PGA Championship best bets: Eight players I like

May 19, 2022 06:43 AM

K.H. Lee had posted just one top-10 finish since earning his first PGA Tour victory last year at the 2021 Byron Nelson, the main reason he was priced at 100-1 to defend his title. Lee pulled it off Sunday, though, shooting 26-under par to hold off Dallas native Jordan Spieth by one stroke. Rounding out the top five was one of our tips Hideki Matsuyama (third, led the field for Strokes Gained: Approach and Proximity to the Hole), Sebastian Munoz (third), Xander Schauffele (fifth, 3-over par after 23 holes before shooting 26 under for the remaining 49 holes), Justin Thomas (fifth) and Ryan Palmer (fifth). 

This week, the golf world travels four hours north from Dallas to Tulsa, Oklahoma, for the second major of the year, the PGA Championship. Southern Hills Country Club last played host to the PGA Championship in 2007 when Tiger Woods, who is in the field this week at 66-1, won his fourth PGA. 

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (12-1) won his first major six weeks ago at the Masters and has won four times (Phoenix Open, Arnold Palmer Invitational, WGC-Match Play, Masters) in a nine-week span. World No. 2 Jon Rahm (12-1), who won three weeks ago for the first time since winning the U.S. Open in June, is the co-favorite. Thomas (16-1) has six top 10s in 10 events in 2022 but is still seeking his first victory in more than 14 months (2021 Players Championship) and is looking to break a nearly five-year major drought after winning the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow. Rory McIlroy (16-1) is a two-time PGA Champion (2012, Kiawah Island; 2014, Valhalla), but his major drought dates to Valhalla almost eight years ago. Perhaps no player has better recent form than Jordan Spieth (18-1) who won the RBC Heritage five weeks ago and finished runner-up last week. Spieth is attempting to complete the career grand slam this week. 

Collin Morikawa (20-1), the World No. 3, has had a relatively quiet season but has won a major championship in each of the last two years (2020 PGA Championship, Harding Park; 2021 Open Championship, Royal St. George's). World No. 5 Patrick Cantlay (22-1) and World No. 4 Cameron Smith (25-1) are the highest-ranked players without a major. Smith's best chance was last month at Augusta before finishing third. Cantlay has earned four wins and a FedEx Cup in the last 11 months. Recently married Dustin Johnson (25-1) has fallen out of the OWGR top 10 (currently 12th) for the first time since 2015, and his last victory was in January 2021. World No. 6 Victor Hovland (25-1) has four worldwide victories in the last 12 months but has not played an individual event since the Masters. He elected to prepare at his home in Stillwater, Oklahoma, where he played his college golf at Oklahoma State and just an hour drive to Tulsa. 

Xander Schauffele (28-1) has six top-five finishes in majors and comes in with some momentum after a final-round 61 at the Byron Nelson. Hideki Matsuyama (33-1) fired a final-round 62 Sunday and has three wins worldwide since his 2021 Masters title. Shane Lowry (35-1) has finished in the top three in three of his last six starts, including the Masters, plus was fourth at last year's PGA. Will Zalatoris (35-1) disappointed last week with a missed cut at his hometown event. Brooks Koepka (45-1) and Bryson DeChambeau (100-1) are wild cards due to recent battles with injuries over the last year. Koepka claims he is back to good health, while DeChambeau's health is still in question.

The Event

The PGA Championship returns to Southern Hills Country Club for the first time since 2007. The PGA was originally scheduled for Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, but the PGA of America stripped the course of the event on January 10, 2021, four days after the storming of the United States Capitol building, due to what the organization said would be “detrimental to the PGA of America brand.” Two weeks later, the PGA of America announced that they were awarding the PGA Championship to Southern Hills. 

The PGA Championship is the only one of the four majors exclusively for professionals. Furthermore, 20 PGA of America teachers and club professionals earn spots for the event. In all, 156 players are in the field and the low 70 and ties will make the weekend. 

​The Course

Southern Hills Country Club is no stranger to hosting majors. It has played host to four PGA Championships (1970, 1982, 1994, 2007) and three U.S. Opens (1958, 1977, 2001) plus numerous USGA events and most recently the 2021 Senior PGA Championship. 

