All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22 seasons. With the calendar turning to December, the stretch run is truly about to begin. By now we have a pretty good feel for what each team brings to the table. It is a perfect time to project the rest of the season using power ratings and then employ the findings to uncover potential playoff and divisional title odds value.
I took my current power ratings and plotted each team’s remaining schedule while also factoring in my adjusted home- and road-field advantage ratings, any injuries that figure to affect the action and some other minor situational adjustments I make to individual games. I then calculated theoretical lines and win probabilities for each game and used these to forecast records.
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AFC EAST
Here are the current division title odds:
Buffalo -140
New England + 115
Miami + 10000
This week’s “Monday Night Football” game between New England and Buffalo will have a huge impact on which team wins the AFC East and gets the home playoff game that comes with it. The edge goes to the Bills as they are playing at home, although the Patriots are the hottest team in the NFL right now and could return the favor three weeks later. That said, the Patriots have a half-game cushion in the standings, and Buffalo faces a daunting task Dec. 12 at Tampa Bay. The Patriots have nothing close to that. Let’s go with coach Bill Belichick’s team to secure the split with Buffalo and eventually the division title.
Buffalo Bills
Dec. 6: New England — Proj FL: -4.5, Win Prob: 63 percent
Dec. 12: at Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 2.5, Win Prob: 43 percent
Dec. 18: Carolina — Proj FL: -12.5, Win Prob: 82 percent
Dec. 26: at New England — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Jan. 2: Atlanta — Proj FL: -14, Win Prob: 85 percent
Jan. 9: New York Jets — Proj FL: -17.5, Win Prob: 90 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 4.2-1.8
Miami Dolphins
Dec. 5: New York Giants — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Dec. 18: New York Jets — Proj FL: -6, Win Prob: 67 percent
Dec. 27: at New Orleans — Proj FL: + 3.5, Win Prob: 40 percent
Jan. 2: at Tennessee — Proj FL: + 5.5, Win Prob: 34 percent
Jan. 9: New England — Proj FL: + 7, Win Prob: 30 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.2-2.8
New England Patriots
Dec. 6: at Buffalo — Proj FL: + 4.5, Win Prob: 37 percent
Dec. 18: at Indianapolis — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Dec. 26: Buffalo — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Jan. 2: Jacksonville — Proj FL: -15.5, Win Prob: 88 percent
Jan. 9: at Miami — Proj FL: -7, Win Prob: 70 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.9-2.1
New York Jets
Dec. 5: Philadelphia — Proj FL: + 8, Win Prob: 28 percent
Dec. 12: New Orleans — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Dec. 18: at Miami — Proj FL: + 6, Win Prob: 33 percent
Dec. 26: Jacksonville — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Jan. 2: Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 14.5, Win Prob: 14 percent
Jan. 9: at Buffalo — Proj FL: + 17.5, Win Prob: 10 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.8-4.2
AFC NORTH
Here are the current division title odds:
Baltimore -175
Cincinnati + 200
Cleveland + 900
Pittsburgh + 3000
For anyone expecting to see a Pittsburgh bounce-back into the playoff picture, you’ll be disappointed to see that my numbers are showing the Steelers face the league’s second-toughest schedule the rest of the way. Baltimore has the easiest remaining slate in the AFC North, although it is by no means easy. Cleveland got its bye week at the right time and faces a pair of must-win games before playing Green Bay on Christmas. I could see a healthy Browns team making a run at the playoffs. Cincinnati figures to be in good position to grab one of the wild-card spots but needs to play well at home down the stretch.
