NHL Betting Guide: Daily odds, injury news, predictions and best bets for Saturday, February 11th

February 11, 2023 02:27 AM
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NHL Betting Guide: Daily odds, injury news, predictions and best bets for Saturday, February 11th

Welcome to VSiN’s NHL Betting Guide for Saturday, February 11th, featuring odds, predictions, and best bets. The guide also includes the latest news, projected starting goaltenders, and important injury updates.

Today’s NHL Schedule

*Indicates that a team is playing the first half of a back-to-back.

Rest

Away

Home

Rest

1

NJD

MIN

3/4

0

ARI

STL

11

0

CHI

WPG

11

4/6

NYI

MTL*

10

1

*EDM

OTT

10

0

PIT

LAK

10

10

*WSH

BOS

9

1

CGY

BUF

9

0

NYR

CAR

9

4/6

TBL

DAL

2

3/4

VAN

DET

1

3

NSH

PHI*

1

1

COL

FLA

1

0

CBJ

TOR

0

Betting Trend:  Since 2013-14, teams that have had between one and three days off are 129-76 (62.9 percent) against teams that have had six-plus days off. It makes sense. One team has their legs under them after a long layoff, the other doesn’t. But, what about home and road splits? Well, the sample size is bigger for road teams, but the win rate has basically held up regardless of venue. Home teams are 84-49 (63.2 percent) in this situation while road teams are 45-27 (62.5 percent).

Today’s NHL Odds

Odds via VSiN NHL Odds

  • Vancouver Canucks (+115) at Detroit Red Wings (-135)
  • New York Islanders (-200) at Montreal Canadiens (+175)
  • Nashville Predators (-140) at Philadelphia Flyers (+120)
  • Calgary Flames (-125) at Buffalo Sabres (+105)
  • Edmonton Oilers (-145) at Ottawa Senators (+125)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-105) at Dallas Stars (-115)
  • Washington Capitals (+165) at Boston Bruins (-185)
  • Colorado Avalanche (+105) at Florida Panthers (-125)
  • Columbus Blue Jackets (+260) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-330)
  • New York Rangers (+190) at Carolina Hurricanes (-240)
  • Arizona Coyotes (+160) at St. Louis Blues (-180)
  • New Jersey Devils (EVEN) at Minnesota Wild (-120)
  • Chicago Blackhawks (+270) at Winnipeg Jets (-340)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins (-105) at Los Angeles Kings (-115)

Today’s NHL Predictions

Home team’s projected win probability. Subject to change based on starting goaltenders and injury news.

  • Detroit – 56 percent (-127)
  • Buffalo – 48.2 percent (+107)
  • Ottawa – 37.9 percent (+164)
  • Montreal – 28.8 percent (+247)
  • Philadelphia – 46.5 percent (+115)
  • Dallas – 52.5 percent (-111)
  • Boston – 62.6 percent (-168)
  • Florida – 55.4 percent (-124)
  • Toronto – 77.3 percent (-340)
  • Carolina – 64.8 percent (-184)
  • St. Louis – 63 percent (-170)
  • Minnesota – 50.7 percent (-103)
  • Winnipeg – 77.5 percent (-345)
  • Los Angeles – 53.7 percent (-116)

Today’s Best NHL Bets

Here are today’s best NHL bets:

Edmonton Oilers (Moneyline) -145

Edmonton has won eight of 10 games, mostly against the league’s worst teams, but they’ve done so in dominant fashion, ranking first in expected goals percentage and outscoring teams 4.5-2.2 per 60 minutes. No team has scored more goals than the Oilers (per 60) so far this season.

The Oilers are coming off a disappointing shootout loss to the Flyers, however, unlike the Senators, the Oilers are in game shape. Both teams rank among the top-five in expected goals, but the Senators have underperformed all season long and it’s unlikely that they can generate enough offense to beat the Oilers in this situation.

 

 

New York Islanders (Regulation) -130

The Islanders have only played three games since acquiring forward Bo Horvat from the Vancouver Canucks, but early signs are positive. New York has outscored the opposition 3.5 – 2 at even strength while posting an expected goal differential of +1.5 per 60 minutes.

It’s far too early to tell if the Islanders offensive struggles are behind them, but after losing 6-5 to the Canucks on Thursday, the Islanders should bounce back in Montreal. The Canadiens have the worst home record since Dec. 1st and rank among the bottom-five on offense and defense.

New York has been a top-10 team on defense all season, and even though their offense has been abysmal as of late, the fact that there are now two scoring lines means things should improve rather quickly. This is a mismatch and I’m betting on the road team to win in regulation.

Record: Wins: 57

Losses: 66

Units Won: -14.62

ROI: -10.6 percent

Today’s Starting Goaltenders

Here are today’s projected starters based on factors like rest, venue, opponent, and upcoming games.

Away

Home

Vitek Vanecek

NJD

MIN

Filip Gustavsson

Karel Vejmelka

ARI

STL

Jordan Binnington

Petr Mrzek

CHI

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck

Ilya Sorokin

NYI

MTL

Samuel Montembeault

Jack Campbell

EDM

OTT

Anton Forsberg

Dustin Tokarski

PIT

LAK

Pheonix Copley

Darcy Kuemper

WSH

BOS

Linus Ullmark

Jacob Markstrom

CGY

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Jaroslav Halak

NYR

CAR

Frederik Andersen

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL

DAL

Jake Oettinger

Collin Delia

VAN

DET

Ville Husso

Juuse Saros

NSH

PHI

Carter Hart

Pavel Francouz

COL

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky

Elvis Merzlikins

CBJ

TOR

Joseph Woll

NHL Injuries

Check out the VSiN NHL Injuries for additional information.

  • Toronto – Auston Matthew is out.
  • Colorado – Cale Makar is out.
  • New Jersey – Jack Hughes is out.
  • Washington – Tom Wilson is day-to-day. John Carlson is out.
  • Tampa Bay – Nick Paul is day-to-day.
  • St. Louis – Ryan O’Reilly is expected to play for the first time since Dec. 31st. Pavel Buchnevich is also expected to return to the lineup. Robert Thomas is day-to-day.
  • Pittsburgh – Kris Letang was a surprise scratch on Friday due to illness. Goaltender Tristan Jarry hasn’t had a full practice yet and isn’t expected to play.
  • Florida – Head coach Paul Maurice is hopeful that Barkov will be in the Panthers’ lineup against Colorado.
  • Detroit – Lucas Raymond is day-to-day.
  • Chicago – Jonathan Toews is out.

Note: There will be no NHL article on Sunday. Enjoy the big game.

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