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Peterson: Best bet for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

By Greg Peterson  (VSiN.com) 

January 14, 2022 08:33 PM
USATSI_15712819

The Alabama Crimson Tide have fallen on tough times with losses in three of their last five games and will look the rebound in Starkville on Saturday against Mississippi State.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (-1, 152.5)

(stats as of Friday morning)

The crux of Alabama’s issues have come on defense, giving up at least 70 points in seven of their nine matchups since the start of December and are 183rd in the country in points allowed on a per-possession basis.

The Bulldogs enter ranked 16th in America in points scored on a per-possession basis, even with starter Tolu Smith out of the lineup for 10 of the 15 games this season. He has a possibility to return on Saturday.

The glass has been kind to Mississippi State this season as they are No. 8 nationally in rebound rate, while Alabama is 239th in allowing opponent rebound rate on missed shots at 28 percent.

Alabama is 240th among Division I teams in 3-point shooting percentage at 28.5 percent, and with 40 percent of the points Mississippi State allows coming on made 3-pointers, which is the 12th-highest percentage in the country, Alabama’s inability to shoot from the outside will prove to be costly.

Pick: Mississippi State -1

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