Predicting NFL season win totals

mak-power

The 2021 NFL schedule was released last week and, as always, provoked a ton of instant reaction. When I see the schedule released, I break it down from a power rating standpoint, seeing how each team’s slate projects in terms of wins and losses. As bettors, we’re looking for every edge we can, and by analyzing every game, we can potentially find things that oddsmakers setting the season win total props might have missed or overvalued.

This year’s schedule is unique in that a 17th game was added. This probably threw you for a brief loop as you started looking at the season win props, since on average they were half a win higher per team. This quickly cleared up in my mind after I ran my power rating numbers. 

Bettors can pretty much get in on the season win wagers at any of their favorite establishments right now, but in this piece, we will compare my projections against the numbers set at DraftKings. If you’re a savvy bettor who prides yourself on shopping for and jumping on the best number available, you will be able to find differences up to 0.5 wins or variations on moneylines associated with the prop at other locales. 

I have simulated the 2021 schedules for each team using their opponents and my latest power ratings, including team-specific home and road field ratings. After dropping the home-field advantage ratings by 1.0 points last season due to the lack of fans, I have reinstated half of that for the coming season. I gave each game an expected point spread, from which I extracted the chances for a team to win each game. I then totaled them into a projected season standings. Those standings are followed by a team-by-team list of the opponents and projected point spreads. Use these numbers to bet the season win totals or the games of the year that many books have released.

I updated my power ratings after the draft and the most prominent phase of free agency had transpired. For the most part, the biggest changes made were to the teams at the opposite ends of the spectrum in what would be considered normalcy adjustments. From what I’ve learned from my own oddsmaking experience, there is no greater reset button in the NFL than an offseason that wipes the slate clean positively and negatively. Still, obvious talent differences exist among the teams. I did consider the expected absence of Deshaun Watson from the Texans as the most noteworthy rating adjusting move of the offseason to date. In my opinion, nothing this year was as earth-shattering as Tom Brady’s move to the Bucs last year. That could change based on the Aaron Rodgers situation in Green Bay. My ratings reflect him being under center for the Packers in 2021.

I’ve also included the two London games as neutral-field contests. Those games are the New York Jets vs. Atlanta and Miami vs. Jacksonville. The Falcons and Jaguars are the official home teams.

Here are a few highlights of the study, and some of my observations based on the season win totals offered by DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday. 

Top 3 teams expected to win more games than prop

Buffalo — DraftKings: 10.5, Makinen’s projection: 11.3, Difference: + 0.8

Philadelphia — DraftKings: 6.5, Makinen’s projection: 7.3, Difference: + 0.8

New Orleans — DraftKings: 9, Makinen’s projection: 9.8, Difference: + 0.8

Top 4 teams expected to win fewer games than prop

Washington — DraftKings: 8, Makinen’s projection: 7.1, Difference: -0.9

Miami — DraftKings: 9, Makinen’s projection: 8.2, Difference: -0.8

Tennessee — DraftKings: 9.5, Makinen’s projection: 8.7, Difference: -0.8

Los Angeles Chargers — DraftKings: 9, Makinen’s projection: 8.3, Difference: -0.7

— According to my figures, Washington plays the league’s toughest schedule, at least as it stands now based on opponent/home/road breakdown. Washington is ranked just ahead of the Bears and the Lions in that regard. Not only will it have to face the tough NFC South and AFC West in non-divisional games, Washington also gets Seattle as its fellow first-place conference game and has to travel to Buffalo for the added 17th contest. In addition, Washington’s last five games are divisional contests, and those could easily prove more difficult by December.

— The league’s easiest schedule belongs to theoretically its best team, the Chiefs. A primary reason is that Kansas City’s NFC division matchup for 2021 is the East. At this point, my power ratings have the Chiefs favored by six points or more in 14 of their 17 games, including all of the last 10. That could change as the season wears on, but if K.C. picks up where it left off in playing in consecutive Super Bowls, another prolific season could be in order. The next-easiest schedules on paper belong to Buffalo and Dallas.

— For the second straight season, Kansas City (12.2) is projected to win the most games in the NFL, followed by Tampa Bay (11.4), Buffalo (11.3) and Baltimore (10.7). The other projected division winners are Indianapolis (9.6), Dallas (9.0), Green Bay (10.4) and San Francisco (10.2).

