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Player props alluring in NHL playoffs


(To see the charts with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly)

Bettors who followed my advice before the opener of the Stanley Cup Final now have a wager with some real positive expected value as the Tampa Bay Lightning picked up a 5-1 victory. Coming into the series, I estimated the Lightning would win 77% of the time. But now that they have a lead, their chances are closer to 84%, which means a fair series line is about -530. The Lightning are listed as -560 favorites at DraftKings to win the Stanley Cup, while the Canadiens’ odds are + 430. That implies a fair line of -450, or about an 82% chance that the Lightning will win three more games before the Canadiens win four. 

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