Baltimore Ravens
Dec. 5: at Pittsburgh — Proj FL: -3.5, Win Prob: 60 percent
Dec. 12: at Cleveland — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Dec. 19: Green Bay — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Dec. 26: at Cincinnati — Proj FL: + 0.5, Win Prob: 49 percent
Jan. 2: Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Jan. 9: Pittsburgh — Proj FL: -7, Win Prob: 70 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.4-2.6
Cincinnati Bengals
Dec. 5: Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: -4, Win Prob: 62 percent
Dec. 12: San Francisco — Proj FL: -0.5, Win Prob: 52 percent
Dec. 19: at Denver — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Dec. 26: Baltimore — Proj FL: -0.5, Win Prob: 52 percent
Jan. 2: Kansas City — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Jan. 9: at Cleveland — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.2-2.8
Cleveland Browns
Dec. 12: Baltimore — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Dec. 18: Las Vegas — Proj FL: -3, Win Prob: 59 percent
Dec. 25: at Green Bay — Proj FL: + 7, Win Prob: 30 percent
Jan. 3: at Pittsburgh — Proj FL: -0.5, Win Prob: 52 percent
Jan. 9: Cincinnati — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.3-2.7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec. 5: Baltimore — Proj FL: + 3.5, Win Prob: 40 percent
Dec. 9: at Minnesota — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Dec. 19: Tennessee — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Dec. 26: at Kansas City — Proj FL: + 10, Win Prob: 23 percent
Jan. 3: Cleveland — Proj FL: + 0.5, Win Prob: 49 percent
Jan. 9: at Baltimore — Proj FL: + 7, Win Prob: 30 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.3-3.7
AFC SOUTH
Here are the current division title odds:
Tennessee -2500
Indianapolis + 1000
Tennessee has a two-game lead in the AFC South plus a game edge in the divisional tiebreaker standings. My projections show the same two-game split, so suffice it to say I don’t expect Indianapolis to overtake the Titans down the stretch. My projections include running back Derrick Henry being out for the rest of the regular season, so if he returns earlier, that would only boost their chances. Coach Mike Vrabel’s team plays the easiest remaining schedule of any team. Indy’s isn’t a lot tougher, so the Colts could find themselves in wild-card position with an upset of New England or Arizona.
Houston Texans
Dec. 5: Indianapolis — Proj FL: + 9, Win Prob: 25 percent
Dec. 12: Seattle — Proj FL: + 6.5, Win Prob: 32 percent
Dec. 19: at Jacksonville — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Dec. 26: Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: + 6.5, Win Prob: 32 percent
Jan. 2: at San Francisco — Proj FL: + 14.5, Win Prob: 14 percent
Jan. 9: Tennessee — Proj FL: + 6.5, Win Prob: 32 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.8-4.2
Indianapolis Colts
Dec. 5: at Houston — Proj FL: -9, Win Prob: 75 percent
Dec. 18: New England — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Dec. 25: at Arizona — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Jan. 2: Las Vegas — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Jan. 9: at Jacksonville — Proj FL: -9.5, Win Prob: 76 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3-2
Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec. 5: at Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: + 15, Win Prob: 13 percent
Dec. 12: at Tennessee — Proj FL: + 9.5, Win Prob: 24 percent
Dec. 19: Houston — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Dec. 26: at New York Jets — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Jan. 2: at New England — Proj FL: + 15.5, Win Prob: 13 percent
Jan. 9: Indianapolis — Proj FL: + 9.5, Win Prob: 24 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.7-4.3
Tennessee Titans
Dec. 12: Jacksonville — Proj FL: -9.5, Win Prob: 76 percent
Dec. 19: at Pittsburgh — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Dec. 23: San Francisco — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Jan. 2: Miami — Proj FL: -5.5, Win Prob: 66 percent
Jan. 9: at Houston — Proj FL: -6.5, Win Prob: 69 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3-2
AFC WEST
Here are the current division title odds:
Kansas City -225
Los Angeles Chargers + 350
Denver + 800
Las Vegas + 1200
The four teams in the AFC West are separated by a single game in the standings, so it’s anyone’s division to win. Kansas City, per usual, seems a tad overpriced. The Chiefs still have four divisional games left and face three of their final four opponents on the road. The Chiefs and Chargers have nearly identical schedule strengths the rest of the way, so Los Angeles will have to pull an upset or two to finish the job. Las Vegas plays the toughest remaining slate of any of the four teams and figures to eventually bow out of the playoff picture.
