Tuesday NHL Sharp Report

January 23, 2023 11:10 PM
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Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 2:30 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday's NHL slate...

 

7 p.m. ET: Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens

The Bruins (37-5-4) have won nine of their last ten games and just blanked the Sharks 4-0, cashing as -380 home favorites. Similarly, the Canadiens (20-24-3) have won three of their last four games and just upset the Maple Leafs 3-2, winning as +290 home dogs. This line opened with Boston listed as a hefty -325 road favorite and Montreal a +275 road dog. Pros aren't scared off by the big chalk and have steamed the Bruins up from -325 to -345. Big road favorites -200 or more are 138-55 (72%) this season. The Bruins are -1.5 (-135) on the puck-line. The Bruins are 30-6 as a favorite and 15-4-1 on the road. Montreal is 18-23 as a dog and 11-12 at home. Boston has the far better offense (3.9 GPG vs 2.7 GPG) and defense (2.1 GPG allowed vs 3.6). The Bruins have a big advantage on special teams as well, with a power play cashing at 27% vs 15% and a penalty kill at 87% vs 74%.

 

7:30 p.m. ET: Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils

The Knights (29-17-2) have lost five of their last seven games and just fell to the Coyotes 4-1, losing as -220 road favorites. Meanwhile, the Devils (30-12-4) have won six of their last seven games and just edged the Penguins 2-1 in overtime, cashing as -145 home favorites. This line opened with New Jersey listed as a -160 home favorite and Vegas a +145 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and laying the chalk with the home favorite, steaming the Devils up to -170. Some shops are inching higher to -180. Home favorites with a line move in their favor in a non-conference game are 77-38 (67%) this season. Vegas is in a tired fade spot, playing their third game in four days. The Devils are better offensively (3.5 GPG vs 3 GPG) and defensively (allowing 2.6 GPG vs 2.9 GPG). The total is 6.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a lower scoring game.

 

8 p.m. ET: Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

The Jets (31-16-1) have won two straight games and just beat the Flyers 5-3, taking care of business as -160 road favorites. Similarly, the Predators (22-18-6) have won three of their last four games and just took down the Kings 5-3, cashing as -115 home favorites. This line opened as low as a pick'em at some shops. We've seen smart money pounce on the Jets, steaming Winnipeg up to a -120 road favorite. Road favorites off a win are 101-55 (65%) this season. Winnipeg is 19-5 as a favorite. Nashville is 9-14 as a dog. Winnipeg has the better offense (3.3 GPG vs 2.8 GPG) and defense (allowing 2.6 GPG compared to 3 GPG). The Jets also have the better power play (24% vs 16%) and penalty kill (84% vs 80%). Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 6 to 5.5 at several shops. The Jets are one of the best under teams this season, going 30-14-4 to the under.

 

 

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