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Reed rises, Spieth slumps and Tiger survives

By Matt Youmans  (VSiN senior editor) 

April 6, 2018 09:44 PM
Patrick Reed, who teed off Thursday at 40-1 odds, is the Masters leader and new favorite after Friday's second round.
© USA Today Sports Images

By Friday afternoon, Tiger Woods’ happy-to-be-here smile was missing. So was his golf ball. Woods walked through the trees and searched the bushes, scrambling to save some dignity while his dream of winning this major disappeared.

Jordan Spieth had unraveled soon after sunrise, opening with a double bogey and quickly relinquishing his first-round lead.

By sunset in Georgia, Patrick Reed was holding the Masters lead, and that breaking news will disappoint most golf bettors. At the start of the tournament, Reed was a 40-1 shot and an unpopular pick. In 16 previous majors, he had just one top-five finish, and his best finish was 22nd in four trips to Augusta National. Reed is arrogant and has few fans outside of family. But he’s the new favorite, like it or not.

“This is going to be the wildest Masters of all time,” said Nick Bogdanovich, William Hill sports book director. “I’m excited for this weekend.”

Bogdanovich and other Las Vegas bookmakers faced one major liability on the futures board this week — Woods, who opened at 100-1 odds in August and closed as low as 6-1. No sweat. Tiger barely survived, shooting 4 over (73-75) to sneak inside the cut by one stroke. Woods is in a six-way tie for 40th and stuck with new odds of 250-1. Phil Mickelson (5 over) just made the cut, too. Sergio Garcia, last year’s Masters champ, will not be around to see the weekend.

On the adjusted odds board at the Westgate sports book, Reed is the 5-2 favorite at the halfway point. Reed is 9 under after firing a 66 on Friday. Marc Leishman is two strokes back, Henrik Stenson trails by four, and Spieth and Rory McIlroy are five shots behind.

Several players who are more accomplished than Reed lurk in his shadow. Also under par and still in the hunt are Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose and Bubba Watson.

The value at this point seems to be with McIlroy (11-2 odds), Leishman (7-1), Spieth (7-1) and Stenson (9-1). But do not count out a longer shot, because it could be a wild weekend with rain and stronger winds in Saturday’s forecast.

Masters adjusted odds

(Westgate sports book)

Patrick Reed 5-2

Rory McIlroy 11-2

Marc Leishman 7-1

Jordan Spieth 7-1

Henrik Stenson 9-1

Dustin Johnson 10-1

Justin Thomas 10-1

Justin Rose 20-1

Bubba Watson 20-1

Rickie Fowler 25-1

Louis Oosthuizen 50-1

Jon Rahm 50-1

Matt Kuchar 80-1

Hideki Matsuyama 80-1

Charley Hoffman 80-1

Tony Finau 100-1

Tommy Fleetwood 125-1

Tiger Woods 250-1

Third-round score propositions

(All sides -110)

Patrick Reed 72; Marc Leishman 72; Henrik Stenson 72; Rory McIlroy 71; Jordan Spieth 71; Dustin Johnson 71; Justin Thomas 71; Rickie Fowler 71; Tiger Woods 72; Phil Mickelson 72.

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