Denver Broncos
Dec. 5: at Kansas City — Proj FL: + 7, Win Prob: 30 percent
Dec. 12: Detroit — Proj FL: -9.5, Win Prob: 76 percent
Dec. 19: Cincinnati — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Dec. 26: at Las Vegas — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Jan. 2: at Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: + 1.5, Win Prob: 46 percent
Jan. 9: Kansas City — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.8-3.2
Kansas City Chiefs
Dec. 5: Denver — Proj FL: -7, Win Prob: 70 percent
Dec. 12: Las Vegas — Proj FL: -7.5, Win Prob: 71 percent
Dec. 16: at Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: -4.5, Win Prob: 63 percent
Dec. 26: Pittsburgh — Proj FL: -10, Win Prob: 77 percent
Jan. 2: at Cincinnati — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Jan. 9: at Denver — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 4-2
Las Vegas Raiders
Dec. 5: Washington — Proj FL: -3.5, Win Prob: 60 percent
Dec. 12: at Kansas City — Proj FL: + 7.5, Win Prob: 29 percent
Dec. 18: at Cleveland — Proj FL: + 3, Win Prob: 41 percent
Dec. 26: Denver — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Jan. 2: at Indianapolis — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Jan. 9: Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: -0.5, Win Prob: 52 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.7-3.3
Los Angeles Chargers
Dec. 5: at Cincinnati — Proj FL: + 4, Win Prob: 38 percent
Dec. 12: New York Giants — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Dec. 16: Kansas City — Proj FL: + 4.5, Win Prob: 37 percent
Dec. 26: at Houston — Proj FL: -6.5, Win Prob: 69 percent
Jan. 2: Denver — Proj FL: -1.5, Win Prob: 54 percent
Jan. 9: at Las Vegas — Proj FL: + 0.5, Win Prob: 49 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.1-2.9
NFC EAST
Here are the current division title odds:
Dallas -800
Washington + 1200
Philadelphia + 1200
New York Giants + 3500
Unlike last year at this time when the NFC East was completely up for grabs, Dallas seems to be in firm position to wrap it up in the next few weeks. But for as much as my projected point spreads show the Cowboys being favored or in a pick-’em game in all six remaining contests, the next three are on the road and will be tough to navigate. The only team that figures to have a chance to catch Dallas is Philadelphia, which plays the second-easiest schedule in the NFL the rest of the way. In fact, my numbers show the Eagles as finishing with a 3.1-1.9 record in the final five games, and those don’t account for improved momentum over the last month. I give coach Nick Sirianni’s team a reasonable chance to slide into one of the final wild-card spots.
Dallas Cowboys
Dec. 2: at New Orleans — Proj FL: -3, Win Prob: 59 percent
Dec. 12: at Washington — Proj FL: -3.5, Win Prob: 60 percent
Dec. 19: at New York Giants — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Dec. 26: Washington — Proj FL: -6.5, Win Prob: 69 percent
Jan. 2: Arizona — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Jan. 9: at Philadelphia — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.5-2.5
New York Giants
Dec. 5: at Miami — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Dec. 12: at Los Angeles Chargers — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Dec. 19: Dallas — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Dec. 26: at Philadelphia — Proj FL: + 5.5, Win Prob: 34 percent
Jan. 2: at Chicago — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Jan. 9: Washington — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.5-3.5
Philadelphia Eagles
Dec. 5: at New York Jets — Proj FL: -8, Win Prob: 72 percent
Dec. 18: Washington — Proj FL: -4.5, Win Prob: 63 percent
Dec. 26: New York Giants — Proj FL: -5.5, Win Prob: 66 percent
Jan. 2: at Washington — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Jan. 9: Dallas — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.1-1.9
Washington Football Team
Dec. 5: at Las Vegas — Proj FL: + 3.5, Win Prob: 40 percent
Dec. 12: Dallas — Proj FL: + 3.5, Win Prob: 40 percent
Dec. 18: at Philadelphia — Proj FL: + 4.5, Win Prob: 37 percent
Dec. 26: at Dallas — Proj FL: + 6.5, Win Prob: 32 percent
Jan. 2: Philadelphia — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Jan. 9: at New York Giants — Proj FL: -1, Win Prob: 53 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.5-3.6
NFC NORTH
Here are the current division title odds:
Green Bay -3500
Minnesota + 1400
After Minnesota cut into Green Bay’s divisional lead with a head-to-head win two weeks ago, the Vikings gave it right back Sunday. For all intents and purposes, this division looks like it will go to the Packers for a third straight season. Green Bay has played tremendous football against oddsmakers’ expectations, going 9-2 ATS. The Packers have faced the eighth-toughest schedule in the NFL. The rest of the season’s slate scores as the fourth easiest. Coach Matt LaFleur’s team also owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over Arizona and a better conference record than Tampa Bay. There’s a very good chance the NFC playoffs will go through Lambeau Field. The Vikings also play a fairly easy remaining schedule and have a good shot at a wild-card berth.