— Last year, three teams were projected to win fewer than six games — the Giants (5.8), Washington (5.3) and Jacksonville (5.0). This season, despite the extra game, Houston (5.2), Detroit (5.5) and Cincinnati (5.9) are projected for fewer than six wins. Two of those teams, the Texans and Lions, will be starting the season with new coaches and new quarterbacks.

— Assuming the projections play out accurately, the AFC’s top-seeded playoff team would be Kansas City. No. 2 Buffalo would be slotted to take on No. 7 New England in the expanded playoff format. Also in the wild-card round, the No. 4 Colts would host No. 5 Cleveland, and No. 3 Baltimore would again face No. 6 Tennessee. For the NFC, the top seed would be Tampa Bay, while the wild-card matchups would be Green Bay-Seattle, San Francisco-Los Angeles Rams and Dallas-New Orleans.

— The largest point spread at the outset of the season is expected to be a game featuring Houston at Buffalo in October, with the Bills shown as 14.5-point favorites. No other games show 14-point lines. In all, 22 games are projected to have double-digit point spreads, including one road favorite, Kansas City at Cincinnati, in a Week 17 matchup. 

— Of the 270 matchups played at host stadiums, 85 are showing point spreads designating road favorites. The Buccaneers and Chiefs share the distinction of being projected as road favorites the most, appearing as such in all of their road games. The Bucs play nine road games, with the toughest expected to be at the Rams and Saints, where they are shown as -0.3 point favorites. The toughest of the Chiefs’ eight road contests figures to be at Baltimore, where they are shown as -0.7-point chalk. On the opposite side of the spectrum are the most frequent home underdogs, the Texans and Bengals, each expected to be in that role eight times.

— Before the 2020 season, using this same exercise, I correctly picked four of the seven NFC playoff teams, missing on the Rams, Washington and Chicago. In the AFC, I got six of seven, omitting only Cleveland, which made it as a wild card rather than New England. If I can predict 10 of 14 playoff teams once again, that would leave room for four teams not counted in as of now. 

Here are NFL’s 32 teams with their 2021 opponents and power rating lines according to my numbers:

 

