NHL point projections can change quickly

Now that the NHL season is well underway, bank on receiving updated forecasts every week at VSiN. Projections are based on thousands of simulations, taking into account what has already happened and looking to the future to predict what is most likely to happen in the remaining games. Note the date when the projections were updated and consider that when placing futures wagers this week. These projections were updated as of Monday.

Just Like Hockey, Projections Are Fluid

Playoff chances and division odds are constantly changing, sometimes in mere minutes. One such swing took place in Winnipeg over the weekend. The Jets’ playoff chances sat at about 63% heading into their game against the Edmonton Oilers on Sunday, and after Blake Wheeler put the Jets ahead by one goal with less than five minutes to go, Evolving Hockey estimated they would win 94% of the time. 

However, the Oilers tied it at 16:55 of the third period and won it on Leon Draisaitl’s buzzer-beater at 19:59. The Jets would have improved their playoff chances to 68%, but instead they dropped to 58%. Things change fast. Look how quickly the Montreal Canadiens have improved their odds of winning the North Division. Keep that in mind when looking for value in futures markets.

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