The course was built in 1935 and designed by Perry Maxwell. Maxwell was also the co-designer of Colonial Country Club and worked on classic designs such as Augusta National, Merion and Pine Valley. The course was built amid the Great Depression after $140,000 was raised for a new golf club by a group of Tulsa citizens. Maxwell’s design philosophy was to leverage the natural topography of the land with severe undulations on both the fairways and greens to elicit uneven lies on approaches and uncertain landing areas on the greens.

This year’s version of Southern Hills will be different from 2007, though, after Gil Hanse performed a major restoration in 2019. Southern Hills wanted to bring the course back to the foundation of Maxwell’s original design and again be able to challenge the world’s best. The fairways were widened from around 30 yards on average to 40 yards. However, it will still take more than a “grip it and rip it” philosophy off the tee. At 7,556 yards (second longest on tour this year) but just a par-70, players will be challenged to hit driver while still aiming toward hazards on doglegs to create ideal angles to greens. Despite the wider-than-average fairways and lack of penal rough (2.25 inches), Southern Hills will reward strategic positional shots off the tee. With that said, length is rarely, if ever, a disadvantage and certainly won’t be here.

Southern Hills lives up to its name as it is hilly with rolling fairways and greens, which can create some strange bounces and uneven lies, as you might see in Scotland. Many of Maxwell's designs have a Scottish influence. 

Arguably the biggest changes are on and around the greens. Hanse and his team tore away the edges of the greens, which allows for shots hit to the outer fringes and fall off to one of the many runoff areas that will test players’ short games. Hanse also replaced the rough that used to surround the greens with short grass. The greens are more crown-shaped now (think Pinehurst No. 2). The Bentgrass greens are 5,000 square feet on average, which is average for the tour, but they will play smaller due to false fronts and tight runoffs. At the 2021 Senior PGA Championship, many players commented on approach shots that caught the edge of the green and rolled off as far as 50 yards downhill. The greens are expected to roll at around 11.5 on the stimpmeter, which is slower than most major championships. 

Other changes to the course include 300 yards of added length and the removal and thinning out of trees. 

Neither of Southern Hills’ two par-5s are two-shot holes for most of the field, three of the four par-3s measure more than 210 yards and two of the par-4s eclipse 500 yards. 

Course conditions are expected to be firm and fast — it has been mostly dry in Tulsa — but the wind could make this test more arduous than expected. Here is the current forecast from the National Weather Service:

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday: A 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. A 30% chance of rain overnight.

Saturday: A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.

Correlated or comparable courses to Southern Hills include Augusta National, Shinnecock Hills, Kiawah Island, Colonial, Congaree, Bay Hill, Memorial Park and Riviera.

PGA Championship Recent History/Winners

2021: Phil Mickelson (-6/282) Kiawah Island; 250-1

2020: Collin Morikawa (-13/267) TPC Harding Park; 35-1

2019: Brooks Koepka (-8/272) Bethpage Black; 10-1

2018: Brooks Koepka (-16/264) Bellerive; 20-1

2017: Justin Thomas (-8/276) Quail Hollow; 45-1

2016: Jimmy Walker (-14/266) Baltusrol; 125-1

2015: Jason Day (-20/268) Whistling Straits; 14-1

2014: Rory McIlroy (-16/268) Valhalla; 5-1

2013: Jason Dufner (-10/270) Oak Hill; 40-1

2012: Rory McIlroy (-13/275) Kiawah Island; 20-1

2011: Keegan Bradley (-8/272) Atlanta Athletic; 175-1*

2010: Martin Kaymer (-11/277) Whistling Straits; 50-1**

Playoff win over Jason Dufner*

Playoff win over Bubba Watson**

PGA Championship Trends

— 9 of the last 12 PGA winners were younger than 30

— 8 of the last 11 winners were Americans 

— 5 of the last 10 winners were ranked in the OWGR top 10

— 7 of the last 10 (and 4 of the last 5) winners already had one victory earlier in the season

— 11 of the last 13 winners had five or fewer appearances in the PGA Championship

— 9 of the last 10 winners had a top 20 or better in a previous PGA Championship

Statistical Analysis

Strokes Gained: Approach (last 36 rounds)

Even with the added length, Southern Hills is a second-shot golf course. Like Augusta National, the greens have some small, flat pockets that should be target areas on approach.