ARIZONA CARDINALS

9/12: at Tennessee: + 2.8

9/19: MINNESOTA: -2.8

9/26: at Jacksonville: -1.4

10/3: at L.A. Rams: + 5.3

10/10: SAN FRANCISCO: + 0.7

10/17: at Cleveland: + 6.4

10/24: HOUSTON: -9.4

10/28: GREEN BAY: + 1.7

11/7: at San Francisco: + 5.6

11/14: CAROLINA: -5.2

11/21: at Seattle: + 3.9

12/5: at Chicago: + 0.5

12/13: L.A. RAMS: + 1.6

12/19: at Detroit: -3.4

12/25: INDIANAPOLIS: -0.6

1/2: at Dallas: + 3.1

1/9: SEATTLE: -0.7

ATLANTA FALCONS

9/12: PHILADELPHIA: -4.2

9/19: at Tampa Bay: + 9.6

9/26: at N.Y. Giants: + 0.4

10/3: WASHINGTON: -3.2

10/10: vs. N.Y. Jets: -3.4

10/24: at Miami: + 2.8

10/31: CAROLINA: -4.2

11/7: at New Orleans: + 6.7

11/14: at Dallas: + 4.5

11/18: NEW ENGLAND: -1.4

11/28: at Jacksonville: + 0

12/5: TAMPA BAY: + 4.2

12/12: at Carolina: + 1.1

12/19: at San Francisco: + 7

12/26: DETROIT: -6.7

1/2: at Buffalo: + 9

1/9: NEW ORLEANS: + 1.2

BALTIMORE RAVENS

9/13: at Las Vegas: -4.7

9/19: KANSAS CITY: + 0.7

9/26: at Detroit: -8.2

10/3: at Denver: -3.3

10/11: INDIANAPOLIS: -5

10/17: L.A. CHARGERS: -6.8

10/24: CINCINNATI: -11.7

11/7: MINNESOTA: -7.2

11/11: at Miami: -3.4

11/21: at Chicago: -4.3

11/28: CLEVELAND: -2.9

12/5: at Pittsburgh: -1.9

12/12: at Cleveland: + 1.6

12/19: GREEN BAY: -2.7

12/26: at Cincinnati: -7.4

1/2: L.A. RAMS: -2.8

1/9: PITTSBURGH: -6.7

BUFFALO BILLS

9/12: PITTSBURGH: -7.5

9/19: at Miami: -3.8

9/26: WASHINGTON: -9.4

10/3: HOUSTON: -14.6

10/10: at Kansas City: + 5.1

10/18: at Tennessee: -2.4

10/31: MIAMI: -8.7

11/7: at Jacksonville: -6.6

11/14: at N.Y. Jets: -8

11/21: INDIANAPOLIS: -5.8

11/25: at New Orleans: + 0.1

12/6: NEW ENGLAND: -7.6

12/12: at Tampa Bay: + 3

12/18: CAROLINA: -10.4

12/26: at New England: -3.5

1/2: ATLANTA: -9

1/9: N.Y. JETS: -12.4

CAROLINA PANTHERS

9/12: N.Y. JETS: -4.5

9/19: NEW ORLEANS: + 2.9

9/23: at Houston: -1.6

10/3: at Dallas: + 5.9

10/10: PHILADELPHIA: -2.5

10/17: MINNESOTA: -0.1

10/24: at N.Y. Giants: + 1.8

10/31: at Atlanta: + 4.2

11/7: NEW ENGLAND: + 0.3

11/14: at Arizona: + 5.2

11/21: WASHINGTON: -1.5

11/28: at Miami: + 4.2

12/12: ATLANTA: -1.1

12/18: at Buffalo: + 10.4

12/26: TAMPA BAY: + 5.9

1/2: at New Orleans: + 8.1

1/9: at Tampa Bay: + 11

CHICAGO BEARS

9/12: at L.A. Rams: + 6.9

9/19: CINCINNATI: -5.4

9/26: at Cleveland: + 8

10/3: DETROIT: -5.8

10/10: at Las Vegas: + 1.7

10/17: GREEN BAY: + 3.6

10/24: at Tampa Bay: + 9.8

10/31: SAN FRANCISCO: + 2.6

11/8: at Pittsburgh: + 4.5

11/21: BALTIMORE: + 4.3

11/25: at Detroit: -1.8

12/5: ARIZONA: -0.5

12/12: at Green Bay: + 8.6

12/20: MINNESOTA: -0.9

12/26: at Seattle: + 5.5

1/2: N.Y. GIANTS: -3.3

1/9: at Minnesota: + 3.4

CINCINNATI BENGALS

9/12: MINNESOTA: + 2.2

9/19: at Chicago: + 5.4

9/26: at Pittsburgh: + 7.8

9/30: JACKSONVILLE: -1.2

10/10: GREEN BAY: + 6.7

10/17: at Detroit: + 1.5

10/24: at Baltimore: + 11.7

10/31: at N.Y. Jets: + 2.1

11/7: CLEVELAND: + 6.5

11/21: at Las Vegas: + 5

