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Peterson's NCAA plays for Friday

Greg Peterson

March 8, 2018 10:34 PM

870 Kansas (-4.5) vs Kansas State
Kansas was without Udoka Azubuike against Oklahoma State on Thursday, but still got an 82-66 win over Oklahoma State. Kansas State tries to slow games down while Kansas often pushes the tempo with a roster built on good guards. Kansas is a bit streaky with its 3-point shooting, but has already taken down Kansas State twice. With Kansas State being an average 3-point shooting team and having far from intimidating height, Kansas should win and cover.

837 Texas State (plus 11.5) vs Louisiana-Lafayette
On paper, a Texas State team that snapped a nine-game losing streak against Coastal Carolina on Friday is facing the 26-5 Ragin' Cajuns, but the Bobcarts have played teams close. The loss of guard and assist leader Marlin Davis midway through the season caused the team to play more isolation basketball on offense. Texas State has been poor at defending the paint, but superb at closing off the 3-point line. Though UL-Lafayette is good in the post, laying 11.5 in this spot is too many due Texas State's ability to slow down games and not allow open 3s.

844 Georgia Southern (-4.5) vs Louisiana-Monroe
Georgia Southern is not the easiest team to gauge. The Eagles are a bit lucky to be 20-11 as their opponents have shot 65.4 percent at the free-throw line. That is the lowest opponent free-throw shooting percentage in the country. It helps that the Eagles are pitted against a Louisiana-Monroe team that has attempted the fifth-fewest free throws in D1 basketball.  Louisiana-Monroe is also dead last in the country in blocked shots and relies heavily on 3s. With Georgia Southern allowing foes to shoot just 32 percent from distance, Louisiana-Monroe is in a tough spot to cover.

865 Clemson vs 866 Virginia Over 118.5
For the most part, Virginia games have been going under this year. The under is 20-8, but the market seems to have adjusted as three of the past five Cavaliers games have gone under. Clemson has been a bit more of a defensive-oriented team as well, but is coming off a 90-82 shootout with Boston College. Though Virginia plays at one of the nation's slowest pace, it has a highly efficient offense with each of the squad's top three scorers shooting over 38 percent from 3-point range. Clemson also has a tendency to allow more points away from Little John Coliseum, with the over being 9-6 in road and neutral court games this season.

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