1. Viktor Hovland, 39.9

2. Daniel Berger, 35.3

3. Will Zalatoris, 34.7

4. Russell Henley, 33.8

5. Hideki Matsuyama, 32.9

6. Justin Thomas, 32.5

7. Shane Lowry, 32

8. Tom Hoge, 28.3

9. Luke List, 27.4

10. Cameron Smith, 26

11. Scottie Scheffler, 25.4

12. Adam Hadwin, 21.6

13. Harold Varner III, 20.8

14. Aaron Wise, 20.4

15. Keegan Bradley, 19.6

Strokes Gained: Approach (last 24 rounds)

1. Will Zalatoris, 26.8

2. Viktor Hovland, 26.4

3. Jordan Spieth, 26.3

4. Justin Thomas, 24.6

5. Russell Henley, 24

6. Hideki Matsuyama, 23.5

7. Scottie Scheffler, 21

8. Shane Lowry, 20.7

9. Cameron Smith, 20.4

10. Max Homa, 19.1

11. Luke List, 18.8

12. Daniel Berger, 17.9

13. Collin Morikawa, 17.9

14. Cameron Tringale, 17.6

15. Alex Noren, 17

Greens In Regulation Gained (last 36 rounds)

Southern Hills course superintendent Russ Myers recently said in an interview, “Holding and hitting greens has never been more challenging after most perimeter hole locations have been recaptured, and even a shorter, lighter cut of rough will make controlling spin and distance more difficult.” And with the runoff areas, the greens will play smaller than they are. “It’s so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and they’re compartmentalized,” Myers said. Based on these comments, it seems these greens will be difficult to hit.

1. Jon Rahm, 58.2

2. Scottie Scheffler, 42.3 

3. Jhonattan Vegas, 38.2

4. Will Zalatoris, 34.8

5. Aaron Wise, 34.5

6. Hideki Matsuyama, 33.7

7. Corey Conners, 33.5

8. Luke List, 33.5

9. Collin Morikawa, 32.4

10. Russell Henley, 30.7

11. Tony Finau, 30.5

12. Shane Lowry, 30.3

13. Chan Kim, 30.2

14. Mito Pereira, 29.3

15. Sergio Garcia, 29.1

Greens In Regulation Gained (last 24 rounds)

1. Jon Rahm, 40.5

2. Rory McIlroy, 32.5

3. Scottie Scheffler, 30.6

4. Aaron Wise, 28.6

5. Sebastian Munoz, 28.2

6. Corey Conners, 27.3

7. Collin Morikawa, 24.8

8. Mito Pereira, 24.4

9. Sergio Garcia, 24.2

10. Chan Kim, 23.8

11. Shane Lowry, 23.8

12. Will Zalatoris, 23.5

13. Cameron Tringale, 22.5

14. Russell Henley, 21.8

15. Tony Finau, 21.7

Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee (last 36 rounds)

Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee measures both distance and accuracy. Players who hit their tee shots toward danger areas (creeks, bunkers, etc) will have better angles into the greens. Bombers certainly have an edge, but those who can play position off the tee can also compete.

1. Jon Rahm, 44.1

2. Bryson DeChambeau, 30.9

3. Cameron Young, 30.7

4. Rory McIlroy, 27.7

5. Sergio Garcia, 26.4

6. Corey Conners, 25.3

7. Keith Mitchell, 24.2

8. Luke List, 22.5

9. Will Zalatoris, 21.3

10. Cameron Champ, 20.8

11. Patrick Cantlay, 20

12. Keegan Bradley, 19.7

13. Matt Fitzpatrick, 19.3

14. Viktor Hovland, 19.2

15. Si Woo Kim, 18.5

Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee (last 24 rounds)

1. Jon Rahm, 34.7

2. Cameron Young, 24.7

3. Cameron Champ, 18.8

4. Max Homa, 17.5

5. Sergio Garcia, 17.1

6. Rory McIlroy, 17

7. Corey Conners, 16.9

8. Mito Pereira, 16.6

9. Sebastian Munoz, 16.3

10. Brian Harman, 15.8

11. Bryson DeChambeau, 15.4

12. Joaquin Niemann, 15.3

13. Keith Mitchell, 15

14. Will Zalatoris, 14.9

15. Aaron Wise, 14.5

Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green (last 36 rounds)

With runoff areas and heavily bunkered greens on each hole, Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green and Scrambling are important this week. Missed approaches are going to shoot off greens and create difficult scrambling opportunities. 

