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Stanley Cup Playoffs: Updated betting odds and series predictions for Tuesday, May 9th
- Florida Panthers (-1200) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (+700)
- Dallas Stars (+110) vs Seattle Kraken (-130)
- New Jersey Devils (+155) vs Carolina Hurricanes (-185)
- Edmonton Oilers (+120) vs Vegas Golden Knights (-140)
Vegas Golden Knights lead series 2-1 after dominating 5-1 win in Game 3
Rogers Place was buzzing after the Oilers opened the scoring on their first shot of the game, but the Golden Knights answered back with a quick goal. Not long after, Vegas goaltender Laurent Brossoit suffered what looked like a serious injury while pushing across the crease to save a rebound. Brossoit was helped off the ice and then replaced by Adin Hill.
This is where the Oilers should have jumped on the Golden Knights, but Vegas had all the jump, making sure that Hill would have lots of offensive support. Vegas led 2-1 after 20 minutes, but by the end of the second period they led 5-1 and that’s how the game ended. Oilers’ goaltender Stuart Skinner was pulled after allowing four goals. Jack Campbell made six of seven saves in relief.
The Oilers have scored 10 goals in the series so far, but Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have scored eight of them. That means players like Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Evander Kane and Zach Hyman have yet to light the Vegas lamp. This needs to change immediately or Vegas will be advancing.
Edmonton is a -180 favorite again in Game 4, and that means the series is likely heading back to Vegas tied 2-2. That’s not a guarantee, though, and by my estimation, the Golden Knights now have a 54 percent chance of winning the series. Edmonton has shown they can adjust, but to win this series, those adjustments are going to have to stick for more than one game.
Updated Series Probabilities
Vegas Golden Knights Win Series: 54% (-117)
- 5 Games: 18%
- 6 Games: 19.5%
- 7 Games: 16.5%
Edmonton Oilers Win Series: 46% (+117)
- 6 Games: 20%
- 7 Games: 26%
As far as the Game 4 moneyline goes, it’s too heavily shaded toward the Oilers, who I have winning the game about 62 percent of the time.
Updated NHL Series Probabilities
Carolina Hurricanes (+130) at New Jersey Devils (-150)
New Jersey is looking to crawl back after going down 2-0 for the second series in a row. The Devils won Game 3 to avoid being pushed to the brink of elimination, but it took an offensive explosion to make it happen. As mentioned in yesterday’s write up, I’m on the Hurricanes to win Game 4 because I just think their odds have shifted too much. I do think New Jersey deserves to be a favorite, but a much smaller one, by my estimation.
If they do have what it takes to come back in another series, doesn’t shopping around for the best price on their Eastern Conference futures make sense? I mean, they’d be a favorite against the Panthers and the odds are +425 at DraftKings. Now, there might be a better way to maximize profit if you think the Devils can win both this series and the next, but this is something I like to think about during this time of year.
Dallas Stars (-140) at Seattle Kraken (+120)
Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger hasn’t had a good 60-minute performance yet in the series while Philipp Grubauer has been solid for Seattle. That, and the Kraken’s depth, has been the difference, and they are now in a decent position to take a 3-1 series lead back to Dallas. It didn’t feel that way after the Stars dominated Game 2, but the Kraken have more than a little bit of life now.
Jared McCann could return to Seattle’s lineup soon, too. The 40-goal scorer has been out since the first round and recently shed his no-contact jersey for the first time at practice. I don’t have interest in betting either team at the current prices, but I’m hoping for a Kraken victory so that it creates a must-win scenario for the Stars in Game 5. Those are always fun and if given the opportunity to bet the Kraken at long enough odds on the road, I would. Especially if McCann is back in the lineup.
Check out today’s episode of the VSiN Hockey Betting Podcast: New episode dropping Tuesday!