NHL Betting Guide: Daily odds, injury news, predictions and best bets for Wednesday, January 11th

January 11, 2023 08:54 AM
USATSI_17643511
Capitals' star Alex Ovechkin has finally been reunited with Nicklas Backstrom and Tom Wilson.

NHL Betting Guide: Daily odds, injury news, predictions and best bets for Wednesday, January 11th

Welcome to VSiN’s NHL Betting Guide for Wedneday, January 11th, featuring odds, predictions and best bets. The guide also includes the latest news, projected starting goaltenders, and important injury updates. Whether you’re a seasoned NHL bettor or learning how to be on hockey, this guide is an essential resource for making informed bets on NHL games.

Today’s NHL Odds

Odds via the VSiN NHL Odds

NHL Model Predictions (Projected Home Team Win Probability)

*Subject to change based on starting goaltenders and injury news.

  • Philadelphia – 32.4 percent (+195)
  • Toronto – N/A (see injury notes for details)
  • Anaheim – N/A (see injury notes for details)
  • Los Angeles – 67.7 percent (-210)

Best Bets

  • Washington Capitals -170

Philadelphia has won five of its last six games. Only six teams have scored more goals than the Flyers over the last month. However, the team ranks 25th in expected goals (per 60) during that same stretch. Philadelphia still ranks among the bottom-10 teams in goals and shots against.

Washington, meanwhile, has gone 3-3 in its last six, but two of those losses were in overtime and the Capitals had won 10 of 11 prior to that. Washington is also outperforming expected goals, but that’s what they’re known for. The Capitals have elite shooting talent, and they’re the third best team on defense over the last month.

Nicklas Backstrom and Tom Wilson made their season debuts on Sunday, but the Capitals did not play well against the Columbus Blue Jackets of all teams. Washington still managed to win (1-0) and, intuitively, I think the Capitals are likely to bring their best to Philadelphia.

Washington is 6-1 in Philadelphia since 2020-21 and, according to my model, the road team should be priced closer to -195 if Darcy Kuemper is in goal.

Record:

Wins: 52 Losses: 57

Units Won: -9.97 units

ROI: -21 percent

All bets tracked on third-party app Betstamp.

Schedule Notes

*Indicates that a team is playing the first half of a back-to-back

Rest

Visitor

Home

Rest

2

WSH

PHI

3/4

1

NSH*

TOR*

2

1

EDM

ANA

2

0

SJS

LAK

1

Projected Starting Goaltenders

No goaltenders are confirmed unless otherwise stated. Projections are based on factors like rest, venue, opponent and upcoming games. Projected starters underlined.

  • Washington Capitals – Darcy Kuemper last played on January 8th and pitched a shutout. That likely earns him another start on Wednesday in Philadelphia.
  • Philadelphia Flyers – Carter Hart didn’t start the last game and has had two days off.
  • Nashville Predators – Toronto is a much tougher test than Montreal, who the Predators play on Thursday, and therefore, Juuse Saros should be expected to start on Wednesday.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs – It’s hard to say who Toronto will start but they’ve alternated between their two starters quite a bit and I’m going to assume Ilya Samsonov will start this time around, until the team says otherwise.
  • San Jose Sharks – James Reimer, since Kaapo Kahkonen started on Tuesday.
  • Los Angeles Kings – Jonathan Quick hasn’t started since Dec. 31st.
  • Edmonton Oilers – Stuart Skinner is injured, which means Jack Campbell is going to have to assume the role of starting goaltender.
  • Anaheim Ducks – John Gibson posted a shutout against the Stars in his return to action, but he followed it up by allowing seven goals against the Bruins. He’s had two days off, though.

Injury Updates

Check out the VSiN NHL Injury Report.

  • Toronto Maple Leafs – Auston Matthews missed practice on Tuesday, and he was listed as questionable heading into Wednesday’s game. However, Matthews is taking part in Wednesday's practice and that's was a good sign, at first, but now it has been confirmed that Matthews WILL NOT play. T.J. Brodie, Jake Muzzin and Nick Robertson are out.​ 
  • Washington Capitals – John Carlson remains out.
  • Los Angeles Kings – Trevor Moore and Arthur Kaliyev are expected to be out until Jan. 19th.
  • Edmonton Oilers – Goaltender Stuart Skinner is out. Forward Evander Kane is ahead of schedule but will not return until later this month.
  • Anaheim Ducks – Forward Trevor Zegras is listed as day-to-day due to an illness.

Players To Watch

  • Calle Jarnkrok (Toronto Maple Leafs) – It’s no surprise that Jarnkrok has benefited from playing with Mitch Marner and John Tavares, as well as having a spot on the No. 2 power play unit. But it’s somewhat shocking to see that no player has scored points at higher rate than he has over the last month.
  • Alex Ovechkin (Washington Capitals)Only three players have generated goals at a higher rate than Ovechkin has over the past month, but when accounting for ice time, only David Pastrnak has been more efficient. How will having his long-time running mate, Nicklas Backstrom, and his muscle, Tom Wilson, back in the lineup impact his production?
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