1. Danny Willett, 24.6

2. Matt Jones, 22.7

3. Matt Kuchar, 20.6

4. Scottie Scheffler, 15.5

5. Chris Kirk, 14.8

6. Joaquin Niemann, 13.3

7. Tyrrell Hatton, 13

8. Rory McIlroy, 12.5

9. Adam Hadwin, 12.4

10. Louis Oosthuizen, 12.2

11. Harold Varner III, 11.8

12. Bernd Wiesberger, 11.7

13. Talor Gooch, 11.6

14. Patrick Cantlay, 11.2

15. Robert MacIntyre, 10.8

Strokes Gained: Around The Green (last 24 rounds)

1. Matt Kuchar, 15.4

2. Danny Willett, 15.4

3. Matt Jones, 15

4. Joaquin Niemann, 11.8

5. Chris Kirk, 11.7

6. Louis Oosthuizen, 9.9

7. Russell Henley, 9.9

8. Alex Cejka, 9.7

9. Bernd Wiesberger, 9.5

10. Rory McIlroy, 9.3

11. Adam Hadwin, 9.1

12. Scottie Scheffler, 9.1

13. Daniel Berger, 9

14. Tommy Fleetwood, 9

15. Robert MacIntyre, 8.4

Scrambling Gained (last 36 rounds)

1. Matt Kuchar, 20.7

2. Matt Fitzpatrick, 18.9

3. Christiaan Bezuidenhout, 14.4

4. Dylan Frittelli, 14

5. Cameron Young, 13.8

6. Daniel Berger, 13.7

7. Shane Lowry, 13.1

8. Ian Poulter, 12.4

9. Keith Mitchell, 12.3

10. Robert MacIntyre, 12.3

11. Mito Pereira, 12.1

12. Gary Woodland, 11.7

13. Brian Harman, 11.3

14. Rory McIlroy, 11.3

15. Seamus Power, 11.1

Scrambling Gained (last 24 rounds)

1. Matt Fitzpatrick, 17.3

2. Christiaan Bezuidenhout, 16.8

3. Daniel Berger, 14.6

4. Matt Kuchar, 12.4

5. Robert MacIntyre, 12.2

6. Justin Thomas, 11.7

7. Cameron Young, 11.1

8. Shane Lowry, 10.4

9. Ian Poulter, 10.1

10. Dylan Frittelli, 10

11. Gary Woodland, 8.2

12. Brian Harman, 8

13. Troy Merritt, 7.7

14. Tony Finau, 7.1

15. Sepp Straka, 7

Strokes Gained: Par-4s 450-500 Yards (last 36 rounds)

Six of the 12 par-4s at Southern Hills measure 450-500 yards.

1. Cameron Young, 25.2

2. Sebastian Munoz, 21

3. Viktor Hovland, 20.5

4. Billy Horschel, 18.1

5. Seamus Power, 17.8

6. Dustin Johnson, 17.7

7. Gary Woodland, 17.4

8. Justin Thomas, 17.1

9. Shane Lowry, 16.9

10. Jon Rahm, 16.9

11. Alex Noren, 16.5

12. Jason Kokrak, 16.3

13. Rory McIlroy, 16.2

14. K.H. Lee, 14.8

15. Mito Pereira, 14.2

Strokes Gained: Par-4s 450-500 Yards (last 24 rounds)

1. K.H. Lee, 19

2. Jon Rahm, 17.9

3. Shane Lowry, 17.6

4. Cameron Young, 16.2

5. Gary Woodland, 15.7

6. Sebastian Munoz, 15.4

7. Max Homa, 15.2

8. Scottie Scheffler, 14.9

9. Robert MacIntyre, 14.5

10. Billy Horschel, 13.5

11. Rory McIlroy, 13.4

12. Seamus Power, 12.9

13. Tom Hoge, 11.7

14. Jason Day, 11.5

15. Viktor Hovland, 11.3

Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards (last 36 rounds)

Players will have numerous approach shots from 200+ yards. 