Chicago Bears
Dec. 5: Arizona — Proj FL: + 8.5, Win Prob: 26 percent
Dec. 12: at Green Bay — Proj FL: + 11.5, Win Prob: 20 percent
Dec. 20: Minnesota — Proj FL: + 4.5, Win Prob: 37 percent
Dec. 26: at Seattle — Proj FL: + 7.5, Win Prob: 29 percent
Jan. 2: New York Giants — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Jan. 9: at Minnesota — Proj FL: + 7, Win Prob: 30 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.9-4.1
Detroit Lions
Dec. 5: Minnesota — Proj FL: + 8, Win Prob: 28 percent
Dec. 12: at Denver — Proj FL: + 9.5, Win Prob: 24 percent
Dec. 19: Arizona — Proj FL: + 12, Win Prob: 19 percent
Dec. 26: at Atlanta — Proj FL: + 5, Win Prob: 36 percent
Jan. 2: at Seattle — Proj FL: + 10.5, Win Prob: 22 percent
Jan. 9: Green Bay — Proj FL: + 12, Win Prob: 19 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.5-4.5
Green Bay Packers
Dec. 12: Chicago — Proj FL: -11.5, Win Prob: 80 percent
Dec. 19: at Baltimore — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Dec. 25: Cleveland — Proj FL: -7, Win Prob: 70 percent
Jan. 2: Minnesota — Proj FL: -5.5, Win Prob: 66 percent
Jan. 9: at Detroit — Proj FL: -12, Win Prob: 81 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.4-1.6
Minnesota Vikings
Dec .5: at Detroit — Proj FL: -8, Win Prob: 72 percent
Dec. 9: Pittsburgh — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Dec. 20: at Chicago — Proj FL: -4.5, Win Prob: 63 percent
Dec. 26: Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: + 1.5, Win Prob: 46 percent
Jan. 2: at Green Bay — Proj FL: + 5.5, Win Prob: 34 percent
Jan. 9: Chicago — Proj FL: -7, Win Prob: 70 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.5-2.5
NFC SOUTH
Here are the current division title odds:
Tampa Bay -5000
New Orleans + 2000
Carolina + 4000
Atlanta + 5000
Tampa Bay is in control of the NFC South and will not be threatened the rest of the way. The other three teams are dealing with massive offensive problems due to injuries or lack of execution. With Atlanta, Carolina and New Orleans sitting with five wins and on the outside of the wild-card hunt, my final projections don’t show any of them finishing over. 500. If I could predict a surprise team of the bunch, it might be New Orleans.The Saints are facing one of the easiest schedules in the league the rest of the way and could throw a wrench into the works by naming Taysom Hill their starting quarterback. Thursday night’s home game against Dallas is huge in terms of their playoff fortunes.
Atlanta Falcons
Dec. 5: Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 11, Win Prob: 21 percent
Dec. 12: at Carolina — Proj FL: + 3, Win Prob: 41 percent
Dec. 19: at San Francisco — Proj FL: + 10.5, Win Prob: 22 percent
Dec. 26: Detroit — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Jan. 2: at Buffalo — Proj FL: + 14, Win Prob: 15 percent
Jan. 9: New Orleans — Proj FL: + 1.5, Win Prob: 46 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 2.1-3.9
Carolina Panthers
Dec. 12: Atlanta — Proj FL: -3, Win Prob: 59 percent
Dec. 18: at Buffalo — Proj FL: + 12.5, Win Prob: 18 percent
Dec. 26: Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 9, Win Prob: 25 percent
Jan. 2: at New Orleans — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Jan. 9: at Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 12, Win Prob: 19 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 1.6-3.4
New Orleans Saints
Dec. 2: Dallas — Proj FL: + 3, Win Prob: 41 percent
Dec. 12: at New York Jets — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Dec. 19: at Tampa Bay — Proj FL: + 11, Win Prob: 21 percent
Dec. 27: Miami — Proj FL: -3.5, Win Prob: 60 percent
Jan. 2: Carolina — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Jan. 9: at Atlanta — Proj FL: -1.5, Win Prob: 54 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3-3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec. 5: at Atlanta — Proj FL: -11, Win Prob: 79 percent
Dec. 12: Buffalo — Proj FL: -2.5, Win Prob: 57 percent
Dec. 19: New Orleans — Proj FL: -11, Win Prob: 79 percent
Dec. 26: at Carolina — Proj FL: -9, Win Prob: 75 percent
Jan. 2: at New York Jets — Proj FL: -14.5, Win Prob: 86 percent
Jan. 9: Carolina — Proj FL: -12, Win Prob: 81 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 4.6-1.4
NFC WEST
Here are the current division title odds:
Arizona -1000
Los Angeles Rams + 650
San Francisco + 3500
The odds of Arizona actually separating from the pack in the NFC West over the last few weeks were certainly long with QB Kyler Murray missing action, but that is exactly what happened. Now, with the Cardinals coming off their bye week and boasting a two-game lead, holding all the tiebreakers and seemingly much healthier than just a few weeks ago, this race looks like a foregone conclusion. Don’t overthink it, and don’t overestimate the Rams’ talent level or the 49ers’ momentum. My projections show Arizona finishing with the NFC’s top record and as a favorite or pick-’em in all six remaining games. Los Angeles has a great chance to right the ship this week with Jacksonville coming to town. Coach Sean McVay’s team faces a difficult three-game set to end the season, however. San Francisco has come on in recent weeks but faces a remaining slate featuring four rather tough road games.