11/28: PITTSBURGH: + 2.7

12/5: L.A. CHARGERS: + 2.6

12/12: SAN FRANCISCO: + 5.7

12/19: at Denver: + 6.4

12/26: BALTIMORE: + 7.4

1/2: KANSAS CITY: + 10.1

1/9: at Cleveland: + 11.3

CLEVELAND BROWNS

9/12: at Kansas City: + 6.4

9/19: HOUSTON: -13.4

9/26: CHICAGO: -8

10/3: at Minnesota: -2.1

10/10: at L.A. Chargers: -2.9

10/17: ARIZONA: -6.4

10/21: DENVER: -8.1

10/31: PITTSBURGH: -6.3

11/7: at Cincinnati: -6.5

11/14: at New England: -2.2

11/21: DETROIT: -11.7

11/28: at Baltimore: + 2.9

12/12: BALTIMORE: -1.6

12/18: LAS VEGAS: -8.5

12/25: at Green Bay: + 3.1

1/3: at Pittsburgh: -1

1/9: CINCINNATI: -11.3

DALLAS COWBOYS

9/9: at Tampa Bay: + 7.9

9/19: at L.A. Chargers: + 0.7

9/27: PHILADELPHIA: -5.9

10/3: CAROLINA: -5.9

10/10: N.Y. GIANTS: -5.9

10/17: at New England: + 1.4

10/31: at Minnesota: + 1.5

11/7: DENVER: -4.8

11/14: ATLANTA: -4.5

11/21: at Kansas City: + 10

11/25: LAS VEGAS: -5.2

12/2: at New Orleans: + 5

12/12: at Washington: -0.7

12/19: at N.Y. Giants: -1.3

12/26: WASHINGTON: -4.9

1/2: ARIZONA: -3.1

1/9: at Philadelphia: -0.8

DENVER BRONCOS

9/12: at N.Y. Giants: + 0.7

9/19: at Jacksonville: + 0.3

9/26: N.Y. JETS: -6.3

10/3: BALTIMORE: + 3.3

10/10: at Pittsburgh: + 4.6

10/17: LAS VEGAS: -3.6

10/21: at Cleveland: + 8.1

10/31: WASHINGTON: -3.3

11/7: at Dallas: + 4.8

11/14: PHILADELPHIA: -4.3

11/28: L.A. CHARGERS: -1.5

12/5: at Kansas City: + 12

12/12: DETROIT: -6.8

12/19: CINCINNATI: -6.4

12/26: at Las Vegas: + 1.8

1/2: at L.A. Chargers: + 2.7

1/9: KANSAS CITY: + 6

DETROIT LIONS

9/12: SAN FRANCISCO: + 6.5

9/20: at Green Bay: + 12.3

9/26: BALTIMORE: + 8.2

10/3: at Chicago: + 5.8

10/10: at Minnesota: + 7.1

10/17: CINCINNATI: -1.5

10/24: at L.A. Rams: + 10.6

10/31: PHILADELPHIA: + 0.6

11/14: at Pittsburgh: + 8.2

11/21: at Cleveland: + 11.7

11/25: CHICAGO: + 1.8

12/5: MINNESOTA: + 3

12/12: at Denver: + 6.8

12/19: ARIZONA: + 3.4

12/26: at Atlanta: + 6.7

1/2: at Seattle: + 9.2

1/9: GREEN BAY: + 7.5

GREEN BAY PACKERS

9/12: at New Orleans: + 1.2

9/20: DETROIT: -12.3

9/26: at San Francisco: + 1.5

10/3: PITTSBURGH: -6.9

10/10: at Cincinnati: -6.7

10/17: at Chicago: -3.6

10/24: WASHINGTON: -8.8

10/28: at Arizona: -1.7

11/7: at Kansas City: + 6.2

11/14: SEATTLE: -5.3

11/21: at Minnesota: -2.3

11/28: L.A. RAMS: -3

12/12: CHICAGO: -8.6

12/19: at Baltimore: + 2.7

12/25: CLEVELAND: -3.1

1/2: MINNESOTA: -7.4

1/9: at Detroit: -7.5

HOUSTON TEXANS

9/12: JACKSONVILLE: + 0.6

9/19: at Cleveland: + 13.4

9/23: CAROLINA: + 1.6

10/3: at Buffalo: + 14.6

10/10: NEW ENGLAND: + 4.4

10/17: at Indianapolis: + 11.5

10/24: at Arizona: + 9.4

10/31: L.A. RAMS: + 8.4

11/7: at Miami: + 8.4

11/21: at Tennessee: + 9.8

11/28: N.Y. JETS: -0.4

12/5: INDIANAPOLIS: + 6.2

12/12: SEATTLE: + 6.1

12/19: at Jacksonville: + 5.6

12/26: L.A. CHARGERS: + 4.4

1/2: at San Francisco: + 12.6

1/9: TENNESSEE: + 4.4

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