1. Hideki Matsuyama, 29.3

2. Will Zalatoris, 26.2

3. Bryson DeChambeau, 24.9

4. Will Zalatoris, 22

5. Jon Rahm, 20.7

6. Sebastian Munoz, 20.7

7. Adam Scott, 19.7

8. Gary Woodland, 18.9

9. Tony Finau, 18.8

10. Cameron Champ, 16.9

11. Collin Morikawa, 16.8

12. Cameron Young, 16.3

13. Matthew Wolff, 16

14. Corey Conners, 14.5

15. Shane Lowry, 14.5

Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards (last 24 rounds)

1. Will Zalatoris, 31.7

2. Hideki Matusyama, 31.4

3. Bryson DeChambeau, 26.4

4. Gary Woodland, 25.9

5. Shane Lowry, 25.8

6. Viktor Hovland, 24.7

7. Collin Morikawa, 23.7

8. Cameron Young, 23

9. Sebastian Munoz, 21.1

10. Keith Mitchell, 20.2

11. Cameron Tringale, 19.8

12. Aaron Wise, 18.6

13. Tony Finau, 18.3

14. Adam Scott, 18.2

15. Jason Dufner, 17.1

Feet gained per shot

Average Proximity from Inside 100 Yards (2021-22 season)

The two par-5s are likely three-shot holes for most of the field. Plus, with runoffs causing the ball to run 50 yards away from the green in some spots, we’ll see some short wedge shots into these greens. 

1. Justin Thomas, 10'4"

2. Russell Henley, 11'11"

3. Cameron Smith, 12'9"

4. Max Homa, 13'0"

5. Louis Oosthuizen, 13'2"

6. Stewart Cink, 13'4"

7. Chris Kirk, 13'5"

8. Dustin Johnson, 13'7"

9. Shane Lowry, 13'7"

10. Garrick Higgo, 14'0"

11. Collin Morikawa, 14'1"

12. Tommy Fleetwood, 14'3"

13. Sergio Garcia, 14'3"

14. Ian Poulter, 14'3"

15. Erik van Rooyen, 14'4"

Average distance from hole 

Bogey Avoidance (last 36 rounds)

With 87 bunkers, runoffs around the greens and undulations on the greens, pars will be good scores on many holes.

1. Matt Fitzpatrick, 37.4

2. Shane Lowry, 31.9

3. Gary Woodland, 27.7

4. Justin Thomas, 27.1

5. Mito Pereira, 23

6. Hideki Matsuyama, 22.4

7. Rory McIlroy, 22.2

8. Sepp Straka, 22

9. Robert MacIntyre, 21.7

10. Seamus Power, 21.5

11. Tom Hoge, 21.2

12. Matt Kuchar, 20.8

13. Jon Rahm, 20.4

14. Daniel Berger, 20

15. Talor Gooch, 19.7

Bogey Avoidance (last 24 rounds)

1. Matt Fitzpatrick, 29.2

2. Shane Lowry, 26.3

3. Justin Thomas, 21.9

4. Xander Schauffele, 21.7

5. Corey Conners, 19.1

6. Sepp Straka, 17.9

7. Rory McIlroy, 17.7

8. Robert MacIntyre, 17.6

9. Christiaan Bezuidenhout, 17.2

10. Will Zalatoris, 16.9

11. Jason Day, 16.5

12. Gary Woodland, 16.4

13. Daniel Berger, 15.7

14. Sergio Garcia, 15.6

15. Matt Kuchar, 14.7

Strokes Gained: Bentgrass Putting (last 36 rounds)

The greens at Southern Hills are Bentgrass with plenty of rolling slopes.

1. Jason Kokrak, 34.4

2. Beau Hossler, 33.5

3. Martin Kaymer, 29.6

4. Ian Poulter, 28.9

5. Troy Merritt, 27.8

6. Zach Johnson, 27.6

7. Patrick Cantlay, 26.5

8. Adam Scott, 26.3

9. Alex Noren, 26

10. Rory McIlroy, 25.9

11. Cameron Tringale, 24.5

12. K.H. Lee, 22.7

13. Seamus Power, 22.4

14. Cameron Davis, 21.3

15. Mackenzie Hughes, 18

Strokes Gained: Bentgrass Putting (last 24 rounds)

