NHL Betting Guide: Daily odds, injury news, predictions and best bets for Monday, January 16th

January 16, 2023 07:12 AM
USATSI_17275490

Welcome to VSiN’s NHL Betting Guide for Monday, January 16th, featuring odds, predictions and best bets. The guide also includes the latest news, projected starting goaltenders, and important injury updates. Whether you’re a seasoned NHL bettor or learning how to be on hockey, this guide is an essential resource for making informed bets on NHL games.

Today’s NHL Odds

Odds via the DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Philadelphia Flyers (+250) at Boston Bruins (-300)
  • Florida Panthers (-130) at Buffalo Sabres (+110)
  • Detroit Red Wings (+160) at Colorado Avalanche (-190)
  • New Jersey Devils (-180) at San Jose Sharks (+155)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-135) at Seattle Kraken (+115)
  • Dallas Stars (+105) at Vegas Golden Knights (-125)
  • Anaheim Ducks (+265) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-320)
  • New York Rangers (-205) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+175)
  • Washington Capitals (EVEN) at New York Islanders (-120)
  • Ottawa Senators (-110) at St. Louis Blues (-110)
  • Calgary Flames (-150) at Nashville Predators (+130)

NHL Model Predictions (Projected Home Team Win Probability)

*Subject to change based on starting goaltenders and injury news.

  • Boston – 73.8 percent (-282)
  • Buffalo – 50.2 percent (-101)
  • Colorado – 63 percent (-170)
  • Seattle – N/A
  • San Jose – 37.1 percent (+170)
  • Vegas – 50.2 percent (-101)
  • Pittsburgh – 73 percent (-270)
  • Columbus – 34.2 percent (+193)
  • Islanders – 46.1 percent (+117)
  • St. Louis – 49.5 percent (+102)
  • Nashville – 44.4 percent (+125)

Best Bets

  • Buffalo Sabres +110

There’s not much separating the Panthers and Sabres, but the betting market seems to think the former is the far superior team. Florida does have better peripherals, but Buffalo has been much better on offense, and slightly better on defense over a relatively large sample size.

Buffalo’s offense dried up against some stingy defensive teams last week, but they bounced back with a 5-3 win over Juuse Saros and the Predators on Saturday and, stylistically, they match up well with the Panthers. This game is a coin flip, and the Sabres are a good bet at +110, but shop around.

  • Washington Capitals EVEN

Washington has been sliding ever since Nicklas Backstrom and Tom Wilson returned to the lineup. Go figure. The Capitals will turn it around, though, and on Monday, they face off against an Islanders team that has scored two or fewer goals in seven of their last eight games.

This game originally opened as a pick ‘em at most shops, but since then, the odds have moved in New York’s favor. However, even if backup Charlie Lindgren ends up between the pipes, which I assume will be the case, the Capitals should be priced closer to -115.

Only the Bruins have a better goal differential since the start of December. Washington ranked sixth on offense and second on defense during that time. The Capitals have scored just seven goals in their last four games, but at even money, I’m willing to bet they turn it around.

Record:

Wins: 52

Losses: 59

Units Won: -12.87 units

ROI: -10.4 percent

All bets tracked on third-party app Betstamp.

Schedule Notes

*Indicates that a team is playing the first half of a back-to-back

Rest

Away

Home

Rest

1

CGY

NSH

4/6

2

ANA*

PIT

3/4

3/4

NJD

SJS

2

1

FLA*

BUF*

1

1

PHI*

BOS

1

1

DET*

COL

1

1

TBL

SEA*

1

1

DAL

VGK

1

1

WSH*

NYI

1

1

OTT

STL

1

0

NYR

CBJ

1

Projected Starting Goaltenders

No goaltenders are confirmed unless otherwise stated. Projections are based on factors like rest, venue, opponent and upcoming games. Projected starters underlined.

  • Philadelphia – The Flyers play the Ducks tomorrow, Samuel Ersson already has a win over Anaheim. Carter Hart is expected to start in Boston.
  • Boston – This is the first of three games in four days for the Bruins. Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark will likely split the back-to-back in New York later this week, and I’m going to assume the latter starts on against the Flyers.
  • Florida – The Panthers play in Toronto on Tuesday, and it looks like Spencer Knight is going to return in the next two games. However, until the team makes an announcement, Sergei Bobrovsky is Florida’s projected starter.
  • Buffalo Sabres – Buffalo sent Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen down to the AHL, which they have done a lot lately, but there’s a good chance they will call him back up before this game. Buffalo plays in Chicago on Tuesday.
  • Detroit – Ville Husso until the team says otherwise. The Red Wings play again on Tuesday.
  • Colorado – Pavel Francouz just shutout the Senators, but he’s started the last two games and head coach Jared Bednar could choose to go back to Alexandar Georgiev.
  • Tampa Bay – Brian Elliott hasn’t started since Jan. 4th.
  • Seattle – The Kraken play the Oilers on Tuesday and Philipp Grubauer has only started one game in January.
  • New Jersey – It’s hard to say. MacKenzie Blackwood started the last game, but it was his first in a long time. For now, Vitek Vanecek is the projected starter.
  • San Jose – Kaapo Kakhonen allowed seven goals against the Oilers in his last start. James Reimer hasn’t started in almost a week.
  • Dallas – Jake Oettinger has had three days off.
  • Vegas – Logan Thompson has only played three games so far this month.
  • Anaheim –
  • Pittsburgh – Tristan Jarry is expected to return to practice this week. He’s missed the last five games. Casey DeSmith is projected to start on Monday.
  • Rangers – Igor Shesterkin started on Sunday. Jaroslav Halak will likely start on Monday.
  • Blue Jackets – Joonas Korpisalo is regarded as day-to-day. Elvis Merzlikins is the projected starter.
  • Washington – Charlie Lindgren hasn’t started in 10 days. Darcy Kuemper has lost two in a row. Washington hosts the Minnesota Wild on Tuesday.
  • Islanders – New York is about to play three games (Capitals, Bruins and Sabres) in four days. Semyon Varlamov hasn’t started since Jan. 6th. Ilya Sorokin is the projected starter for now.
  • Ottawa – Cam Talbot has lost three straight, but Anton Forsberg was just blown out by the Avalanche and Talbot has had six days off.
  • St. Louis – Head coach Craig Berube is on record saying that he must find ways to get starter Jordan Binnington some more rest, and Monday’s game against Ottawa is a good spot for Thomas Greiss to start. It’s just a hunch.
  • Calgary – Dan Vladar has been the better goaltender as of late, but Jacob Markstrom hasn’t played in five days.
  • Nashville – Juuse Saros has lost his last two starts, but he’s still the man in Nashville.

Injury Updates

Check out the VSiN NHL Injury Report.

  • Dallas – Roope Hintz has missed the last three games and he was not at the most recent practice.
  • Rangers – Chris Kreider is considered doubtful to play on Monday.
  • Seattle – Jaden Schwartz is day-to-day.
  • Pittsburgh – Still awaiting updates on Kris Letang, Jeff Petry and Marcus Pettersson. Tristan Jarry is not expected to suit up.

 

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