye, like Oklahoma State here, are roughly 57 percent ATS over the past decade. Also, short road dogs 4 or less are 27-19 ATS (59 percent) this season. 
3:30 p.m. ET: Purdue at Iowa
This Big Ten clash is the most heavily bet game in the late afternoon window. Purdue (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) started the season 2-0 but has gone just 1-2 since. Purdue fell to Minnesota 20-13 their last time out, losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Iowa (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 2nd overall in the country. The Hawkeyes just edged Penn State 23-20 last week, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Iowa listed as a 12.5-point home favorite. The public is riding the hot hand and happy to lay the points with mighty Iowa. However, we've seen this line fall from 12.5 to 11.5. This signals pro money backing Purdue plus the points. Unranked conference dogs against ranked opponents are 24-17 ATS (59 percent) this season. Purdue also has correlative betting value as a double digit dog in a low total game (42.5). The Boilermakers are coming off a bye while Iowa is on regular rest and played last week. 
10 p.m. ET: Arizona State at Utah
This late night Pac 12 showdown features a pair of conference foes riding winning streaks. Arizona State (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) is ranked 18th and has won three straight, most recently dismissing Stanford 28-10 and covering as 13.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Utah (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) is unranked but has won two straight, crushing USC 42-26 last week and winning outright as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Arizona State listed as a 1-point road favorite. Right off the bat, this line stinks. If Arizona State is ranked and has a better record, shouldn't the Sun Devils be favored by far more than just 1 point? The public sees a layup with the ranked favorite and is hammering Arizona State. However, despite this lopsided betting the line has fallen to a pick'em. This signals sharp reverse line movement buying low on Utah at home. Unranked home teams against ranked opponents are 21-13 ATS (62 percent) this season. 
More Saturday Moves
Tennessee  3 to  2.5 vs Mississippi
Kentucky  23.5 to  21.5 at Georgia
Cincinnati -20 to -21.5 vs UCF
Texas A&M -9.5 to -11 at Missouri
Florida -10 to -11.5 at LSU
Arkansas -3.5 to -4.5 vs Auburn
Oklahoma -12 to -13.5 vs TCU
Wisconsin -11 to -14 vs Army
Texas Tech -16.5 to -18.5 at Kansas
Ohio  10 to  7.5 at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan  3 to  1 vs Ball State
Iowa State -4.5 to -6.5 at Kansas State
Colorado State -9.5 to -11.5 at New Mexico
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