1. Martin Kaymer, 28.6

2. Beau Hossler, 24.7

3. Patrick Cantlay, 24.2

4. Troy Merritt, 23.1

5. Zach Johnson, 22.4

6. Seamus Power, 22.1

7. K.H. Lee, 21.9

8. Alex Noren, 21.5

9. Rory McIlroy, 21.4 

10. Ian Poulter, 17.4

11. Justin Rose, 17.3

12. Mackenzie Hughes, 15.4

13. Jason Kokrak, 14.9

14. Keith Mitchell, 14.8

15. Christiaan Bezuidenhout, 14.5


Justin Thomas (17-1 Circa Sports)

Thomas, the OWGR No. 9, has not been outside of the top 10 since winning the 2017 PGA Championship, his lone major title. There’s nothing wrong with 11 top 10s worldwide since July, but he hasn’t won since the 2021 Players Championship. 

That’s why Jim “Bones” Mackay came out of retirement and left TV, saying the one player he would man the bag for was Thomas. It would be some story if Bones got another major this week after 2021 PGA champion Phil Mickelson decided not to play. 

Thomas' irons have returned to elite status. His accuracy off the tee is still not up to par but can be overcome on these wide fairways. His scrambling and bogey-avoidance numbers are also near the top of this field. It looks like the pieces are fitting into the puzzle at the right time for JT. 

Patrick Cantlay (22-1 BetMGM)

Despite two big wins in the last 12 months (Memorial, BMW Championship), a FedEx Cup title plus teaming up with Xander Schauffele to win the Zurich Classic last month, Cantlay has been a bit snakebitten in 2022. He has finished runner-up twice after losing two playoffs, one at the Phoenix Open to Scottie Scheffler and the other at the RBC Heritage to Jordan Spieth. 

Cantlay’s five wins since October 2020 are the most on the PGA Tour. He has yet to win a major, but 18 of the last 26 major winners were first-timers.

He had a down week by his standards on the Bentgrass greens at Augusta, but the World No. 5 is one of the PGA Tour's best putters, especially on Bentgrass. 

Cameron Smith (25-1 DraftKings)

During the Masters, I bet Smith at around 30-1 in each of the three remaining majors. 

Wide fairways usually play right into Smith's hands, and the Australian's elite iron play and excellent skills both on and around the greens should flourish here. He has a great opportunity to add to a breakthrough year in which he already has a victory at the Tournament of Champions and The Players Championship. 

Hideki Matsuyama (33-1 BetMGM)

Matsuyama has always been known as a shaky putter, but seven of his eight career PGA Tour victories, including the Masters, were on Bentgrass greens. 

The 2021 Masters champion finished 14th in his title defense but was second entering the weekend despite a nagging neck injury. He took some time off and re-emerged last week at the Byron Nelson with a third-place finish. Matsuyama led the field in Dallas for Strokes Gained: Approach and Proximity to the Hole. He is at or near the top of this field for Strokes Gained: Approach, GIR Gained and Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards. 

Shane Lowry (37-1 Circa Sports)

Lowry has some great recent form with consecutive third-place finishes at the Masters and the RBC Heritage, plus a runner-up at the Honda Classic a few weeks prior. He ranks near the top of the models in Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling, Strokes Gained: Approach and GIR Gained. The Irishman is also one of the best wind players in the world. 

Cameron Young (80-1 BetMGM)

Can Cameron Young pull off what Keegan Bradley did in 2011 and what Collin Morikawa did in 2020 and win the PGA Championship on debut? His form says he can. Young finished third at the RBC Heritage and second at the Wells Fargo Championship last time out. Add a runner-up finish at Riviera this year and he has already proven he can compete with the game's elite in his rookie season. Young is one of the biggest hitters off the tee and will love seeing these wide fairways. He has also proven to be pinpoint with the irons, particularly on longer approach shots. 

Keegan Bradley (90-1 PointsBet)

Speaking of Bradley, he finished runner-up two weeks ago at the Wells Fargo and has four top-10 finishes this season. He led the field in putting at the Wells Fargo, a rare occurrence as he was 151st for Strokes Gained: Putting entering that event.

Tommy Fleetwood (105-1 Circa Sports)

Fleetwood's form is coming around with six top 20s in his last 10 worldwide starts, but he did disappoint with a 59th last week in the Byron Nelson. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is a good wind player as he finished runner-up to Lowry in the 2019 Open Championship.

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