PGA Tour best bets: 3M Open

July 19, 2022 05:50 PM

Cameron Smith made five straight birdies on the back nine (Holes 10-14), but it was his birdie at the last that clinched a 30 on the back nine and a round of 64 to win his first major at the British Open. His 20-under-par score tied the lowest in history and beat Cameron Young by one (-19) and Rory McIlroy by two (-18). Smith also cashed for this column at 25-1 (30-1 antepost) to give us our 11th outright winner in 2022. 

There is a high level of uncertainty within the game due to LIV Golf, and all of the world's best players might not qualify for majors in 2023 unless LIV Golf is afforded OWGR points for its events. The game is fractured, and we are seeing that this week at the 3M Open with only eight of the OWGR Top 70 and three of the Top 25 in the Twin Cities. The 3M is certainly in a tough scheduling spot, being the week after a major across the pond and with most of the elite players having already locked themselves into the FedEx Cup playoffs. 

Tournament favorite Tony Finau (14-1) finished third here two years ago. Hideki Matsuyama (16-1) has been rumored as a potential defector to LIV Golf, but he is in the Twin Cities this week and finished seventh in his lone appearance here in 2019. Sungjae Im (18-1) issued a statement a few weeks ago saying he was out on LIV. 

Adam Hadwin (25-1) has finishes of fourth (2019) and sixth (2021) in this event. Cam Davis (25-1) comes into this week on the heels of two straight Top 10s (eighth at the John Deere, sixth at the Barracuda). Like Davis, Maverick McNealy (22-1) also had Top 10s at the John Deere and Barracuda. Davis Riley (25-1) has three Top 10s in his rookie season including a runner-up at the Valspar. Sahith Theegala (25-1) made his first major cut last week (34th) and already has a couple of near-misses (third in Phoenix, second at the Travelers) this season in pursuit of his maiden PGA Tour victory. Speaking of pursuing a first PGA Tour victory, Cameron Tringale (28-1) was both the 18- and 36-hole leader at the Scottish Open two weeks ago but still holds the unfortunate distinction of being the PGA Tour’s all-time leader in official earnings (more than $17 million) without a win. 

Defending 3M Open champion Cameron Champ is 50-1 and 2020 winner Michael Thompson is 65-1. 

The Course 

TPC Twin Cities is 13 miles north of Minneapolis and 20 miles from St. Paul. The track was designed in 2000 by Arnold Palmer with consultation from Tom Lehman. Native Minnesotans Tom Lehman and Tim Herron, along with PGA Tour VP of Design Services Steve Wenzloff, renovated the layout in 2018.

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