The 2021-22 NFL season is almost upon us and our experts at VSiN – Brady Kannon, Shaun King, Bruce Marshall, William Hill, Wes Reynolds, Jonathan Von Tobel and Matt Youmans – have picked their favorite over/unders as part of VSiN’s Pro Football Betting Guide.
Here are their 12 favorite NFL win total bets.
All odds at DraftKings Sportsbook unless otherwise noted.
Atlanta Falcons Over 7.5 (-135)
Hill: We’ve seen this move from 7, and I think it’s the correct move. Sometimes a coaching change is just a change for change’s sake. The hiring of Arthur Smith doesn’t fall under that category, and it could be a badly-needed breath of fresh air for a Falcons team that never seemed to fully recover from the 28-3 collapse a half-decade ago in the Super Bowl. Back-to back 15-point fourth-quarter leads against the Cowboys and Bears in 2020 somehow resulted in two losses. Atlanta blew countless leads and lost eight games by a touchdown or less.
VSiN’s 2021 Pro Football Betting Guide is now available for order. Get access to over 100 pages of information, including over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams and our experts’ favorite season win total bets right here.
Not only should some better luck and improved coaching come their way, but the Falcons face a favorable slate of opposing quarterbacks. They see Sam Darnold and Jameis Winston four times combined, along with Zach Wilson, Daniel Jones, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, Jared Goff and Mac Jones/Cam Newton. Some positive regression combined with a manageable schedule gives the Falcons a shot to play into January and makes them a strong bet to go Over.
Minnesota Vikings Over 9
Hill: I’m not sure a team was hurt more by the pandemic than the Vikings. They rely on a boisterous home-field advantage, which was nonexistent with no fans last year. They also had a draft class of 15 players, but with no preseason and a reduced training camp, young players suffered by not getting the normal reps to help integrate them into the league. Some late-game meltdowns cost them a trip to the playoffs, as they gave games away to the Seahawks, Cowboys and Titans, while their kicker melted down against the Buccaneers. They also suffered major losses on defense, with Danielle Hunter missing the season, Michael Pierce opting out and Anthony Barr and Eric Kendricks missing significant chunks of the season.