Arizona Cardinals
Dec. 5: at Chicago — Proj FL: -8.5, Win Prob: 74 percent
Dec. 13: Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: -1.5, Win Prob: 54 percent
Dec. 19: at Detroit — Proj FL: -12, Win Prob: 81 percent
Dec. 25: Indianapolis — Proj FL: -5, Win Prob: 65 percent
Jan. 2: at Dallas — Proj FL: + 0, Win Prob: 50 percent
Jan. 9: Seattle — Proj FL: -5.5, Win Prob: 66 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.9-2.1
Los Angeles Rams
Dec. 5: Jacksonville — Proj FL: -15, Win Prob: 87 percent
Dec. 13: at Arizona — Proj FL: + 1.5, Win Prob: 46 percent
Dec. 19: Seattle — Proj FL: -5.5, Win Prob: 66 percent
Dec. 26: at Minnesota — Proj FL: -1.5, Win Prob: 54 percent
Jan. 2: at Baltimore — Proj FL: + 1, Win Prob: 47 percent
Jan. 9: San Francisco — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.6-2.4
San Francisco 49ers
Dec. 5: at Seattle — Proj FL: -2.5, Win Prob: 57 percent
Dec. 12: at Cincinnati — Proj FL: + 0.5, Win Prob: 49 percent
Dec. 19: Atlanta — Proj FL: -10.5, Win Prob: 78 percent
Dec. 23: at Tennessee — Proj FL: -2, Win Prob: 56 percent
Jan. 2: Houston — Proj FL: -14.5, Win Prob: 86 percent
Jan. 9: at Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: + 2, Win Prob: 44 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.7-2.3
Seattle Seahawks
Dec. 5: San Francisco — Proj FL: + 2.5, Win Prob: 43 percent
Dec. 12: at Houston — Proj FL: -6.5, Win Prob: 69 percent
Dec. 19: at Los Angeles Rams — Proj FL: + 5.5, Win Prob: 34 percent
Dec. 26: Chicago — Proj FL: -7.5, Win Prob: 71 percent
Jan. 2: Detroit — Proj FL: -10.5, Win Prob: 78 percent
Jan. 9: at Arizona — Proj FL: + 5.5, Win Prob: 34 percent
Projected rest-of-season record: 3.3-2.7
ANALYSIS
Here are some thoughts and tips on potential wagers:
— Best underdog to win division: New England
— Best-priced favorite to win division: Baltimore
— Worst-priced favorite to win division: Tennessee
— Team currently out of the playoffs to make run to get in: Minnesota
— Team currently in the playoffs to fade out: Las Vegas
— Long-shot team to sneak into playoffs: Philadelphia
— Long-shot team to fade out of playoffs: Los Angeles Rams
PROJECTED PLAYOFF SEEDS
AFC division winners
1: Baltimore
2: Buffalo
3: Tennessee
4: Kansas City
AFC wild cards
5: New England
6: Cincinnati
7: Los Angeles Chargers
NFC division winners
1: Arizona
2: Tampa Bay
3: Green Bay
4: Dallas
NFC wild cards
5: Los Angeles Rams
6: San Francisco
7: Minnesota