9/12: SEATTLE: -2.8

9/19: L.A. RAMS: -0.5

9/26: at Tennessee: + 1

10/3: at Miami: -0.4

10/11: at Baltimore: + 5

10/17: HOUSTON: -11.5

10/24: at San Francisco: + 3.8

10/31: TENNESSEE: -4.5

11/4: N.Y. JETS: -9.3

11/14: JACKSONVILLE: -8.3

11/21: at Buffalo: + 5.8

11/28: TAMPA BAY: + 1.1

12/5: at Houston: -6.2

12/18: NEW ENGLAND: -4.5

12/25: at Arizona: + 0.6

1/2: LAS VEGAS: -6.6

1/9: at Jacksonville: -3.2

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

9/12: at Houston: -0.6

9/19: DENVER: -0.3

9/26: ARIZONA: + 1.4

9/30: at Cincinnati: + 1.2

10/10: TENNESSEE: + 1.4

10/17: vs. Miami: + 2.7

10/31: at Seattle: + 7.7

11/7: BUFFALO: + 6.6

11/14: at Indianapolis: + 8.3

11/21: SAN FRANCISCO: + 4.5

11/28: ATLANTA: + 0

12/5: at L.A. Rams: + 9.1

12/12: at Tennessee: + 6.6

12/19: HOUSTON: -5.6

12/26: at N.Y. Jets: + 1

1/2: at New England: + 5.5

1/9: INDIANAPOLIS: + 3.2

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

9/12: CLEVELAND: -6.4

9/19: at Baltimore: -0.7

9/26: L.A. CHARGERS: -10.3

10/3: at Philadelphia: -8

10/10: BUFFALO: -5.1

10/17: at Washington: -7.9

10/24: at Tennessee: -4.7

11/1: N.Y. GIANTS: -13.1

11/7: GREEN BAY: -6.2

11/14: at Las Vegas: -7.4

11/21: DALLAS: -10

12/5: DENVER: -12

12/12: LAS VEGAS: -12.4

12/16: at L.A. Chargers: -6.5

12/26: PITTSBURGH: -10.2

1/2: at Cincinnati: -10.1

1/9: at Denver: -6

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

9/13: BALTIMORE: + 4.7

9/19: at Pittsburgh: + 5

9/26: MIAMI: -1.2

10/4: at L.A. Chargers: + 3.1

10/10: CHICAGO: -1.7

10/17: at Denver: + 3.6

10/24: PHILADELPHIA: -2.9

11/7: at N.Y. Giants: + 1.1

11/14: KANSAS CITY: + 7.4

11/21: CINCINNATI: -5

11/25: at Dallas: + 5.2

12/5: WASHINGTON: -1.9

12/12: at Kansas City: + 12.4

12/18: at Cleveland: + 8.5

12/26: DENVER: -1.8

1/2: at Indianapolis: + 6.6

1/9: L.A. CHARGERS: -0.1

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

9/12: at Washington: -0.4

9/19: DALLAS: -0.7

9/26: at Kansas City: + 10.3

10/4: LAS VEGAS: -3.1

10/10: CLEVELAND: + 2.9

10/17: at Baltimore: + 6.8

10/31: NEW ENGLAND: -1

11/7: at Philadelphia: -0.5

11/14: MINNESOTA: -1.4

11/21: PITTSBURGH: -0.9

11/28: at Denver: + 1.5

12/5: at Cincinnati: -2.6

12/12: N.Y. GIANTS: -3.8

12/16: KANSAS CITY: + 6.5

12/26: at Houston: -4.4

1/2: DENVER: -2.7

1/9: at Las Vegas: + 0.1

LOS ANGELES RAMS

9/12: CHICAGO: -6.9

9/19: at Indianapolis: + 0.5

9/26: TAMPA BAY: + 0.3

10/3: ARIZONA: -5.3

10/7: at Seattle: -0.1

10/17: at N.Y. Giants: -5

10/24: DETROIT: -10.6

10/31: at Houston: -8.4

11/7: TENNESSEE: -5.3

11/15: at San Francisco: + 1.6

11/28: at Green Bay: + 3

12/5: JACKSONVILLE: -9.1

12/13: at Arizona: -1.6

12/19: SEATTLE: -3.6

12/26: at Minnesota: -2.2

1/2: at Baltimore: + 2.8

1/9: SAN FRANCISCO: -2.2

MIAMI DOLPHINS

9/12: at New England: + 2.8

9/19: BUFFALO: + 3.8

9/26: at Las Vegas: + 1.2

10/3: INDIANAPOLIS: + 0.4

10/10: at Tampa Bay: + 9.3

10/17: vs. Jacksonville: -2.7

10/24: ATLANTA: -2.8

10/31: at Buffalo: + 8.7

11/7: HOUSTON: -8.4

11/11: BALTIMORE: + 3.4

11/21: at N.Y. Jets: -1.7

11/28: CAROLINA: -4.2

12/5: N.Y. GIANTS: -4.2

12/18: N.Y. JETS: -6.2

12/27: at New Orleans: + 6.4

1/2: at Tennessee: + 3.9

1/9: NEW ENGLAND: -1.4

MINNESOTA VIKINGS

9/12: at Cincinnati: -2.2

9/19: at Arizona: + 2.8

9/26: SEATTLE: -0.1

10/3: CLEVELAND: + 2.1

10/10: DETROIT: -7.1

10/17: at Carolina: + 0.1

10/31: DALLAS: -1.5

11/7: at Baltimore: + 7.2

11/14: at L.A. Chargers: + 1.4

11/21: GREEN BAY: + 2.3

11/28: at San Francisco: + 6

12/5: at Detroit: -3

12/9: PITTSBURGH: -1.7

12/20: at Chicago: + 0.9

12/26: L.A. RAMS: + 2.2

1/2: at Green Bay: + 7.4

1/9: CHICAGO: -3.4

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

9/12: MIAMI: -2.8

9/19: at N.Y. Jets: -2.8

9/26: NEW ORLEANS: + 0.9

10/3: TAMPA BAY: + 3.9

10/10: at Houston: -4.4

10/17: DALLAS: -1.4

10/24: N.Y. JETS: -6.5

10/31: at L.A. Chargers: + 1

11/7: at Carolina: -0.3

11/14: CLEVELAND: + 2.2

11/18: at Atlanta: + 1.4

11/28: TENNESSEE: -1.7

12/6: at Buffalo: + 7.6

12/18: at Indianapolis: + 4.5

12/26: BUFFALO: + 3.5

1/2: JACKSONVILLE: -5.5

1/9: at Miami: + 1.4

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

9/12: GREEN BAY: -1.2

9/19: at Carolina: -2.9

9/26: at New England: -0.9

10/3: N.Y. GIANTS: -8.1

10/10: at Washington: -3

10/25: at Seattle: + 1.3

10/31: TAMPA BAY: + 0.3

11/7: ATLANTA: -6.7

11/14: at Tennessee: + 0.2

11/21: at Philadelphia: -3.1

11/25: BUFFALO: -0.1

12/2: DALLAS: -5

12/12: at N.Y. Jets: -5.4

12/19: at Tampa Bay: + 5.6

12/27: MIAMI: -6.4

1/2: CAROLINA: -8.1

1/9: at Atlanta: -1.2

NEW YORK GIANTS

9/12: DENVER: -0.7

9/16: at Washington: + 2.4

9/26: ATLANTA: -0.4

10/3: at New Orleans: + 8.1

10/10: at Dallas: + 5.9

10/17: L.A. RAMS: + 5

10/24: CAROLINA: -1.8

11/1: at Kansas City: + 13.1

11/7: LAS VEGAS: -1.1

11/22: at Tampa Bay: + 11

11/28: PHILADELPHIA: -1.8

12/5: at Miami: + 4.2

12/12: at L.A. Chargers: + 3.8

12/19: DALLAS: + 1.3

12/26: at Philadelphia: + 2.3

1/2: at Chicago: + 3.3

1/9: WASHINGTON: -0.8

NEW YORK JETS

9/12: at Carolina: + 4.5

9/19: NEW ENGLAND: + 2.8

9/26: at Denver: + 6.3

10/3: TENNESSEE: + 2.8

10/10: vs. Atlanta: + 3.4

10/24: at New England: + 6.5

10/31: CINCINNATI: -2.1

11/4: at Indianapolis: + 9.3

11/14: BUFFALO: + 8

11/21: MIAMI: + 1.7

11/28: at Houston: + 0.4

12/5: PHILADELPHIA: + 0

12/12: NEW ORLEANS: + 5.4

12/18: at Miami: + 6.2

12/26: JACKSONVILLE: -1

1/2: TAMPA BAY: + 8.4

1/9: at Buffalo: + 12.4

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

9/12: at Atlanta: + 4.2

9/19: SAN FRANCISCO: + 3.6

9/27: at Dallas: + 5.9

10/3: KANSAS CITY: + 8

10/10: at Carolina: + 2.5

10/14: TAMPA BAY: + 6.1

10/24: at Las Vegas: + 2.9

10/31: at Detroit: -0.6

11/7: L.A. CHARGERS: + 0.5

11/14: at Denver: + 4.3

11/21: NEW ORLEANS: + 3.1

11/28: at N.Y. Giants: + 1.8

12/5: at N.Y. Jets: + 0

12/18: WASHINGTON: -1.3

12/26: N.Y. GIANTS: -2.3

1/2: at Washington: + 2.4

1/9: DALLAS: + 0.8

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

9/12: at Buffalo: + 7.5

9/19: LAS VEGAS: -5

9/26: CINCINNATI: -7.8

10/3: at Green Bay: + 6.9

10/10: DENVER: -4.6

10/17: SEATTLE: -1.2

10/31: at Cleveland: + 6.3

11/8: CHICAGO: -4.5

11/14: DETROIT: -8.2

11/21: at L.A. Chargers: + 0.9

11/28: at Cincinnati: -2.7

12/5: BALTIMORE: + 1.9

12/9: at Minnesota: + 1.7

12/19: TENNESSEE: -2.9

12/26: at Kansas City: + 10.2

1/3: CLEVELAND: + 1

1/9: at Baltimore: + 6.7

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

9/12: at Detroit: -6.5

9/19: at Philadelphia: -3.6

9/26: GREEN BAY: -1.5

10/3: SEATTLE: -3.9

10/10: at Arizona: -0.7

10/24: INDIANAPOLIS: -3.8

10/31: at Chicago: -2.6

11/7: ARIZONA: -5.6

11/15: L.A. RAMS: -1.6

11/21: at Jacksonville: -4.5

11/28: MINNESOTA: -6

12/5: at Seattle: + 0.8

12/12: at Cincinnati: -5.7

12/19: ATLANTA: -7

12/23: at Tennessee: -0.3

1/2: HOUSTON: -12.6

1/9: at L.A. Rams: + 2.2

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

9/12: at Indianapolis: + 2.8

9/19: TENNESSEE: -3.9

9/26: at Minnesota: + 0.1

10/3: at San Francisco: + 3.9

10/7: L.A. RAMS: + 0.1

10/17: at Pittsburgh: + 1.2

10/25: NEW ORLEANS: -1.3

10/31: JACKSONVILLE: -7.7

11/14: at Green Bay: + 5.3

11/21: ARIZONA: -3.9

11/29: at Washington: -2.1

12/5: SAN FRANCISCO: -0.8

12/12: at Houston: -6.1

12/19: at L.A. Rams: + 3.6

12/26: CHICAGO: -5.5

1/2: DETROIT: -9.2

1/9: at Arizona: + 0.7

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

9/9: DALLAS: -7.9

9/19: ATLANTA: -9.6

9/26: at L.A. Rams: -0.3

10/3: at New England: -3.9

10/10: MIAMI: -9.3

10/14: at Philadelphia: -6.1

10/24: CHICAGO: -9.8

10/31: at New Orleans: -0.3

11/14: at Washington: -6

11/22: N.Y. GIANTS: -11

11/28: at Indianapolis: -1.1

12/5: at Atlanta: -4.2

12/12: BUFFALO: -3

12/19: NEW ORLEANS: -5.6

12/26: at Carolina: -5.9

1/2: at N.Y. Jets: -8.4

1/9: CAROLINA: -11

TENNESSEE TITANS

9/12: ARIZONA: -2.8

9/19: at Seattle: + 3.9

9/26: INDIANAPOLIS: -1

10/3: at N.Y. Jets: -2.8

10/10: at Jacksonville: -1.4

10/18: BUFFALO: + 2.4

10/24: KANSAS CITY: + 4.7

10/31: at Indianapolis: + 4.5

11/7: at L.A. Rams: + 5.3

11/14: NEW ORLEANS: -0.2

11/21: HOUSTON: -9.8

11/28: at New England: + 1.7

12/12: JACKSONVILLE: -6.6

12/19: at Pittsburgh: + 2.9

12/23: SAN FRANCISCO: + 0.3

1/2: MIAMI: -3.9

1/9: at Houston: -4.4

WASHINGTON 

9/12: L.A. CHARGERS: + 0.4

9/16: N.Y. GIANTS: -2.4

9/26: at Buffalo: + 9.4

10/3: at Atlanta: + 3.2

10/10: NEW ORLEANS: + 3

10/17: KANSAS CITY: + 7.9

10/24: at Green Bay: + 8.8

10/31: at Denver: + 3.3

11/14: TAMPA BAY: + 6

11/21: at Carolina: + 1.5

11/29: SEATTLE: + 2.1

12/5: at Las Vegas: + 1.9

12/12: DALLAS: + 0.7

12/18: at Philadelphia: + 1.3

12/26: at Dallas: + 4.9

1/2: PHILADELPHIA: -2.4

1/9: at N.Y. Giants: + 0.8

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